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Star Of Lily has the quickest recent time figure in the field at 9.5s under track par, and the trainer-jockey combination of N J Olive and Coriah Keatings is striking 47% above expectation over their last 100 runs. The horse excels fresh with 1 win from 2 first-up starts, and barrier 1 gives it the rails draw to obtain a soft run. The main thing to watch is recent form, which registers as a concern despite the other positive drivers.

Frog Rock's case leans on a soft draw from barrier 2 that should allow an uninterrupted run, and recent form showing strength across recent outings. Weight carries no penalty here. Class and market positioning remain a concern worth monitoring, as does the absence of a standout speed figure to separate this runner from rivals. The draw advantage is the clearest positive, but watch whether that translates to a commanding position in the run.

Miss Andreas rates on recent speed and class credentials, with a drawing (barrier 3) that should allow a soft run in the early stages. The main thing to watch is the absence of a standout speed figure—while recent performances show strength, there's no exceptional sectional work to highlight, so the horse will need to produce on the day.

Time For Speed is returning from a spell with no established first-up record to lean on, making this an untested scenario. Without standout speed figures or clear rating drivers in the data, the horse's form case is not compelling on the numbers alone. The main thing to watch is how it handles the return to racing after time off, as there is no prior pattern to suggest it will fire fresh.

Sweet Leaf won last start by half a length at Gunnedah, showing recent winning form, and runs for Brett & Georgie Cavanough, who are operating 20% above expectation across their last 100 runners. The case leans on that fresh win and the trainer-jockey combination's current strike rate. The main thing to watch is whether the horse can handle the step up in class and conditions at the next assignment.

Rubelin has posted one of the quickest recent time figures in the field, running 9.4 seconds under track par, which points to genuine current speed. The horse also has a proven record over the trip, with 1 win from 3 starts at 1100m. The main thing to watch will be whether it can convert that speed into a result at the same distance today.

Hulaland has jockey Winona Costin aboard, who is riding 24% above expectation across her last 100 rides—a genuine edge in execution. The main concern sits with recent form and the class of this race, which weigh against the case here. Barrier 9 of 10 is the key watch: a wide gate to overcome that could prove costly if the pace is hot early.

Sable Coat has an in-form jockey in Jean Van Overmeire, who is riding 42% above expectation across his last 100 rides, which is the main positive lever here. The main watch is that this is a first run back from a spell with no established first-up record yet, and the horse will need to overcome a wide barrier 10 of 10 from the gates.