Grafton · Race 7

Advantage Pharmacy / A Bowling Painter Country Boosted (Bm58)

1700m · Soft 5 · $35,000

4:40 pm

Our Pick

Strong Pick🟡Moderate Risk

Flaming Genesis

🎯Sit 'n' Shoot
🎯

Won 1 of 3 starts at 1700m. Distance suits this horse.

📈

Placed last start, beaten just 2 lengths. Racing in form.

Jockey D Chujo 55% above expectation from last 100 rides.

The Read

Flaming Genesis has winning form at the trip (1 win from 3 starts over 1700m) and comes to this race off a placing beaten just 2 lengths, which suggests the horse is racing in form. Jockey D Chujo is performing well above expectation across his last 100 runners (55% above), adding a meaningful edge to the booking. The main thing to watch is the class move into this race and how the track and conditions suit on the day.

Track & conditions Class move Class / market Trial form

Key factors driving the rating up (▲) and down (▼).

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

⚔️Danger🎯Sit 'n' ShootSpeed King

Venom Wolf

5

J: Raymond Spokes · T: D L Matts

Quickest recent time figure in the field, 0.8 seconds under par.

⏸️

Resuming today after a break, yet to win first-up from 4 attempts.

🔄

Usually needs a run to find peak form after time away.

The Read

Venom Wolf carries the quickest recent time figure in the field, running 0.8 seconds under track par, and the trainer is in strong current form. The case leans on that recent speed and the stable's strike rate as genuine positives. The main thing to watch is the resumption factor: Venom Wolf has failed to win in 4 first-up attempts and typically needs a run to find peak form, so query whether today's freshness outweighs that pattern.

Class move Class / market Recent speed Trainer form
🎯Next Best📈In Form🔥Hot Jockey

Gavin

3

J: Archie Mc Colm · T: Stephen & Jordan Lee

🐴

Back after a break. Placed 1 from 4 on first-up returns.

📈

Last start placed, beaten 11 lengths. Form is solid.

🎯

Barrier 3 should give Gavin a soft, uninterrupted run.

The Read

Gavin has a decent record when resuming, with one win from four first-up runs, and comes here off a placing last start beaten 11 lengths, which shows the horse is racing in form. The jockey's recent strike rate is a strength to the case, and barrier 3 should allow a soft run in running. The main thing to watch is the class move into this race, which presents a concern given the step up in grade.

Class move Class / market Jockey form

Full Field

The read on each runner - look past the pick for value.

1

Sound And Vision

J: Grady Spokes · T: Ms K Owen

Last 566x87

Sound And Vision draws barrier 1 for a soft run, which is a genuine structural advantage, but the case here carries real caution: the horse is resuming today with a poor first-up record of 0 from 11 starts, and the class move and market positioning register as concerns. The one slot of genuine form comes second-up into a prep (1 win from 11 starts), so fitness and the step up in class are the key things to watch closely.

Class move Class / market Barrier Recent form
2

Awarded Glory

J: Olivia Dalton · T: T M Whittington

🌊Swimmer🎯Sit 'n' Shoot🔥Hot Jockey
Last 5143x0

Awarded Glory won its last start by 2L at Grafton and is resuming today with a first-up record of 1 from 2, suggesting it runs well fresh. Jockey Olivia Dalton is riding 36% above expectation across her last 100 rides, adding genuine value to the claim. Barrier 2 should allow the horse to find a soft run. The main thing to watch is how it handles any step up in class, and whether recent speed and form translate to this assignment.

Track & conditions Class move Recent speed Recent form
3

Gavin🎯 Next Best

J: Archie Mc Colm · T: Stephen & Jordan Lee

📈In Form🔥Hot Jockey
Last 523369

Gavin has a decent record when resuming, with one win from four first-up runs, and comes here off a placing last start beaten 11 lengths, which shows the horse is racing in form. The jockey's recent strike rate is a strength to the case, and barrier 3 should allow a soft run in running. The main thing to watch is the class move into this race, which presents a concern given the step up in grade.

