Living Turf Hcp (58)

Jacks And Soda resumes today with trainer R G Lipp firing at 29% above expectation across his last 100 runners, and the horse showed promise in a recent barrier trial finishing 3rd beaten half a length. Drawn in barrier 1, it should get a soft run in running. The main watch is its first-up record: zero wins from three previous resumptions, so this horse typically needs a run to find top gear.

Perri Lass has a concerning 0-from-5 record resuming and historically needs a run to peak, which weighs against it today. However, barrier 3 offers a genuine opportunity to get a soft run through the race, and that tactical advantage is the main thing to watch—whether the horse can convert a cleaner passage into a better showing than its first-up pattern suggests.

Donegal Bay resumes today with Jaden Lloyd aboard, and that jockey-trainer pairing with M W Goodwin has been genuinely sharp—striking 243% above expectation over their last 100 runners together. The main reservation is that this horse has yet to win first-up from 4 attempts and typically needs a run to hit peak form, so watch whether it's merely sharpening or genuinely ready to fire fresh.

Yes I'm Ugly is backed by a William Kropp/Stacey Callow combination running 132% above expectation across their last 100 runners, a concrete strength in the stable-and-saddle department. Recent speed and class readings support the case, though recent form carries a note of concern that needs monitoring. The main watch: this is a first-up runner with a poor record at the starting gate (0 from 3), though the horse does tend to strike once into a preparation (1 win from 3 second-up), so readiness and barrier luck will be critical.

Lukey Blue owns the quickest recent time figure in the field at 8.4s under track par, and the case leans on that recent speed and form strength. Weight is flagged as a concern. The main thing to watch: this is a resumption and the horse is winless first-up (0 from 3), though it does have a pattern of striking once into a prep (1 win from 2 starts second-up) — so fitness and how it settles early today will be critical.

Mister Selfie has drawn a concern at the barrier and comes up against recent form that isn't standout, yet the case here leans on a pattern of needing racing to peak—it has failed to win in 4 first-up attempts and typically improves second-up or beyond. That resumption profile is the main thing to watch, because if this is genuinely a horse that needs a run, today's outing could be educational rather than rewarding.

Torvecchio won last start by half a length at Chinchilla and posted one of the quickest recent time figures in the field, running 7.3s under track par — solid form and speed credentials. The main watch is that he's resuming today with a poor first-up record of 0 wins from 3 attempts, so he'll likely need the run to find his best.

King Cobama won last start by half a length at Warwick, and the jockey–trainer pairing of Kyle Wilson-Taylor and Renita Beaton have struck at 66% above expectation over their last 100 rides together, which forms the backbone of the case. The main thing to watch is the wide barrier 11 of 12, which will need to be navigated tactically to capitalise on recent momentum.

Silver Spoon resumes today with a concerning first-up record (0 from 3), though the horse has won once from three starts when coming back for a second run in a prep. Jockey D Chujo is performing 42% above expectation across the last 100 runners, which is a genuine positive. The main obstacle is barrier 12 of 12 — getting a clean run from the back will be critical, and that wide gate is the key thing to monitor through the race.