F
FormPicks
Thursday 4 June

Ipswich · Race 3

Cruice Creations Mdn Hcp

1100m · Going unknown · $30,000

1:17 pm

Our Pick

Strong Pick

Over Spray

🔧 Tongue tie first time.
📊

Model rates this one a serious chance

The Read

Class / market Recent form Fitness / freshness Weight

What's pushing the model rating up (▲) and down (▼).

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Full Field

The read on each runner — look past the pick for value.

1

Lady Milan

J: Daniel Moor · T: T J Gollan

Last 5240x4

Lady Milan carries one of the quickest recent time figures in this field, running 8.0 seconds under track par, and the T J Gollan/Daniel Moor combination is striking 33% above expectation across their last 100 runners — both concrete strengths. The mare was placed last start beaten only 4.5 lengths, confirming she's racing in form, and barrier 1 should allow her to secure a soft run in the early stages. The main thing to watch is whether that speed translates at the weights and whether the pace shape plays to her strengths.

Class / market Recent form Barrier Recent speed
2

Sirinumu

J: Ashley Butler · T: Ryan Tyrell

Sirinumu returns from a spell in a low-barrier draw that should allow a soft run in running. The main thing to watch is how it handles first-up after the break, as there's no established record in that spot yet.

4

Our Girl Scarlett

J: Leah Martyn · T: K M Schweida

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Our Girl Scarlett owns the quickest recent time figure in the field at 10.0s under track par, and was placed last start beaten only half a length, which suggests genuine racing form and speed to compete. The main thing to watch is the first-up angle — resuming today with a 0-from-3 record when fresh, so will likely need this outing to find peak form.

Recent form Class / market Recent speed
5

Rossa Vista🔧 Lugging bit first time.

J: Mark Du Plessis · T: Nicholas Beck

Rossa Vista has two strong form drivers working in its favour: jockey Mark Du Plessis is riding 42% above expectation across his last 100 rides, and trainer Nicholas Beck is 21% above expectation across his last 100 runners, suggesting both are in sharp form. The main thing to watch is that this is the horse's first run back from a spell with no established first-up record, so early pace and gate behaviour will be critical to how the run unfolds.

7

Mr Biggs⏱️ Trialled well🔧 Winkers first time.

J: Micheal Hellyer · T: G Laming

Mr Biggs resumes off a sharp barrier trial where it was beaten only a nose into second, and returns to a trainer-jockey combination in G Laming and Michael Hellyer that is striking at 118% above expectation across their last 100 runners. The main thing to watch is that this is a first-up run after a spell with no established record at that stage, and the horse will also wear winkers for the first time today.

8

Racketeer⏱️ Trialled well🔧 Blinkers off first time, ear muffs (pre-race only) first time, lugging bit first time, tongue tie first time.

J: Luke P Dempsey · T: Barry Lockwood & Emma-Jane Vincent

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Racketeer resumes today off a winning barrier trial (won by half a length), a freshening-up effort that suggests the horse is ready to fire. However, recent form and class are concerns — the case here leans on that trial win and the application of first-time blinkers as a sharpening tool, which warrants close watching to see if the gear change produces the lift needed to overcome the form query.

Recent form Class / market
9

Over SprayTOP PICK🔧 Tongue tie first time.

J: Ben E Thompson · T: K M Schweida

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Class / market Recent form Fitness / freshness Weight
10

Bottles Of Shells⏱️ Trialled well

J: · T: Chris & Corey Munce

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Bottles Of Shells resumes today off a winning barrier trial, taking a 3-length victory that suggests the horse is primed for fresh racing. Fitness and freshness work in its favour here. The main things to watch are the class level of this field and barrier draw — both rated as concerns — so confirmation of suitable opposition and a workable gate will matter to the case.

Class / market Weight Fitness / freshness Barrier
13

Gossamer Glow

J: Ryan Maloney · T: T J Gollan

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Barrier Recent speed
14

Dancin In Moonlite⏱️ Trialled well🔧 Ear muffs (pre-race only) first time, tongue tie first time.

J: Fiona Sandkuhl · T: Matthew Hoysted

Dancin In Moonlite resumes today off the back of a winning barrier trial (1L margin), a clean sign of readiness after the break. The main caveat is that this is a first run back from a spell with no established first-up record to lean on — watch how it settles into racing rhythm.