F
FormPicks
Thursday 4 June

Geelong · Race 1

Ladbrokes Hosted Pots Mdn Plate

1212m · Going unknown · $42,500

12:30 pm

Our Pick

Strong Pick

Insolence

🔧 Blinkers off first time, cross-over nose band off first time, ear muffs (pre-race only) first time, tongue tie off first time.
📈

Placed last start, beaten 6 lengths — racing in form.

👁️

First-time blinkers — sharpening gear applied.

The Read

Insolence rates on recent form and freshness: a placing last start beaten just 6 lengths shows the horse is racing competitively and fit enough to be competitive here. The main thing to watch is how it responds to first-time blinkers, a sharpening gear that could help or prove unnecessary given the horse is already in form.

Class / market Recent form Fitness / freshness

What's pushing the model rating up (▲) and down (▼).

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Full Field

The read on each runner — look past the pick for value.

1

Exceed Sonic🔧 Blinkers first time.

J: Teodore Nugent · T: Jason Warren

Exceed Sonic has drawn barrier 1, which should allow it to get a soft run in the race. The horse is having its first run back from a spell with no established first-up record to lean on, making that a key unknown. Blinkers are being applied for the first time, a sharpening gear that could bring improvement—watch closely how the horse settles and responds with the new equipment.

2

Tsuki🔧 Blinkers first time.

J: Linda Meech · T: E & D Browne

Last 50

Tsuki's case leans on barrier 2 giving a soft run, but recent form and class metrics are areas of concern that need to tighten up. The application of blinkers for the first time is the key thing to monitor—whether the gear change produces a visible lift in performance will be crucial to the outcome.

Recent form Class / market Barrier Recent speed
3

Cirque De Coco

J: Jamie Mott · T: Clayton Douglas

Last 56

Cirque De Coco has two key strength factors: trainer Clayton Douglas is running 35% above expectation across his last 100 runners, and jockey Jamie Mott is riding 20% above expectation over his last 100 rides — both meaningful form metrics that stack in the horse's favour. The draw at barrier 3 should allow it to settle in a soft run. The main concern is the class level of this race, which warrants caution despite the positive recent form of the connections.

Class / market Recent speed
4

Lady Of Pompeii

J: Luke Currie · T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

Last 54
Recent form Recent speed
5

InsolenceTOP PICK🔧 Blinkers off first time, cross-over nose band off first time, ear muffs (pre-race only) first time, tongue tie off first time.

J: Harry Coffey · T: T & C McEvoy

Last 53

Insolence rates on recent form and freshness: a placing last start beaten just 6 lengths shows the horse is racing competitively and fit enough to be competitive here. The main thing to watch is how it responds to first-time blinkers, a sharpening gear that could help or prove unnecessary given the horse is already in form.

Class / market Recent form Fitness / freshness
6

Oman

J: Jordan Childs · T: G M Begg

Last 50x44

Oman's case rests on two solid technical angles: trainer G M Begg is running 21% above expectation over his last 100 runners, and jockey Jordan Childs is riding 39% above expectation over his last 100 rides — a notably strong clip for the saddle. Recent speed figures offer some support for the horse's readiness. However, recent form is a concern and will be the key thing to watch as race day approaches.

Recent form Recent speed
7

Bourne Legacy

J: Daniel Stackhouse · T: A & S Freedman

Last 55

Bourne Legacy has run among the quickest time figures in this field, clocking 7.3 seconds under track par in recent starts—a concrete speed edge that forms the basis of its appeal here. The case leans on that recent pace and willingness to quicken, though without details on trainer pattern, jockey form, fitness gaps or course history, the main thing to watch is whether that speed translates under today's conditions and weight.

Recent speed
8

Shinsiena

J: Declan Bates · T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh

Last 57x9
Class / market Recent form Recent speed
8

Moon Lander🔧 Lugging bit first time.

J: · T: C J Waller

Moon Lander is making its first run back from a spell with no established first-up record to reference. There are no standout speed figures or rating drivers in the form to point to a particular edge. The main thing to watch is how it handles the return to racing after the break.

9

Exploit🔧 Cross-over nose band first time, ear muffs (pre-race only) first time.

J: Jye McNeil · T: C J Waller

Last 59

Exploit has the backing of in-form jockey Jye McNeil, who is riding 30% above expectation across his last 100 rides, which is a concrete edge in the saddle. However, the case is shadowed by recent form concerns and questions over class, while barrier placement and freshness status merit close monitoring before committing.

Recent form Fitness / freshness Class / market Barrier
10

Resonant

J: Jamie Melham · T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

Last 572

Resonant owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, running 7.7 seconds under track par, which is the concrete speed edge in this race. The main thing to watch is the barrier draw, which rates as a concern for this runner.

Barrier
11

Pray For Elegance⏱️ Trialled well

J: Luke Nolen · T: Patrick Payne

Pray For Elegance resumes today off a sharp barrier trial, finishing second and beaten only a nose, which suggests readiness. Trainer Patrick Payne is running 31% above expectation across his last 100 runners, adding weight to the stable's form. The main thing to watch is first-up performance — the horse has no established record returning from a spell, so how it handles the jump back to racing will be key.

12

Adakite

J: Zac Spain · T: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black

Last 55

Adakite faces a class concern that weighs against its chances in this field, while the wide barrier 12 of 13 presents a practical obstacle to overcome from the start. Without a standout speed figure to lean on, the case for this runner rests on factors not evident in the available form. The main thing to watch is whether it can navigate from that wide draw and prove competitive at the class level.

Class / market Barrier