Bulldogs
8-9
Warriors
12-5
Warriors by around 5
Bulldogs
Handle the wet - 3 from 3 in rain or heavy conditions.
Ice in the clutch - 4 of 5 games decided by six or less have gone their way.
Slow out of the blocks - outscored by 5.3 points a half before the break.
Poor travellers - only 2-6 away from home.
Warriors
Strong finishers - outscore opponents by 8.1 points after half-time on average.
Handle the wet - 2 from 2 in rain or heavy conditions.
Fast starters - average a 3.8-point first-half lead (13.8 pts a half).
Miserly defence - conceding just 16.9 points a game.
Fortress at home - 7-2 on their own deck this season.
Shaky in tight finishes - just 1 of 4 one-score games won.
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Warriors come in as the clear favourites here, and their scoreboard profile is the reason why: they're fast starters who average a 3.8-point first-half lead and strong finishers who outscore opponents by 8.1 points after half-time, which is a genuine edge over a Bulldogs side that bleeds points early. The wrinkle is conditions - fine weather is expected, which strips away both teams' wet-weather nous and removes a Bulldogs strength. Bulldogs are fighting for their season and playing at home, but Warriors' superior defensive rating and composure across the park makes them the pick, even on the road. Watch the opening 20 minutes: if Bulldogs can weather the Warriors' fast start and stay within touch, their clutch gene in tight finishes gives them a genuine sniff.
Team Stats · Head to Head
How each side is actually playing, and the meters behind it - season form, the last 5, and their most recent game.
Momentum
Bulldogs
Warriors
Last Game Key Callouts
v
Dragonsv
Wests TigersPost-contact metres Up 113m on their last 5 average
Tackle breaks Down 8 on their last 5 average
Run metres Up 239m on their last 5 average
Post-contact metres Up 75m on their last 5 average
The Meters Behind It
Run metres
Post-contact metres
Line breaks
Tackle breaks
Offloads
Kick metres
Completion
Set distance
Errors
Missed tackles
Effective tackle %
Penalties conceded
Full-game team stats harvested after each round. Blue marks the stronger side in each column - fewer errors, missed tackles and penalties count as better.
Half-Time Watch
Angles to have ready at the break - bets that come into play if the first half unfolds like this.
If it's tight at the break → back Warriors to own the second half - their 2nd-half line / win-2nd-half is the value.
Warriors win second halves by 8.1 points a game on average. Even on the road they average +10.5 after the break.
If the first half is a grind → expect it to stay that way - the 2nd-half under is the value.
When these sides have played out a quiet first half, the second half has averaged 17.8 points - well down on the 22 their games usually produce after the break. Quiet halves have stayed quiet, not burst open.
In-play prompts from season scoring patterns - not live odds. Always your call at the break.
Team news & line-ups
Bulldogs
- 1Connor Tracey
- 2Jacob Kiraz
- 3Matt Burton
- 4Enari Tuala
- 5Jethro Rinakama
- 6Stephen Crichton (c)
- 7Lachlan Galvin
- 8Max King
- 9Bailey Hayward
- 10Leo Thompson
- 11Viliame Kikau
- 12Jacob Preston
- 13Jaeman Salmon
Interchange
- 14Sean O'Sullivan
- 15Josh Curran
- 16Harry Hayes
- 17Lipoi Hopoi
Warriors
- 1Taine Tuaupiki
- 2Dallin Watene-Zelezniak
- 3Ali Leiataua
- 4Adam Pompey
- 5Alofiana Khan-Pereira
- 6Chanel Harris-Tavita
- 7Te Maire Martin
- 8James Fisher-Harris (c)
- 9Wayde Egan
- 10Mitchell Barnett (c)
- 11Kurt Capewell
- 12Jacob Laban
- 13Erin Clark
Interchange
- 14Sam Healey
- 15Tanner Stowers-Smith
- 16Demitric Vaimauga
- 17Leka Halasima
Named squads from the official team lists. “Out” compares the named side to each team's recent first-choice; the figure is the projected points swing.
Season form guide
Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NRL match data for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.