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FormPicksSunday 18 October
UFC Tips & Predictions
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Saturday 17 October · every fight on the card
Completed
Main event·Welterweight
5 rds
#11Balanced
Mike Malott
✓14-2-1
WWWWL
Won 4 of 5
Last KO v Gilbert Burns
vKO R2
#8Balanced
Joaquin Buckley
21-8-0
LLWWW
Won 3 of 5
Last DEC v Sean Brady
🤝Line-BallToo close to call
Too close to call
Model splits it 50-50. Not enough between them to name a winner.
What splits them
- Harder to take down
- Takes less damage
- Busier striker
- Younger man
- 3.0in reach edge
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Malott's knockout of Burns looks impressive until you remember Buckley's youth and three-inch reach let him outpoint Brady. This genuinely feels like a coin flip. Expect the distance, but Malott's takedown defence and activity could undo it if Buckley can't find his range early.
🥊
How it ends
Malott 50%50% Buckley
Mike Malott wins by KO 18%, by submission 7%, on the cards 25%. Joaquin Buckley wins by KO 20%, by submission 5%, on the cards 26%.
⏱️
When it ends
Judges 51% Ends by KO/TKO Ends by submission Goes to the judges
📖
How their fights end
3 round fights
Mike Malott
2 of 7 to the cards · 4 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Joaquin Buckley
7 of 16 to the cards · 6 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
5 round fights
Mike Malott
0 of 1 to the cards · 0 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
R4
R5
Dec
Joaquin Buckley
1 of 1 to the cards · 0 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
R4
R5
Dec
Win Loss Submission (ringed)
⚖️
Head to head
Striking
3.94Strikes landed / min3.62
2.83Strikes absorbed / min3.10
0.98Knockdowns / 15 min0.68
0.00Knockdowns absorbed / 150.30
Grappling
1.57Takedowns / 15 min1.43
0.59Takedowns conceded / 151.28
0.59Sub attempts / 15 min0.08
Finishing
71%Wins by finish64%
100%Losses by finish33%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Completed · Pick Missed✗
Co-main event·Women's Flyweight
3 rds
#6Grappler
Jasmine Jasudavicius
✓15-4-0
WLWWW
Won 4 of 5
Last DEC v Karine Silva
vDEC R3
#3Balanced
Erin Blanchfield
14-2-0
WWLWW
Won 4 of 5, 1 as an underdog
Last SUB v Tracy Cortez
⭐Our PickSolid call
Erin Blanchfield
to win on the cards
MethodDecisionFinish38%
- Younger man
- Busier striker
- Absorbs more damage
- 2.0in reach deficit
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Blanchfield's the pick on the cards here. She's sharper on the feet and should control this at range, though the layoff is a real concern. Jasudavicius grinds on the ground. If Blanchfield absorbs damage early, that reach deficit starts to matter.
🥊
How it ends
Jasudavicius 36%64% Blanchfield
Jasmine Jasudavicius wins by KO 7%, by submission 6%, on the cards 23%. Erin Blanchfield wins by KO 14%, by submission 11%, on the cards 40%.
⏱️
When it ends
Judges 63% Ends by KO/TKO Ends by submission Goes to the judges
📖
How their fights end
3 round fights
Jasmine Jasudavicius
8 of 12 to the cards · 2 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Erin Blanchfield
3 of 6 to the cards · 3 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
5 round fights
Jasmine Jasudavicius
none yetR1
R2
R3
R4
R5
Dec
Erin Blanchfield
2 of 3 to the cards · 1 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
R4
R5
Dec
Win Loss Submission (ringed)
⚖️
Head to head
Striking
3.35Strikes landed / min5.24
3.38Strikes absorbed / min4.25
0.10Knockdowns / 15 min0.00
0.00Knockdowns absorbed / 150.00
Grappling
2.49Takedowns / 15 min1.96
0.40Takedowns conceded / 150.61
0.60Sub attempts / 15 min0.86
Finishing
33%Wins by finish50%
33%Losses by finish0%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Completed
Undercard·Lightweight
3 rdsBalanced
Cristian Perez
✓15-2-0
No UFC fights yet
vKO R1
Balanced
Kyle Nelson
17-7-1
LWLWW
Won 3 of 5, 2 as underdogs
Last KO v Terrance McKinney
⏳No call
Not enough UFC history to call this one
A debutant has no UFC fights to build a read from, so we sit this one out rather than guess.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Completed · Pick Missed✗
Undercard·Middleweight
3 rds
Striker
Marc-Andre Barriault
✓17-11-0 (1 NC)
LLWLL
Won 1 of 5
Last DEC v Michal Oleksiejczuk
vKO R1
Balanced
Kyle Daukaus
17-5-0 (1 NC)
LWWLL
Won 2 of 5, 1 as an underdog
Last KO v Bo Nickal
⭐Our PickSolid call
Kyle Daukaus
to win on the cards
MethodDecisionFinish50%
- Takes less damage
- Younger man
- Harder to take down
- Out-struck on volume
💬 FormPicks Commentary
The finish question here matters more than usual. Barriault's a striker who's won one of five, eight months out. Daukaus is balanced, younger, takes less damage and has the reach edge. I'm leaning Daukaus to grind out a decision, but Barriault's volume on the feet could wreck that plan if he catches fire early.
