Team-list/conditions update: tip now Panthers by 8-ish.
Eels
6-12
Panthers
✓14-4
Panthers by 8-ish
Eels
Tend to fade - conceding 7.3 more points than they score in second halves.
Slow out of the blocks - outscored by 3.6 points a half before the break.
Poor travellers - only 2-6 away from home.
Leaky at the back - shipping 29.5 points a game.
Panthers
Fast starters - average a 12.7-point first-half lead (18.2 pts a half).
Strong finishers - outscore opponents by 3.6 points after half-time on average.
Miserly defence - conceding just 14.2 points a game.
Fortress at home - 7-1 on their own deck this season.
Ice in the clutch - 3 of 5 games decided by six or less have gone their way.
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Panthers come here as the clear favourites, and it's hard to argue. They're averaging a 12.7-point first-half lead, outscore sides by 3.6 in the second half, and are conceding just 13.9 points a game compared to Parramatta's 29.8. The Eels have been slow starters down by 3.6 before half-time and a real worry away from home at 2-6. Panthers are 7-1 at CommBank this season and have the scoreboard profile to punish Parramatta's leaky defence early. Watch whether Penrith's shorter turnaround blunts their usual fast start, because if the Eels get on top in the opening 40, their fresh legs and home ground could make this a genuine contest.
Team Stats · Head to Head
How each side is actually playing, and the meters behind it - season form, the last 5, and their most recent game.
Momentum
Eels
Panthers
Last Game Key Callouts
vEelsvPanthersTackle breaks Down 18 on their last 5 average
Post-contact metres Down 103m on their last 5 average
Run metres Down 316m on their last 5 average
Run metres Down 304m on their last 5 average
The Meters Behind It
Run metres
Post-contact metres
Line breaks
Tackle breaks
Offloads
Kick metres
Completion
Set distance
Errors
Missed tackles
Effective tackle %
Penalties conceded
Full-game team stats harvested after each round. Blue marks the stronger side in each column - fewer errors, missed tackles and penalties count as better.
Team news & line-ups
Eels - out
- Sean Russell · Centre−1.4
Panthers - out
- Dylan Edwards · Fullback−3
Eels
- 1Isaiah Iongi
- 2Brian Kelly
- 3Jordan Samrani
- 5Josh Addo-Carr
- 6Ronald Volkman
- 7Mitchell Moses (c)
- 8Sam Tuivaiti
- 9Tallyn Da Silva
- 10Jack Williams
- 11Kelma Tuilagi
- 12Kitione Kautoga
- 13Jack De Belin
Interchange
- 14Dylan Walker
- 15Luca Moretti
- 16Teancum Brown
- 17Harrison Edwards
Panthers
- 2Thomas Jenkins
- 3Paul Alamoti
- 4Casey McLean
- 5Brian To'o
- 6Blaize Talagi
- 7Nathan Cleary (c)
- 8Moses Leota
- 9Freddy Lussick
- 10Lindsay Smith
- 11Isaiah Papali'i
- 12Liam Martin
- 13Isaah Yeo (c)
Interchange
- 14Billy Scott
- 15Scott Sorensen
- 16Liam Henry
- 17Billy Phillips
Named squads from the official team lists. “Out” compares the named side to each team's recent first-choice; the figure is the projected points swing.
Season form guide
Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NRL match data for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.