Dubbo · Race 1
Triple M Country Boosted Showcase Mdn Hcp
1000m · Going unknown · $35,000
Our Pick
Head Kahuna
First-up horse with 3 placings from 3 fresh attempts today.
Last start placed, beaten only 1 length — form is solid.
Cavanough training team 20% above expectation last 100 runners.
The Read
Head Kahuna resumes today with a strong fresh record (placed 3 of 3 first-up) and arrives in form after a narrow 1-length defeat last start. The Cavanough stable is performing 20% above expectation across their last 100 runners, which adds weight to a positive reading. The main thing to monitor is whether the horse can reproduce that recent closing effort at this track and trip.
What's pushing the model rating up (▲) and down (▼).
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Full Field
The read on each runner — look past the pick for value.
Lady Burlesque
J: Mikayla Weir · T: T S Howlett
Lady Burlesque has drawn barrier 1, which should allow for an uncluttered passage early. Weight is working in the horse's favour here. The main concerns are recent form and the class of this race, which sit against the case. Recent speed work shows some strength, but there are no standout figures to build confidence on—track how the horse handles the early stages from that inside gate, as a soft run won't matter if the recent form doesn't click.
Foray
J: Braith Nock · T: Angus Stewart
Foray is back from a spell with no established first-up record to lean on, though the barrier 2 draw offers a genuine chance to secure a soft run in the race. With no standout speed figures or dominant rating drivers, the case here is thin—the main thing to watch is whether the horse has retained its form over the break and can respond positively fresh.
Zubba Storm
J: Aaron Bullock · T: M D Griffith
Zubba Storm has drawn barrier 3, which sets up a soft run in the race. The case leans on this tactical advantage, though recent form and fitness details are limited in the available data. The main thing to watch is whether the horse can convert the good draw into a competitive showing, as there are no standout speed figures or other concrete strength indicators on file.
Head KahunaTOP PICK
J: Mitchell Bell · T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough
Head Kahuna resumes today with a strong fresh record (placed 3 of 3 first-up) and arrives in form after a narrow 1-length defeat last start. The Cavanough stable is performing 20% above expectation across their last 100 runners, which adds weight to a positive reading. The main thing to monitor is whether the horse can reproduce that recent closing effort at this track and trip.
Badgers Bridge🔧 Blinkers first time.
J: · T: M C Lynch
Badgers Bridge owns the quickest recent time figure in the field at 11.9s under track par, which is the concrete speed edge to build on. The main concern is recent form and class questions, which temper confidence here. Blinkers are on for the first time—a sharpening device that could unlock improvement, but it's untested and worth monitoring closely given the softer form picture.
Good Time🔧 Blinkers off first time, compression hood with ear muffs first time, ear muffs (pre-race only) off first time.
J: Adam Farragher · T: Brett Thompson
Good Time's case leans on recent speed that shows strength, which is the primary foundation for the rating. The neutral factor to watch is first-time blinkers—a sharpening gear applied for this run that could unlock improvement, but represents an unknown variable in how the horse will respond.
Media Spin
J: Zoe Hunt · T: C Lundholm
Media Spin has the backing of the Lundholm–Hunt combination, which has struck 41% above expectation over the last 100 runners, a meaningful edge in the saddle department. The horse was placed last start, beaten only 1.5 lengths, which signals it is racing in form and competitive at this level. The main thing to watch is whether that recent sharpness translates into a winning effort, as there is no standout speed figure to lean on.
Folly's Stardom⏱️ Trialled well
J: Izzy Neale · T: Brett Robb
Folly's Stardom resumes today off a promising barrier trial, finishing 2nd and beaten only half a length, which suggests the horse is ready to run. The main thing to watch is the first-up factor—there's no established record yet from previous returns to racing, so it remains to be seen how the horse handles the step up from trial to race day.
Not Mee
J: · T: Cameron Crockett
Not Mee has the platform of a trainer-jockey combination in Cameron Crockett that is striking 39% above expectation across the last 100 runs, which is the concrete edge here. The main thing to watch is that this is a first run back from a spell with no established first-up record yet, so fitness and readiness remain unknown.
Nucleaire
J: Jake Pracey-Holmes · T: Brett Thompson
Nucleaire showed competitive form last time out, placed and beaten only 2 lengths, which suggests the horse is in racing trim. The case leans on that recent speed and form positioning. Weight is a concern to monitor in the context of the race conditions, and class strength supports the profile. Main thing to watch: whether the horse can translate its latest placed effort into a win rather than stay in the placing range.
Gold Finger🔧 Ear muffs (pre-race only) first time, lugging bit first time, tongue tie first time.
J: Jacob Stiff · T: M R Mulholland
Gold Finger has Jacob Stiff in the saddle, and the jockey is riding at 34% above expectation across his last 100 rides, which is a concrete edge. However, this is the horse's first run back from a spell with no established first-up record to reference, so watch how it handles the freshness up.
Champagne Tingle
J: Winona Costin · T: G D Lunn
Champagne Tingle's main form driver is the G D Lunn and Winona Costin partnership, which has struck at 164% above expectation over their last 100 runners — a material edge. Recent speed is a genuine strength here. However, class, weight and recent form all register as concerns, meaning the horse faces headwinds on three fronts that offset the trainer-jockey strike rate. The case leans on that proven combination and recent speed, but watch whether class and recent form have genuinely deteriorated or are just temporary dips.
Rutley Exceeds🔧 Cross-over nose band off first time.
J: Clayton Gallagher · T: Brett Robb
Rutley Exceeds has a significant edge through jockey Clayton Gallagher, who is riding at 21% above expectation across his last 100 rides — a genuine mark of current form and consistency. The case leans on class strength and the horse's experience in the relevant conditions. However, two factors warrant close attention: the horse arrives with fitness concerns, and weight may work against it — both are legitimate reasons to monitor the market and betting patterns closely before committing.
Argyle Springs
J: Grant Buckley · T: Ms A Smith
Argyle Springs is among the quickest recent time figures in the field, running 10.1 seconds under track par, which is the core strength underpinning its rating. The main obstacle is a wide barrier draw in gate 16 of 16, which will demand clean passage and tactical nous in the early stages. Watch whether the jockey can find racing room without burning energy; from there, the recent speed figures give genuine claims.