🥊
How it ends
Barriault 32%68% Daukaus
Marc-Andre Barriault wins by KO 9%, by submission 3%, on the cards 20%. Kyle Daukaus wins by KO 18%, by submission 17%, on the cards 34%.
⏱️
When it ends
Judges 54% Ends by KO/TKO Ends by submission Goes to the judges
📖
How their fights end
3 round fights
Marc-Andre Barriault
7 of 16 to the cards · 6 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Kyle Daukaus
4 of 9 to the cards · 5 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Win Loss Submission (ringed)
⚖️
Head to head
Striking
5.65Strikes landed / min2.86
5.94Strikes absorbed / min3.23
0.34Knockdowns / 15 min0.44
0.26Knockdowns absorbed / 151.09
Grappling
0.34Takedowns / 15 min1.96
1.87Takedowns conceded / 150.87
0.09Sub attempts / 15 min1.53
Finishing
67%Wins by finish75%
50%Losses by finish40%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Completed
Undercard·Bantamweight
3 rdsBalanced
Timmy Cuamba
✓10-4-0
LWWLL
Won 2 of 5, 1 as an underdog
Last SUB v Benardo Sopaj
vSUB R2
Balanced
Louis Jourdain
9-3-0
No UFC fights yet
⏳No call
Not enough UFC history to call this one
A debutant has no UFC fights to build a read from, so we sit this one out rather than guess.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Completed
Undercard·Lightweight
3 rds
Balanced
Mandel Nallo
✓14-4-0 (1 NC)
L
Won 0 of 1
Last KO v Jai Herbert
vKO R2
Striker
Nate Landwehr
18-8-0
LLLWL
Won 1 of 5, 1 as an underdog
Last KO v Cub Swanson
⏳No call
Not enough UFC history to call this one
A debutant has no UFC fights to build a read from, so we sit this one out rather than guess.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Completed · Pick Landed✓
Undercard·Heavyweight
3 rds
Striker
Tanner Boser
✓22-11-1
LWLLW
Won 2 of 5
Last KO v Gokhan Saricam
vKO R3
Striker
Jhonata Diniz
9-2-0
LWLWW
Won 3 of 5, 1 as an underdog
Last KO v Mario Pinto
⭐Our PickSlight lean
Tanner Boser
to win on the cards
MethodDecisionFinish40%
- Harder to take down
- Busier striker
- Takes less damage
- 4.0in reach deficit
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Two strikers here, but Boser's the busier one and harder to take down. He takes less damage too. Diniz has been out a year and lost his last fight badly. I'm backing Boser to grind out a decision over the distance. The only real concern is that reach deficit, which could let Diniz stay at range and frustrate him.
🥊
How it ends
Boser 56%44% Diniz
Tanner Boser wins by KO 17%, by submission 5%, on the cards 34%. Jhonata Diniz wins by KO 11%, by submission 4%, on the cards 29%.
