Loading UFC tips…
F
FormPicksWednesday 2 September
UFC Tips & Predictions
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Saturday 5 September · every fight on the card
Upcoming · Sat, 5 Sept
Main event·Lightweight
5 rds
#12Striker
Dan Hooker
24-14-0
LLWWW
Won 3 of 5, 2 as underdogs
Last KO v Benoit Saint Denis
v
Balanced
Salahdine Parnasse
23-2-0
No UFC fights yet
⏳No call
Not enough UFC history to call this one
A debutant has no UFC fights to build a read from, so we sit this one out rather than guess.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Upcoming · Sat, 5 Sept
Co-main event·Lightweight
3 rds
Balanced
Fares Ziam
18-5-0
LWWWW
Won 4 of 5, 1 as an underdog
Last DEC v Tom Nolan
v
Balanced
Axel Sola
12-1-1
WLW
Won 2 of 3
Last SUB v Ismael Bonfim
🤝Line-BallToo close to call
Too close to call
Model splits it 52-48. Not enough between them to name a winner.
What splits them
- Takes less damage
- Busier striker
- Harder to take down
- Younger man
💬 FormPicks Commentary
This one's genuinely too close to call. Ziam takes less damage but Sola's the busier striker and tougher to put down. The distance looks more likely than a stoppage, which doesn't help you pick a winner. Youth and activity could be the edge that undoes Ziam's durability.
🗣️Public Opinion
We are reading the room. Check back Friday night, ahead of kick-off.
🥊
How it ends
Ziam 48%52% Sola
Fares Ziam wins by KO 9%, by submission 7%, on the cards 32%. Axel Sola wins by KO 19%, by submission 7%, on the cards 26%.
⏱️
When it ends
Judges 58% Ends by KO/TKO Ends by submission Goes to the judges
📖
How their fights end
3 round fights
Fares Ziam
9 of 11 to the cards · 1 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Axel Sola
1 of 3 to the cards · 1 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Win Loss Submission (ringed)
⚖️
Head to head
Striking
2.68Strikes landed / min4.50
1.58Strikes absorbed / min4.53
0.21Knockdowns / 15 min0.94
0.00Knockdowns absorbed / 150.00
Grappling
1.86Takedowns / 15 min1.89
2.17Takedowns conceded / 150.47
0.52Sub attempts / 15 min0.47
Finishing
13%Wins by finish100%
33%Losses by finish0%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Upcoming · Sat, 5 Sept
Undercard·Middleweight
3 rds
#8Balanced
Michael Page
25-3-0
WWWLW
Won 4 of 5, 2 as underdogs
Last DEC v Sam Patterson
v
#15Balanced
Nursulton Ruziboev
37-9-2 (2 NC)
WWWLW
Won 4 of 5
Last SUB v Andrey Pulyaev
🤝Line-BallToo close to call
Too close to call
Model splits it 53-47. Not enough between them to name a winner.
What splits them
- Takes less damage
- 3.0in reach edge
- Harder to take down
- Younger man
- Takedown threat
- Busier striker
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Page's reach and durability versus Ruziboev's youth and takedown threat makes this genuinely even. The distance looks more likely than a stoppage either way. If this goes to the cards, you're flipping a coin.
🗣️Public Opinion
We are reading the room. Check back Friday night, ahead of kick-off.
🥊
How it ends
Page 47%53% Ruziboev
Michael Page wins by KO 9%, by submission 5%, on the cards 33%. Nursulton Ruziboev wins by KO 18%, by submission 6%, on the cards 29%.
⏱️
When it ends
Judges 62% Ends by KO/TKO Ends by submission Goes to the judges
📖
How their fights end
3 round fights
Michael Page
5 of 5 to the cards · 0 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Nursulton Ruziboev
2 of 6 to the cards · 4 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Win Loss Submission (ringed)
⚖️
Head to head
Striking
2.15Strikes landed / min2.38
1.57Strikes absorbed / min2.68
0.00Knockdowns / 15 min1.02
0.00Knockdowns absorbed / 150.34
Grappling
0.00Takedowns / 15 min1.36
1.20Takedowns conceded / 152.04
0.00Sub attempts / 15 min0.34
Finishing
0%Wins by finish80%
0%Losses by finish0%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Upcoming · Sat, 5 Sept
Undercard·Welterweight
3 rds
Striker
Daniil Donchenko
15-2-0
WWW
Won 3 of 3
Last KO v Theodor Berggren
v
Balanced
Punahele Soriano
13-4-0
WWWWL
Won 4 of 5, 2 as underdogs
Last DEC v Ramiz Brahimaj
⭐Our Pick🔥Strong Call
Daniil Donchenko
to get it done inside the distance
MethodKO/TKORound1Finish60%
- Younger man
- Busier striker
- Harder to take down
- Gives up the takedown battle
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Donchenko's striking pace should overwhelm Soriano early. The striking exchanges decide this one, and Donchenko's busier hands give him a clear edge. Expect a stoppage. Soriano's only real path is to drag this to the ground, but Donchenko's hard to take down.
