Carnarvon Toyworld (Bm56+)

Awesome Lily draws barrier 3, which should allow a soft run in running. However, the rating case is constrained by three concerns: recent form has wobbled, the horse is stepping up in class, and recent speed figures offer no standout marker of improvement. The main thing to watch is whether those recent form struggles reverse and whether the class shift proves manageable.

Urban Warrior resumes today with a concerning 0-for-8 record first-up and typically needs a run to find form, which is the main thing to watch. The positive driver is the Malcolm Mackenzie/Sharni Webster combination, which has struck 93% above expectation over the last 100 runs. However, the rating is weighed down by concerns around class movement and recent form, so this shapes up as a watch-and-wait proposition rather than a confident play on debut for this campaign.

Odin Omen resumes today with a positive fresh record of 2 from 5 first-up runs, and the Cliff Howe/Jefferson Tsang combination is striking 31% above expectation across their last 100 runners, which is a meaningful edge. However, recent form and recent speed both present concerns, and there's also a class or market concern flagged in the profile. First-time blinkers are being applied as a sharpening tool, which is the main thing to watch for whether the gear change can unlock improvement from a horse that hasn't shown standout recent numbers.

Run Teddy Run has posted among the quickest recent time figures in the field, running 0.3s under track par, and the jockey-trainer combo of Jordan Turner and Jacquelyn Scott has struck 57% above expectation over their last 100 rides together. The main thing to watch is that the horse is resuming today and has yet to win first-up from 5 attempts, usually needing a run to find peak form, plus it faces a wide barrier 7 of 8 to navigate.