What's driving the pick
How the points should come
Jaguars should do their damage early, a fast start is the key to this one
Q1
7-6
Actual 14-0
Half
14-12
Actual 24-0
Q3
20-14
Actual 34-3
Final
25-20
Actual 34-10
- Browns score 61% of their points before half-time
Our points call for each side, spread over the game by when they have scored and conceded this season.
⚡Momentum
How each side has been playing, the season, the last 5 and the last game.
Jaguars
Browns
Team Stats · Head to Head
How each side is actually playing. A season figure marked with a year is last year's, until that side has three games on the board this one. The last 5 and last game always run back from its most recent outing, whichever season that fell in.
The stat map
JAX
CLE JAX CLE JAX CLE JAX CLEAttack
Last 5Last gameDefence
Last 5Last gameBall security
Last 5Last gameDiscipline
Last 5Last gameFull-game team stats from nflverse, updated after each week.
🧮Factor breakdown
How each factor swings the projected margin. Built from ratings, efficiency, form, rest, the home field and who is out. Never from betting markets.
Bars show how far each factor swings the projected margin. Built from ELO ratings, expected points added per play on both sides of the ball, recent form, home field, rest days and the injury report - never from betting markets.
🏆Form guide · 2025 season
JaguarsBrowns