🗣️Public Opinion
We are reading the room. Check back Friday night, ahead of kick-off.
🥊
How it ends
Donchenko 76%24% Soriano
Daniil Donchenko wins by KO 40%, by submission 6%, on the cards 30%. Punahele Soriano wins by KO 7%, by submission 3%, on the cards 15%.
⏱️
When it ends
Judges 45% Ends by KO/TKO Ends by submission Goes to the judges
📖
How their fights end
3 round fights
Daniil Donchenko
1 of 2 to the cards · 1 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Punahele Soriano
7 of 11 to the cards · 4 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
5 round fights
Daniil Donchenko
0 of 1 to the cards · 1 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
R4
R5
Dec
Punahele Soriano
none yetR1
R2
R3
R4
R5
Dec
Win Loss Submission (ringed)
⚖️
Head to head
Striking
8.07Strikes landed / min4.60
2.80Strikes absorbed / min3.44
2.30Knockdowns / 15 min0.84
0.00Knockdowns absorbed / 150.14
Grappling
0.58Takedowns / 15 min1.83
0.58Takedowns conceded / 152.96
0.00Sub attempts / 15 min0.14
Finishing
67%Wins by finish43%
0%Losses by finish25%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Upcoming · Sat, 5 Sept
Undercard·Featherweight
3 rds
Grappler
Morgan Charriere
21-12-1
LWLWL
Won 2 of 5
Last DEC v Melquizael Costa
v
Grappler
Felipe Lima
14-2-0
LWW
Won 2 of 3, 1 as an underdog
Last DEC v Payton Talbott
⭐Our PickSlight lean
Felipe Lima
to win on the cards
MethodDecisionFinish36%
- Takes less damage
- Younger man
- Harder to take down
- Out-struck on volume
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Both grapplers, but Lima's harder to take down and takes less damage. He's the younger man too. Back him for a decision. The risk is ring rust after 14 months out, and Charriere could overwhelm him on volume.
🔄Why You Might Go The Other Way
Morgan Charriere's grappling threat forces Felipe Lima into uncomfortable exchanges where the reach deficit matters less. Lima's been out 1.2 years while Charriere's only 14 months gone, keeping fresher legs on the mat. The grappler gets there if Lima can't keep distance and gets dragged into Charriere's world.
🗣️Public Opinion
We are reading the room. Check back Friday night, ahead of kick-off.
🥊
How it ends
Charriere 43%57% Lima
Morgan Charriere wins by KO 15%, by submission 5%, on the cards 24%. Felipe Lima wins by KO 11%, by submission 10%, on the cards 36%.
⏱️
When it ends
Judges 60% Ends by KO/TKO Ends by submission Goes to the judges
📖
How their fights end
3 round fights
Morgan Charriere
3 of 6 to the cards · 2 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Felipe Lima
2 of 3 to the cards · 0 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Win Loss Submission (ringed)
⚖️
Head to head
Striking
4.02Strikes landed / min2.86
4.51Strikes absorbed / min2.91
0.88Knockdowns / 15 min0.00
0.59Knockdowns absorbed / 150.00
Grappling
2.06Takedowns / 15 min2.18
0.59Takedowns conceded / 150.36
0.29Sub attempts / 15 min0.73
Finishing
100%Wins by finish50%
0%Losses by finish0%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Upcoming · Sat, 5 Sept
Undercard·Featherweight
3 rdsBalanced
Losene Keita
16-2-0
L
Won 0 of 1
Last DEC v Nathaniel Wood
v
Balanced
Muhammad Naimov
13-4-0
LWWLW
Won 3 of 5
Last DEC v Mairon Santos
⏳No call
Not enough UFC history to call this one
A debutant has no UFC fights to build a read from, so we sit this one out rather than guess.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Upcoming · Sat, 5 Sept
Undercard·Heavyweight
3 rds
#12Grappler
Mario Pinto
12-0-0
WWW
Won 3 of 3, 1 as an underdog
Last DEC v Felipe Franco
v
#15Balanced
Ryan Spann
24-11-0
WWLWL
Won 3 of 5, 1 as an underdog
Last KO v Marcus Buchecha
⭐Our Pick🔥Strong Call
Mario Pinto
to win on the cards
MethodDecisionFinish49%
- Younger man
- Takes less damage
- Harder to take down
- Out-struck on volume
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Back Pinto on the cards. He's the unbeaten grappler here, tougher to take down and fresher than Spann, who's absorbed more mileage across a longer career. A decision feels most likely and sits in Pinto's favour. The one thing that could spoil it is if Spann overwhelms him on volume strikes before Pinto gets his wrestling going.