Class move Class / market Jockey form
4

Tara Koda

J: Mikayla Weir · T: J D Shelton

🎯Sit 'n' Shoot🔥Hot Jockey
Last 556104

Tara Koda is resuming today with jockey Mikayla Weir, who is riding 42% above expectation across her last 100 rides, providing a clear strength in the saddle. The main concern is a class move, which works against the case here. Watch closely that Tara Koda has yet to win first-up from 4 attempts and usually needs a run to find form.

Class move Jockey form
5

Venom Wolf⚔️ Danger

J: Raymond Spokes · T: D L Matts

🎯Sit 'n' ShootSpeed King
Last 574172

Venom Wolf carries the quickest recent time figure in the field, running 0.8 seconds under track par, and the trainer is in strong current form. The case leans on that recent speed and the stable's strike rate as genuine positives. The main thing to watch is the resumption factor: Venom Wolf has failed to win in 4 first-up attempts and typically needs a run to find peak form, so query whether today's freshness outweighs that pattern.

Class move Class / market Recent speed Trainer form
6

Queen Of Tayrona

J: Yvette Lewis · T: G N Nielsen

Last 583719

Queen Of Tayrona is resuming from a break today, and the case leans on whether it can overcome a poor first-up record: it has failed to win in 6 previous attempts fresh and typically needs a run to hit its straps. Watch closely how it handles the return to racing, as that's the key variable in play here.

Class move Class / market Recent speed Recent form
8

Sinatra

J: Nick Heywood · T: M J Dunn

🌊Swimmer🎯Sit 'n' Shoot
Last 551086

Sinatra has a solid 25% career strike rate (2 from 8 wins) and shows a positive fresh-up record with 1 from 2 placements on resumption, which supports today's return. The trainer is in strong form, a concrete strength in the horse's favour. However, recent form and recent speed are both concerns that need careful monitoring, and there is no standout speed figure to lean on. The main watch is whether those recent form concerns have been addressed during the break, as that will heavily shape the horse's chances today.

Recent form Recent speed Trainer form Class / market
10

Ourlegseleven

J: Noriyuki Masuda · T: Ms S Pepper

🎯Sit 'n' Shoot
Last 513977

Ourlegseleven comes up on the back of a 1L win at Ballina and resumes today with a first-up record of 2 from 4, suggesting it handles a fresh assignment well. The Ms S Pepper and Noriyuki Masuda combination is striking 105% above expectation across their last 100 runners, which is a strong endorsement of the horsemanship here. The main concern is a class move up the ladder, and recent speed figures offer no standout marker to lean on, so watch whether it can handle the step in class while fresh.

Class move Recent form Class / market Recent speed
13

Dupont

J: Teighan Worsnop · T: D W Dwane

Last 508610

Dupont has trainer D W Dwane firing at 28% above expectation across the last 100 runners, which is the clearest positive here. The horse is suited at today's 1700m trip, with 1 win from 3 starts at the distance. However, the main thing to watch is that Dupont is winless from 6 first-up attempts (0 from 6), though it does have 1 win from 5 starts when second-up in a prep, so fitness and recovery from the break will be critical to monitor.

Class move Recent speed Class / market Recent form
14

Flaming GenesisTOP PICK

J: Nozi Tomizawa · T: D Chujo

🎯Sit 'n' Shoot
Last 53414x

Flaming Genesis has winning form at the trip (1 win from 3 starts over 1700m) and comes to this race off a placing beaten just 2 lengths, which suggests the horse is racing in form. Jockey D Chujo is performing well above expectation across his last 100 runners (55% above), adding a meaningful edge to the booking. The main thing to watch is the class move into this race and how the track and conditions suit on the day.

Track & conditions Class move Class / market Trial form
16

Ottoman Empire

J: Jodi Worley · T: J I Herriot

🏃Front Runner
Last 59751x

Ottoman Empire has a proven winning record at Grafton over this 1700m trip (1 win from 5 starts) and shows a pattern of running well fresh with 2 placings from 9 resumptions. The Herriot and Worley combination is performing 175% above expectation over their last 100 rides, which is the most concrete edge here. The main concern to monitor is the wide barrier 16 draw, which will need to be managed in the run.

Class / market Barrier Recent form Class move