Seymour · Race 9
Tallarook Rural Supplies (Bm62)
1300m · Heavy 9 · $35,000
Our Pick
Our Justify
Placed 2 of 2 times when fresh. Resuming today with proven record.
Hunter and Newitt combining at 93% above expectation over last 100.
Last start beaten half a length. Horse currently racing in form.
The Read
Our Justify resumes today with a reliable fresh record (2 placements from 2 first-up runs) and the Jerome Hunter and Craig Newitt combination is striking well above expectation at 93% over the last 100 rides. The horse raced in form last start, beaten just half a length, which underpins the recent speed credentials. The main thing to watch is the heavy going, which presents an untested variable in today's conditions.
Key factors driving the rating up (▲) and down (▼).
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Cashout
1🔧 Gelded .J: Lachlan Neindorf · T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
Back after a break. Placed on return before, one from one.
Barrier 1 draw should allow soft run in the field.
First time racing on heavy going. Conditions are untested.
The Read
Cashout has an ideal resumption profile, with a perfect first-up record (1 from 1) and a barrier 1 draw that should allow a soft run in running. Trainer form rates as a strength across the card. The main watch point is that this is a first attempt on heavy going, and while the horse's fresh fitness and barrier setup favour a bold showing, the untested heavy track conditions represent genuine uncertainty.
Capricorn Star
9J: Caitlin Hollowood · T: Julius Sandhu
Back after break. Placed 2 from 4 times returning first-up.
Handles heavy ground well. Won 1 from 3 on heavy.
Sandhu and Hollowood combining at 142% above expectation last 100.
The Read
Capricorn Star resumes today with a solid fresh record (2 from 4 first-up), and the Julius Sandhu/Caitlin Hollowood combination has struck 142% above expectation across their last 100 rides together, which is the main strength here. The horse also has proven heavy-ground form with 1 win from 3 starts on heavy going. The main thing to watch is whether the track conditions suit and whether fresh legs translate to competitive form in this particular field.
Full Field
The read on each runner - look past the pick for value.
Cashout⚔️ Danger🔧 Gelded .
J: Lachlan Neindorf · T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
Cashout has an ideal resumption profile, with a perfect first-up record (1 from 1) and a barrier 1 draw that should allow a soft run in running. Trainer form rates as a strength across the card. The main watch point is that this is a first attempt on heavy going, and while the horse's fresh fitness and barrier setup favour a bold showing, the untested heavy track conditions represent genuine uncertainty.
Hawk Power
J: Luke Currie · T: P Koumis
Hawk Power brings the quickest recent time figure in the field, running 2.2 seconds under track par, which is genuine strength on the clock. The case leans on that recent speed and a soft draw from barrier 2 that should allow an economical passage. The main watch is that this horse is resuming today and has yet to win first-up from 5 attempts, usually needing a run to find peak form, so fitness and racecraft will matter more than raw ability here.
Tijuana
J: Cassidy Hill · T: Peter Smith
Tijuana has a positive first-up record with 2 wins from 6 resumptions and runs well fresh, which is relevant today. The horse posted one of the quickest recent time figures in the field, clocking 0.7 seconds under the track par. However, recent form and trainer form are flagged as concerns, so watch for confirmation that the speed figure translates at this track and distance.
Our JustifyTOP PICK
J: Craig Newitt · T: Jerome Hunter
Our Justify resumes today with a reliable fresh record (2 placements from 2 first-up runs) and the Jerome Hunter and Craig Newitt combination is striking well above expectation at 93% over the last 100 rides. The horse raced in form last start, beaten just half a length, which underpins the recent speed credentials. The main thing to watch is the heavy going, which presents an untested variable in today's conditions.
Capricorn Star🎯 Next Best
J: Caitlin Hollowood · T: Julius Sandhu
Capricorn Star resumes today with a solid fresh record (2 from 4 first-up), and the Julius Sandhu/Caitlin Hollowood combination has struck 142% above expectation across their last 100 rides together, which is the main strength here. The horse also has proven heavy-ground form with 1 win from 3 starts on heavy going. The main thing to watch is whether the track conditions suit and whether fresh legs translate to competitive form in this particular field.
Bardia's Dream🔧 Blinkers off first time, winkers first time.
J: Ryan Houston · T: Simon Zahra
Bardia's Dream has a solid record when resuming with two wins from five fresh attempts, which is the main form positive here. The horse is stepping up in class, a move that typically suits improvers, though recent form has been patchy enough to warrant caution. First-time blinkers suggest the stable sees room to sharpen the weapon. The key unknown is how this runner will handle heavy going, which it faces for the first time today - monitor that closely as the track cuts up.
Best Of The Best🔧 Cross-over nose band first time, gelded .
J: Damien Thornton · T: Clayton Douglas
Best Of The Best has a sharp fresh record of 1 win from 2 starts first-up, and Clayton Douglas is riding in form, running 24% above expectation across his last 100 runners. The main thing to watch is that this is the horse's first run on heavy going, so there is genuine uncertainty about how it will handle these conditions.
Zourain
J: Ruby Lamont · T: R D Griffiths
Zourain's case leans on trainer form and an in-form jockey in Ruby Lamont, who is riding 30% above expectation across her last 100 rides. The main concern is recent form, compounded by a wide barrier 17 of 17 to overcome. Watch closely that Zourain is resuming today with a poor first-up record (0 from 5), though it has struck once into the prep previously (1 win from 5 starts second-up), which leaves the fitness angle uncertain.