F
FormPicks
Thursday 4 June

Dubbo · Race 4

Nuturf Country Boosted Showcase Hcp (C1)

1100m · Going unknown · $35,000

1:45 pm

Our Pick

Strong Pick

Starverna

📈

Placed last start, beaten 4.5 lengths — racing in form.

🚧

Wide barrier 13 of 13 to overcome today.

The Read

Starverna ran competitively last start with a placing, beaten only 4.5 lengths, which signals recent form is working. The case leans on that recent speed and racing pattern, but there's a notable friction point: the horse has drawn the widest barrier at 13 of 13, a genuine hurdle to overcome from the gate that will need careful riding to neutralise.

Class / market Recent form Weight Recent speed

What's pushing the model rating up (▲) and down (▼).

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Full Field

The read on each runner — look past the pick for value.

1

Golden Vader

J: Adam Farragher · T: Liam Ruddy

Last 565260

Golden Vader brings genuine speed credentials to this field, running 9.1 seconds under track par in recent efforts, and draws barrier 1 which should allow it to settle into a soft run early. The case for backing it leans on that recent speed and the tactical advantage of the inside gate. Weight and class positioning present a concern worth monitoring before committing.

Recent speed Recent form Weight Class / market
2

Zealands Princess

J: Mikayla Weir · T: Toby Pracey

Last 51259

Zealands Princess won decisively by 1.5L at Dubbo last start, and the Pracey/Weir training-and-riding combo is striking 34% above expectation over their last 100 runners — both concrete positives. Barrier 2 sets up a soft run. The main watch is class: this horse steps up in grade here, and there's no standout speed figure to lean on, so the question is whether recent Dubbo form travels to this tougher contest.

Recent form Track & conditions Recent speed Class / market
3

Elderberry Wine

J: Clayton Gallagher · T: Ms A Smith

Last 517366

Elderberry Wine owns the quickest recent time figure in the field at 9.9s under track par and won last start by half a length at Narromine, giving the case real substance on recent speed and form. Clayton Gallagher is riding 21% above expectation across his last 100 rides, and barrier 3 should allow a soft run into the race. Watch the gear change listed as a concern — that's the main thing to clarify before committing.

Recent form Experience Gear change
4

Deodee🔧 Ear muffs (pre-race only) off again, nose roll first time.

J: Zoe Hunt · T: David J Smith

Last 51208x

Deodee brings solid recent form and useful experience to the race, which are the main pillars of its case today. However, it's resuming after a break with a poor first-up record—0 wins from 3 attempts—and typically needs a run to peak, so expect it to improve more sharply next time if it doesn't fire today. A gear change has also been noted as a concern worth monitoring.

Recent form Experience Gear change
5

Champ De Mars

J: Grant Buckley · T: Ms S Jeffries

Last 543227

Champ De Mars comes back today with a gear change in place, which offers a genuine positive shift in how it might perform. The fitness angle is less clear — it's resuming after a break and has managed just 0 wins from 4 first-up attempts, typically needing a race to find its legs. Watch whether it can break that pattern today or whether it needs this outing as a freshener for a stronger showing next time out.

Gear change Fitness / freshness
6

Denman Deputy

J: Izzy Neale · T: Brett Robb

Last 59x859

Denman Deputy has won 1 from 3 at Dubbo, a concrete strength at this track. Recent speed is a positive, but recent form reads as a concern—the horse hasn't been firing consistently of late. A gear change is also flagged as a concern, suggesting the stable may be trying to solve a problem rather than capitalizing on momentum. The main thing to watch is whether the gear adjustment can reverse the recent form dip.

Recent form Gear change Recent speed
7

Almost Maybe

J: Jake Pracey-Holmes · T: Melanie O'Gorman

Last 50069x
Recent speed Recent form
8

Tropic

J: Kody Nestor · T: Kylie Kennedy

Last 551x4x

Tropic comes to hand with the Kylie Kennedy and Kody Nestor partnership, who have struck 62% above expectation over their last 100 rides together—a genuine edge in the fundamentals. The case for the horse leans on class strength, racing experience, and current fitness. No speed figure stands out as a standout, so watch whether Tropic can translate form into a sharp performance on the day rather than relying on pure raw pace.

Class / market Experience Fitness / freshness
9

Unsolved

J: Winona Costin · T: M D Griffith

Last 54x751

Unsolved resumes today with in-form jockey Winona Costin, who is riding 24% above expectation across her last 100 rides — a solid technical edge. However, the horse has yet to win first-up from three attempts and usually needs a run to find top form, which is the key variable to monitor given today's fresh-up assignment.

Recent speed Class / market Weight
10

Quasimoto

J: Aaron Bullock · T: C Lundholm

Last 50x1x6

Quasimoto is resuming today with a reliable fresh record—placed 2 of 3 times when returning from a break—which gives the horse a concrete edge at the starting gate. The case leans on that fresh-up reliability and the strength of its class and recent speed, but recent form is a concern that tempers confidence. Weight stands as the main thing to watch on the day.

Recent form Recent speed Class / market Weight
11

Bit Of A Step🔧 Compression hood with ear muffs first time, tongue tie off again.

J: · T: Ms S Grills

Last 536247

Bit Of A Step comes back today after a break with a mixed fresh record — 0 wins from 3 first-up attempts, so typically needs a run under its belt. Recent form is a strength and the horse has shown track-and-conditions affinity, but fitness and weight present real concerns on return. The key to watching here is whether the freshness issue proves decisive once again, as the pattern suggests this runner often takes a start to find its rhythm.

Fitness / freshness Track & conditions Recent form Weight
12

Ruby Harmony

J: Jacob Stiff · T: Stephen Edwards

Last 56x1x8

Ruby Harmony is backed by two in-form handlers: jockey Jacob Stiff is riding 34% above expectation over his last 100 rides, and trainer Stephen Edwards is operating 24% above expectation across his last 100 runners — a rare alignment of strengths. Recent speed shows enough competitive intent to warrant attention. Weight emerges as a concern, and the wide barrier 12 of 13 is the main obstacle to monitor in the run.

Recent speed Weight
13

StarvernaTOP PICK

J: Braith Nock · T: Lou Mary

Last 521

Starverna ran competitively last start with a placing, beaten only 4.5 lengths, which signals recent form is working. The case leans on that recent speed and racing pattern, but there's a notable friction point: the horse has drawn the widest barrier at 13 of 13, a genuine hurdle to overcome from the gate that will need careful riding to neutralise.

Class / market Recent form Weight Recent speed