Team-list/conditions update: tip now Sharks by 7-ish.
Sea Eagles
9-9
Sharks
11-6
Sharks by 7-ish
Sea Eagles
Strong finishers - outscore opponents by 3.1 points after half-time on average.
Fast starters - average a 3.9-point first-half lead (13.3 pts a half).
Miserly defence - conceding just 19.3 points a game.
Shaky in tight finishes - just 1 of 7 one-score games won.
Out of sorts - on a 3-game losing run.
Struggle in the wet - only 1 of 4 won in greasy conditions.
Sharks
Ice in the clutch - 3 of 3 games decided by six or less have gone their way.
Strong finishers - outscore opponents by 3.4 points after half-time on average.
Fast starters - average a 4-point first-half lead (14.7 pts a half).
Red-hot - riding a 3-game winning streak.
Fortress at home - 7-2 on their own deck this season.
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Sharks are the sharper side here and should be backed, but it's not a lock. They're red-hot on a three-game winning run and have ice in the clutch - winning all three games decided by six points or less - while Manly are slumping and winless in three. Both teams start fast, but Cronulla's first-half edge is fractionally bigger and they finish harder too, outscore opponents by 3.4 points after the break compared to Manly's 3.1. The key watch is Manly's desperation factor: they're ninth and fighting for their finals life, and Sea Eagles are genuinely dangerous fast starters who can build a half-time lead. If they get in front early, their record in tight finishes becomes the story - they've won just one of seven one-score games, and that's where the Sharks' experience in close contests will be tested hardest.
Team Stats · Head to Head
How each side is actually playing, and the meters behind it - season form, the last 5, and their most recent game.
Momentum
Sea Eagles
Sharks
Last Game Key Callouts
v
Knightsv
TitansPenalties Down 5 on their last 5 average
Post-contact metres Down 132m on their last 5 average
Completion Down 13% on their last 5 average
Errors Up 4 on their last 5 average
The Meters Behind It
Run metres
Post-contact metres
Line breaks
Tackle breaks
Offloads
Kick metres
Completion
Set distance
Errors
Missed tackles
Effective tackle %
Penalties conceded
Full-game team stats harvested after each round. Blue marks the stronger side in each column - fewer errors, missed tackles and penalties count as better.
Half-Time Watch
Angles to have ready at the break - bets that come into play if the first half unfolds like this.
If it's close at the break, momentum is with Sharks → back the streak - their 2nd-half line / win-2nd-half is the value.
Sharks have won 3 straight and are running hot late - +8.2 after the break across their last 5 games.
In-play prompts from season scoring patterns - not live odds. Always your call at the break.
Team news & line-ups
Sea Eagles
- 1Lehi Hopoate
- 2Jason Saab
- 3Josh Feledy
- 4Reuben Garrick
- 5Tolutau Koula
- 6Joey Walsh
- 7Jamal Fogarty
- 8Taniela Paseka
- 9Jake Simpkin
- 10Simione Laiafi
- 11Haumole Olakau'atu
- 12Ben Trbojevic
- 13Jake Trbojevic (c)
Interchange
- 14Nicholas Lenaz
- 15Nathan Brown
- 16Kobe Hetherington
- 17Ethan Bullemor
Sharks
- 1William Kennedy
- 2Sione Katoa
- 3Jesse Ramien
- 4KL Iro
- 5Ronaldo Mulitalo
- 6Braydon Trindall
- 7Nicho Hynes
- 8Addin Fonua-Blake
- 9Blayke Brailey (c)
- 11Briton Nikora
- 12Teig Wilton
- 13Cameron McInnes (c)
Interchange
- 14Jesse Colquhoun
- 15Billy Burns
- 16Siosifa Talakai
- 17Oregon Kaufusi
Named squads from the official team lists. “Out” compares the named side to each team's recent first-choice; the figure is the projected points swing.
Season form guide
Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NRL match data for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.