Team-list/conditions update: tip now Roosters comfortably (16+).
Roosters
✓12-5
Storm
8-10
Roosters comfortably (16+)
💬 FormPicks Commentary
The Roosters have this one to lose. They're in red-hot form with three straight wins, they finish games strongly (outscore opponents by over 4 points after half-time on average), and they're 6-2 at home this season. Storm are the concern here - they're 2-6 away from home and have won just one of their last three in wet conditions, which could factor given the weather forecast. The key thing to watch is whether Storm can stay competitive in the opening half; if the Roosters get ahead early and lean on their bench strength in greasy conditions, Storm will be playing catch-up against a side that thrives on closing out.
What's driving the pick
Bars show how far each factor swings the projected margin. Built from ELO ratings, season scoring rates, recent form, venue, interstate travel and rest - never from betting markets.
Team news & line-ups
Roosters - out
- Robert Toia · Centre−1.4
Storm: full-strength side named.
Roosters
- 1Cody Ramsey
- 2Daniel Tupou
- 3Billy Smith
- 4Hugo Savala
- 5Mark Nawaqanitawase
- 6Daly Cherry-Evans (c)
- 7Sam Walker
- 8Naufahu Whyte
- 9Reece Robson
- 10Spencer Leniu
- 11Nat Butcher
- 12Siua Wong
- 13Victor Radley (c)
Interchange
- 14Connor Watson
- 15Salesi Foketi
- 16Egan Butcher
- 17Taylor Losalu
Storm
- 1Sualauvi Faalogo
- 2Will Warbrick
- 3Jack Howarth
- 4Nick Meaney
- 6Tyran Wishart
- 7Trent Toelau
- 8Stefano Utoikamanu
- 9Harry Grant (c)
- 10Josh King
- 11Cooper Clarke
- 12Oryn Keeley
- 13Trent Loiero
Interchange
- 14Gabriel Satrick
- 15Jack Hetherington
- 16Josiah Pahulu
- 17Alec MacDonald
Named squads from the official team lists. “Out” compares the named side to each team's recent first-choice; the figure is the projected points swing.
Roosters
Strong finishers - outscore opponents by 3.9 points after half-time on average.
Red-hot - riding a 4-game winning streak.
Fortress at home - 7-2 on their own deck this season.
Storm
Poor travellers - only 2-7 away from home.
Struggle in the wet - only 1 of 3 won in greasy conditions.
Season form guide
Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NRL match data for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.