Hahn 3.5 Hcp (C1)

Lady Kiki has drawn barrier 1, which should allow the horse to secure a soft run through the race—a genuine tactical advantage in the context of this field and distance. However, there are no standout speed figures in the form to suggest this is a horse hitting peak speed, so the case rests primarily on barrier luck rather than explosive recent form. Watch whether that inside draw translates to a controlling position early, as that will be the key to whether the advantages it carries can be converted.

Miss Finkmeyer has posted among the quickest recent time figures in the field, running 6.7 seconds under track par, and will benefit from a soft run from barrier 3. The McAuliffe/Nottle combination is striking 43% above expectation over their last 100 runners, a strong endorsement of their horsemanship. Recent form is a concern and worth monitoring closely as the race approaches.

Swansee resumes today with a mixed record at that stage: winless on three first-up attempts, but with a 50% strike rate when stepping out for a second run in a campaign. Recent form is a concern and there are no standout speed figures to lean on. The main thing to monitor is whether the horse can break through its first-up pattern, given the established tendency to need a run to find its best.

Where's Brittany showed racing form with a placing last start, beaten only 2.5L, suggesting the horse is competitive at the current level. The main thing to watch is class — the market perception of this horse's rating relative to the field will be key to assessing genuine value.

Saigon Dancer has a strong recent record first-up, with 1 win from 2 resumption starts, and comes into this race off a placing just 1.5 lengths back, indicating active form. Jockey Chris Parnham is riding at 34% above expectation across his last 100 rides, adding meaningful edge to the assignment. The main thing to watch is whether the horse can replicate that fresh-up record in today's specific class and distance.

Luna Ascending has the backing of a Ms A King and Brayden Gaerth partnership that's striking 38% above expectation across their last 100 runners, a concrete edge in the book. The case leans on recent fitness and freshness, where the horse's form stacks up as a strength. The main watch: Luna Ascending is racing in blinkers for the first time, a sharpening move that could help but adds an untested variable to the equation.

Line Of Thought faces a resumption after time away, and the record shows it hasn't won first-up from three previous attempts, typically needing a run to find its legs. The positive here is Rocky Cheung in the saddle—he's riding at 26% above expectation across his last 100 rides, which adds genuine skill to the plate. However, recent form, weight, class, and the draw all present concerns. The main thing to watch is whether the horse can break its first-up duck with an in-form jockey aboard, as that pattern of needing a run remains the biggest risk to its chances today.

Rock The Market is resuming today with a strong fresh record of 2 placings from 2 first-up attempts, which is the main pillar of the case here. The horse's recent form and class are working in its favour. The main thing to watch is the barrier draw, which registers as a concern.

Mamma Says So holds the quickest recent time figure in the field at 7.2 seconds under track par, and the Joshua Krispyn and Brad Parnham combination has struck 61% above expectation over their last 100 runners together—both solid foundations. Recent form and weight profiles support the case. The main thing to monitor is barrier position, which is flagged as a concern for this run.

Lotsamerit has recent speed to recommend it and benefits from an in-form jockey in Victoria Corver, who is riding 40% above expectation across her last 100 rides, but the case is shadowed by poor first-up form (0 from 5) and a wide barrier 13 of 14 to navigate. The horse does suit the 1200m trip with 1 win from 3 starts at the distance and has shown it can strike second-up in a prep (1 win from 3), so the main thing to watch is whether it can overcome the wide gate and turn that pattern into a run today.

Tokyo Fire resumes today with a trainer-jockey combination in Ms J Clements and Shaun O'Donnell that has struck 41% above expectation over the last 100 runners, a genuine edge worth backing. The concern sits with both the horse's first-up record — winless from 3 attempts and usually needing a run to find its best — and a wide barrier 14 of 14 to overcome. Watch whether the horse can overcome that draw and whether it shows enough on return to suggest this is the run that turns its second-up form into a winning one.