🔄Why You Might Go The Other Way
Ryan Spann's won 3 of 5 fights including a recent KO over Marcus Buchecha, showing he still has finishing power. He's ranked 15th at 24-11 with balanced skills across the board. Pinto gets caught if Spann brings that same aggression and lands clean.
🗣️Public Opinion
We are reading the room. Check back Friday night, ahead of kick-off.
🥊
How it ends
Pinto 73%27% Spann
Mario Pinto wins by KO 22%, by submission 14%, on the cards 37%. Ryan Spann wins by KO 8%, by submission 5%, on the cards 14%.
⏱️
When it ends
Judges 51% Ends by KO/TKO Ends by submission Goes to the judges
📖
How their fights end
3 round fights
Mario Pinto
1 of 3 to the cards · 2 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Ryan Spann
3 of 15 to the cards · 12 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
5 round fights
Mario Pinto
none yetR1
R2
R3
R4
R5
Dec
Ryan Spann
0 of 1 to the cards · 1 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
R4
R5
Dec
Win Loss Submission (ringed)
⚖️
Head to head
Striking
2.55Strikes landed / min3.08
1.81Strikes absorbed / min3.85
0.50Knockdowns / 15 min0.91
0.50Knockdowns absorbed / 150.61
Grappling
2.52Takedowns / 15 min1.22
0.00Takedowns conceded / 151.97
1.01Sub attempts / 15 min1.52
Finishing
67%Wins by finish80%
0%Losses by finish83%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Upcoming · Sat, 5 Sept
Undercard·Featherweight
3 rds
Balanced
Kurtis Campbell
8-1-0
L
Won 0 of 1
Last KO v Danny Silva
v
Balanced
Trevor Peek
9-3-0 (1 NC)
LLWLW
Won 2 of 5
Last DEC v Yanal Ashmouz
⏳No call
Not enough UFC history to call this one
A debutant has no UFC fights to build a read from, so we sit this one out rather than guess.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Upcoming · Sat, 5 Sept
Undercard·Light Heavyweight
3 rds
Grappler
Oumar Sy
12-2-0
LWLWW
Won 3 of 5
Last SUB v Ion Cutelaba
v
Striker
Modestas Bukauskas
20-7-0
WLWWW
Won 4 of 5, 1 as an underdog
Last DEC v Christian Edwards
⭐Our Pick🔥Strong Call
Oumar Sy
to win on the cards
MethodDecisionFinish39%
- Takes less damage
- 7.0in reach edge
- Takedown threat
- Younger man
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Bukauskas is the sharper striker, but Sy's reach, takedown threat and activity should dominate a three-rounder. Expect a decision for Sy. The risk is Bukauskas landing something flush early and changing the fight.
🔄Why You Might Go The Other Way
Modestas Bukauskas has found his rhythm, winning four of his last five with a recent decision over Christian Edwards showing he can grind out wins when it matters. At 20-7 as a striker, he's got the output to outwork Oumar Sy across three rounds if he trusts his hands and stays patient on the feet.
🗣️Public Opinion
We are reading the room. Check back Friday night, ahead of kick-off.
🥊
How it ends
Sy 75%25% Bukauskas
Oumar Sy wins by KO 20%, by submission 10%, on the cards 46%. Modestas Bukauskas wins by KO 6%, by submission 2%, on the cards 16%.
