TAB Hcp (58)

Save The Roses has a strong record fresh, winning 1 of 2 first-up, and is drawn in barrier 2 to secure a soft run. The main concern is the class level of today's race, which warrants close attention before committing.

Jupiter Hills is resuming today from barrier 3, which should allow it to find a soft run in the race. However, the horse has yet to win first-up from 4 attempts and typically needs a run to peak, which is the main watch point—it may improve sharply second-up if it runs well enough today to set up a next-start chance. Weight looks a strength here, but recent form and class present concerns that offset the tactical advantage.

Summit brings recent speed and class strength to the race, with weight working in its favour. The horse has shown form at the right level, though it carries no standout speed figure. The main watch: Summit is resuming today and has yet to win first-up from 3 attempts, typically needing a run to find peak form.

Supairo has weight in its favour and is stepping into a class that suits, but recent form is a concern heading into this task. The critical watch is the resumption angle: the horse has never won fresh (0 from 5 first-up), though it does tend to strike once racing fitness builds (1 win from 3 starts second-up). Monitor how it settles early and whether it shows the speed to recycle into a winning effort at second outing.

Youcompleteme's case leans on recent speed, but recent form is a concern heading into today's resumption. The horse has never won fresh (0 from 3 first-up), though it does have a pattern of striking once racing into the prep (1 win from 2 starts second-up). The main thing to watch is whether it can break through first-up, given that pattern has held across its career.

The horse has a proven record at Ipswich over this 1350m trip with 1 win from 7 starts, and comes here off a placed effort last time beaten just 2 lengths, suggesting it's racing in form. The case leans on recent solidity and track familiarity, though the win strike-rate here remains modest at 14%, which is worth monitoring as the main thing to watch.

In Great Spirit brings genuine early speed to the table, posting time figures among the quickest in the field at 5.8s under track par, and has a winning record at the trip with 1 win from 3 starts over 1350m. The case leans on that recent speed and distance suitability, though both recent form and the draw are concerns worth monitoring. The main thing to watch: it's resuming today and has yet to break through first-up from 3 attempts, usually needing a run to find its rhythm.

Port River Billie carries weight that normally plays in its favour, and rates in a class suited to recent efforts, but recent form is a concern and there's no standout speed to point to a breakout run. The key obstacle is barrier 11 of 12—a wide draw that will demand real effort to overcome from the back.

Bertus is resuming today with an in-form jockey in Mark Du Plessis, who is riding 42% above expectation across his last 100 rides — that's a genuine edge in the saddle. However, the case is tempered by a wide barrier 12 of 12 and Bertus's record of 0 wins from 3 first-up attempts, which suggests this horse usually needs a run to show its best. The main thing to watch is whether Du Plessis can overcome the wide gate and whether Bertus breaks its first-up duck.