⏱️
When it ends
Judges 62% Ends by KO/TKO Ends by submission Goes to the judges
📖
How their fights end
3 round fights
Tanner Boser
6 of 11 to the cards · 5 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Jhonata Diniz
2 of 5 to the cards · 3 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Win Loss Submission (ringed)
⚖️
Head to head
Striking
4.82Strikes landed / min3.67
3.00Strikes absorbed / min3.41
0.25Knockdowns / 15 min0.27
0.13Knockdowns absorbed / 150.00
Grappling
0.00Takedowns / 15 min0.00
0.88Takedowns conceded / 152.13
0.00Sub attempts / 15 min0.00
Finishing
60%Wins by finish33%
33%Losses by finish100%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Completed
Undercard·Middleweight
3 rds
Balanced
Nick Galanti
✓8-1-0
No UFC fights yet
vSUB R1
Balanced
Julien Leblanc
10-3-0
L
Won 0 of 1
Last SUB v Robert Valentin
⏳No call
Not enough UFC history to call this one
A debutant has no UFC fights to build a read from, so we sit this one out rather than guess.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Completed
Undercard·Heavyweight
3 rds
Balanced
Joel Faglier
✓6-0-0
No UFC fights yet
vKO R2
Balanced
Javad Mahjoub
5-0-0
No UFC fights yet
⏳No call
Not enough UFC history to call this one
A debutant has no UFC fights to build a read from, so we sit this one out rather than guess.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Completed
Undercard·Women's Flyweight
3 rds
Striker
Katlyn Cerminara
✓18-6-0
LLWWW
Won 3 of 5
Last DEC v Maycee Barber
vKO R1
Balanced
Mackenzie Stiller
6-1-0
No UFC fights yet
⏳No call
Not enough UFC history to call this one
A debutant has no UFC fights to build a read from, so we sit this one out rather than guess.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Completed
Undercard·Bantamweight
3 rds
Balanced
Steven Koslow
✓6-1-0
L
Won 0 of 1
Last DEC v Cameron Saaiman
vSUB R3
Striker
Chad Anheliger
13-8-0
LWLLW
Won 2 of 5, 1 as an underdog
Last DEC v Cody Gibson
⏳No call
Not enough UFC history to call this one
A debutant has no UFC fights to build a read from, so we sit this one out rather than guess.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Completed · Pick Missed✗
Undercard·Women's Bantamweight
3 rds
#15Striker
Chelsea Chandler
✓7-4-0
WLLWL
Won 2 of 5, 1 as an underdog
Last SUB v Priscila Cachoeira
vSUB R1
#9Grappler
Melissa Croden
8-3-0
WLW
Won 2 of 3
Last DEC v Daria Zhelezniakova
⭐Our PickSlight lean
Melissa Croden
to win on the cards
MethodDecisionFinish39%
- Takes less damage
- Busier striker
- Takedown threat
- Younger man
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Croden's won two of three and looks sharper on the feet than her recent form suggests. She's younger, busier, and threatens takedowns. Chandler can crack and has pulled off upsets, but I'm backing Croden to grind out a decision. The risk is Chandler's submission game catches her.
🥊
How it ends
Chandler 38%62% Croden
Chelsea Chandler wins by KO 9%, by submission 5%, on the cards 24%. Melissa Croden wins by KO 16%, by submission 9%, on the cards 37%.
⏱️
When it ends
Judges 62% Ends by KO/TKO Ends by submission Goes to the judges
📖
How their fights end
3 round fights
Chelsea Chandler
3 of 6 to the cards · 3 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Melissa Croden
2 of 3 to the cards · 0 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Win Loss Submission (ringed)
⚖️
Head to head
Striking
3.52Strikes landed / min4.27
4.27Strikes absorbed / min2.13
0.27Knockdowns / 15 min0.34
0.27Knockdowns absorbed / 150.00
Grappling
0.81Takedowns / 15 min2.02
1.62Takedowns conceded / 151.68
0.27Sub attempts / 15 min0.34
Finishing
67%Wins by finish50%
33%Losses by finish0%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Completed
Undercard·Bantamweight
3 rds
Grappler
SuYoung You
✓16-4-0 (2 NC)
LWWWW
Won 4 of 5
Last SUB v Elijah Smith
vSUB R3
Balanced
Cody Chovancek
9-0-0
No UFC fights yet
⏳No call
Not enough UFC history to call this one
A debutant has no UFC fights to build a read from, so we sit this one out rather than guess.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
FormPicks weighs each fighter's striking volume and what they absorb, their takedown and submission rates, how often they finish and how often they have been finished, plus reach, age, stance, layoff and current form, all measured as they stood going into the fight rather than today. Tips are for information only, not betting advice.