⏱️
When it ends
Judges 62% Ends by KO/TKO Ends by submission Goes to the judges
📖
How their fights end
3 round fights
Oumar Sy
2 of 5 to the cards · 3 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Modestas Bukauskas
5 of 13 to the cards · 6 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Win Loss Submission (ringed)
⚖️
Head to head
Striking
3.41Strikes landed / min3.14
1.87Strikes absorbed / min3.86
0.00Knockdowns / 15 min0.11
0.00Knockdowns absorbed / 150.57
Grappling
2.45Takedowns / 15 min0.23
0.35Takedowns conceded / 150.57
0.35Sub attempts / 15 min0.11
Finishing
67%Wins by finish50%
50%Losses by finish80%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Upcoming · Sat, 5 Sept
Undercard·Featherweight
3 rds
#8Balanced
Nathaniel Wood
23-6-0
WWWWL
Won 4 of 5, 3 as underdogs
Last DEC v Losene Keita
v
Balanced
Pavel Andrusca
8-0-0
No UFC fights yet
⏳No call
Not enough UFC history to call this one
A debutant has no UFC fights to build a read from, so we sit this one out rather than guess.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Upcoming · Sat, 5 Sept
Undercard·Flyweight
3 rdsBalanced
Michael Aljarouj
13-3-0 (2 NC)
No UFC fights yet
v
Balanced
Fabia Sintes
11-3-0
No UFC fights yet
⏳No call
Not enough UFC history to call this one
A debutant has no UFC fights to build a read from, so we sit this one out rather than guess.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Upcoming · Sat, 5 Sept
Undercard·Women's Bantamweight
3 rds
Balanced
Nora Cornolle
9-4-0
LLWLW
Won 2 of 5, 1 as an underdog
Last SUB v Joselyne Edwards
v
Striker
Klaudia Sygula
8-2-0
WWL
Won 2 of 3, 1 as an underdog
Last DEC v Priscila Cachoeira
⭐Our PickSolid call
Klaudia Sygula
to win on the cards
MethodDecisionFinish31%
- Younger man
- Busier striker
- Harder to take down
- Absorbs more damage
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Sygula's striking activity and reach will control the middle distance here. Cornolle can wrestle, but Sygula's harder to take down and quicker on the feet. A decision for Sygula feels most likely. The risk is she eats too much leather over three rounds.
🔄Why You Might Go The Other Way
Sygula's been out seven months, and that layoff creates real problems for timing and defensive reflexes. Cornolle's 9-4 record shows she's fought quality opposition and she absorbs damage well, meaning she won't fold under pressure even when things get ugly. She gets it done if she stays composed and forces Sygula to work off rust.
🗣️Public Opinion
We are reading the room. Check back Friday night, ahead of kick-off.
🥊
How it ends
Cornolle 36%64% Sygula
Nora Cornolle wins by KO 11%, by submission 4%, on the cards 22%. Klaudia Sygula wins by KO 12%, by submission 8%, on the cards 44%.
⏱️
When it ends
Judges 65% Ends by KO/TKO Ends by submission Goes to the judges
📖
How their fights end
3 round fights
Nora Cornolle
3 of 6 to the cards · 3 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Klaudia Sygula
2 of 3 to the cards · 1 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Win Loss Submission (ringed)
⚖️
Head to head
Striking
2.73Strikes landed / min7.27
2.04Strikes absorbed / min5.50
0.22Knockdowns / 15 min0.00
0.00Knockdowns absorbed / 150.00
Grappling
0.22Takedowns / 15 min0.41
2.44Takedowns conceded / 151.24
0.22Sub attempts / 15 min0.00
Finishing
67%Wins by finish0%
33%Losses by finish100%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Upcoming · Sat, 5 Sept
Undercard·Middleweight
3 rdsBalanced
Matthieu Duclos
10-3-0
No UFC fights yet
v
Balanced
Luis Felipe Dias
18-5-0
W
Won 1 of 1
Last KO v YiSak Lee
⏳No call
Not enough UFC history to call this one
A debutant has no UFC fights to build a read from, so we sit this one out rather than guess.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
Upcoming · Sat, 5 Sept
Undercard·Women's Strawweight
3 rdsBalanced
Delphine Benouaich
7-2-0
No UFC fights yet
v
Balanced
Sofia Montenegro
6-2-0
No UFC fights yet
⏳No call
Not enough UFC history to call this one
A debutant has no UFC fights to build a read from, so we sit this one out rather than guess.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FormPicks.com
FormPicks weighs each fighter's striking volume and what they absorb, their takedown and submission rates, how often they finish and how often they have been finished, plus reach, age, stance, layoff and current form, all measured as they stood going into the fight rather than today. Tips are for information only, not betting advice.