Today's Australian Horse Racing Tips

Over Courting?

Whether the leaders go flat out. Settling well back, it needs the leaders to go hard and fade. Placed last start, beaten 6.5L, it's racing in form. The catch is just one placing from three starts, so it needs Courting's soft debut to fall flat.

Over Courting?

Whether the soft ground suits. Laing and Stanley strike well above expectation over their last 100 runners, and barrier 2 gives a soft run. The catch is no wins from nine starts and 4.5kg more than Courting. It beats Courting only if the wet suits a horse yet to win on soft.

Over Rebel Terra?

Whether the spell has dulled it. No first-up record yet after a spell, so the trial is the evidence. It finished second there, beaten half a length, and carries 1.5kg less than Rebel Terra from barrier 3. It only needs that trial sharpness to carry into a soft run.

Over Rebel Terra?

Whether it can overcome barrier 8. Placed last start, beaten half a length, so it's racing in form. Barrier 8 of 8 is the catch, and it's up 2kg on that run. It needs to work across from the outside and keep the form going.

Over Bohemian Blitz?

Whether the 1kg rise matters. Satoshi has among the quickest recent time figures in the field and jumps from barrier 3 for a soft run. The catch is 0 wins from 4 starts and a 1kg rise. It only needs a clean run from the 3 to reel in a top pick with a thin edge.

Over Bohemian Blitz?

Whether the speed holds. Bohemian Blitz carries 58kg, 2kg more than Ruby Guild's 56kg. Ruby Guild jumps from 4 rather than 10 and has the quickest recent time figure here. The catch is no placings from 5 starts, so it only needs that speed to hold up at the weight.

Over Sunset Trail?

Whether the barrier costs it. Eight starts for a win and two placings, and it was only a nose back to Sunset Trail at Grafton. It carries 1kg less today and is down 1.5kg on last start. The catch is a draw from 5, but a clean run from there could flip that nose.

Over Sunset Trail?

Whether the wide draw costs. Sunset Trail should be on the speed, so the race may set up for a closer. She's A Dame was placed last start, beaten 1.5L, and carries the same 57.5kg. The catch is the wide draw from 7, so it only beats Sunset Trail if it can save ground from there.

Over Best Terms?

Whether it crosses from barrier 13. Expect a fight for the lead, and Blue Valentine wants to be the one out front, having led early in 2 of its last 5. It's 2kg lighter than Best Terms with the quickest recent time figure in the field, and it only needs to get across from barrier 13 to sit there.

Over Best Terms?

Whether the winkers rattle Best Terms. Its record is 5 starts, 0 wins and 3 placings, a horse that reliably finishes in the money. It was placed last start, beaten 4L, and carries 2kg less than Best Terms. It needs those first-time winkers to unsettle Best Terms.

Over Regor?

Whether the soft going suits. Bold Conquer won its last start by 1L at Goulburn and carries 3.5kg less than Regor. It's untested on soft, which is the catch. If the wet doesn't trouble it, that weight edge could be the difference.

Over Regor?

Whether the wet beats it again. Jimmy's Ready carries 4kg less than Regor and is down 2.5kg on its last start. It's yet to win on soft from 3 tries, and it jumps from barrier 10. The 1200m trip has suited it, so the weight may carry it past Regor.

Over Tickety Boo?

Whether the wide gate costs it. Likely up on the speed, so it should be near the pace with Tickety Boo. Quickest recent time figure in the field, and 2.5kg lighter. The catch is first-time winkers from gate 11, so it needs to jump and get across cleanly from there.

Over Tickety Boo?

Whether Warren's form holds. Likely run in the middle, so it doesn't need to lead from gate 7. Jason Warren is in form, well above expectation across the last 100 runners. The catch is one start with no placing and up 1kg, so it needs to settle and finish.

Over Queen Of Russia?

How it handles the soft. Queen Of Russia's wide draw, 13 of 14, is the soft spot. Blazing Future jumps from barrier 1 and the Kliese/Whiteley pairing strike well above expectation. It's unproven on soft, with no win from 6 tries, so it needs to handle the wet better than its record suggests.

Over Queen Of Russia?

Whether the lead comes easily. Both want the front, but Queen Of Russia has to come from barrier 13 of 14 to get there. Moonya Lad jumps from 10 with among the quickest recent time figures in the field, 1.8 lengths a km under the track average. It carries 2kg more, so it needs the lead to come easily.

Over Zweigelt?

The soft ground. Bills Angel carries 57kg to Zweigelt's 59kg, so it has 2kg less on its back. It was placed last start and beaten 1.5L, so it's in form. The catch is it's yet to win on soft from 5 tries, so it only needs the wet to be no bother.

Over Zweigelt?

Whether the winkers settle it. Zweigelt carries 59kg, 1.5kg more than Pineto Lad's 57.5kg. Pineto Lad holds the quickest recent time figure in the field, 5.9 lengths a km under the track average. The catch is first-time winkers, and it usually settles back, so it needs a clean run from the rear.

Over Cosmic Voyage?

Whether the soft ground suits. One start, no wins, no placings, so the record says little yet. Barrier 3 should mean a soft run, and it carries 2kg less than Cosmic Voyage. It beats the top pick if untested soft ground troubles Cosmic Voyage more than it troubles this one.

Over Cosmic Voyage?

Whether the spell has blunted it. Drawn 12 in a 14-horse field, it starts a long way from Cosmic Voyage at barrier 2. The catch is it's back from a spell with no first-up record. It beats the top pick if the spell hasn't blunted it.

Over Kool Kade?

Whether the wide gate costs it. It carries 3.5kg less than Kool Kade and drops from Class 1 into Benchmark 58. The catch is barrier 8 and a 2.5kg rise on its last start. It needs the speed battle to leave it an opening from the wide gate.

Over Kool Kade?

Whether the blinkers sharpen it. It's 1 win from 3 on soft ground and among the quickest recent times in the field, 2.0 lengths a km under the track average. The catch is first-time blinkers, up 3kg last start. It needs the blinkers to sharpen it rather than unsettle it.