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F
FormPicksWednesday 2 September
Round 27WIN Stadium, Wollongong
Dragons
4-19
vSun, 6 Sept, 2:00 pm AEST
Eels
9-14
Our PickStrong Lean
Eels to win
Margin8Total48 pts
🗳Do You Agree?
44 votesWinner
Eels
53% agree
Line
By 8+
73% more
Total
48 pts
62% over
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Tempo control wins this one. Dragons are slow starters, outscored 5.9 points a half before the break, but the Eels travel poorly and fade hard in second halves. Fine conditions suit both, yet Parramatta's hotter form and superior rating edge out a home side that's been leaky at the back and only 2-10 away. Watch whether Parra's shorter turnaround bites them late when the Dragons inevitably tighten.
🗣️
Public Opinion
We are reading the room. Check back Saturday morning, ahead of kick-off, for what people are saying and how it stacks up against our call.
What's driving the pick
Dragons
📉
Tend to fade - conceding 8.3 more points than they score in second halves.
🐌
Slow out of the blocks - outscored by 5.9 points a half before the break.
✈️
Poor travellers - only 2-10 away from home.
🕳️
Leaky at the back - shipping 30.2 points a game.
Eels
📉
Tend to fade - conceding 5.6 more points than they score in second halves.
✈️
Poor travellers - only 3-8 away from home.
🕳️
Leaky at the back - shipping 28.4 points a game.
📊
Team Stats · Head to Head
How each side is actually playing, and the meters behind it - season form, the last 5, and their most recent game.
⚡
Momentum
Dragons
Season23 games
Last 55 games
Last gamemost recent
Eels
Season23 games
Last 55 games
Last gamemost recent
Last Game Key Callouts
v
Sharksv
Sea EaglesTackle breaks Up 11 on their last 5 average
Post-contact metres Down 98m on their last 5 average
Run metres Down 335m on their last 5 average
Completion Down 12% on their last 5 average
Tackle breaks Down 9 on their last 5 average
📋
The Meters Behind It
SeasonLast 5Last game
Run metres
Dragons1,6291,6261,291Eels1,5991,6641,701
Post-contact metres
Dragons549523444Eels511521423
Line breaks
Dragons3.76.24Eels4.35.28
Tackle breaks
Dragons28.830.822Eels28.727.438
Offloads
Dragons10.08.49Eels8.58.211
Kick metres
Dragons659654462Eels634657782
Completion
Dragons77%75%63%Eels76%79%85%
Set distance
Dragons403936Eels384035
Errors
Dragons11.812.415Eels12.511.89
Missed tackles
Dragons30.430.437Eels39.841.640
Effective tackle %
Dragons89%89%86%Eels86%87%87%
Penalties conceded
Dragons4.23.24Eels3.93.21
Full-game team stats harvested after each round. Blue marks the stronger side in each column - fewer errors, missed tackles and penalties count as better.
⏱
Half-Time Watch
Angles to have ready at the break - bets that come into play if the first half unfolds like this.
No clear half-time angle from this season's splits - the pre-game pick is the main view.
In-play prompts from season scoring patterns - not live odds. Always your call at the break.
Team news & line-ups
Dragons
- 1Daniel Atkinson
- 2Mathew Feagai
- 3Moses Suli
- 4Valentine Holmes
- 5Tyrell Sloan
- 6Lyhkan King-Togia
- 7Kyle Flanagan
- 8Toby Couchman
- 9Damien Cook (c)
- 10Blake Lawrie
- 11Dylan Egan
- 12Hamish Stewart
- 13Loko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga
Interchange
- 14Connor Muhleisen
- 15Ryan Couchman
- 16Josh Kerr
- 17Jacob Halangahu
Eels
- 1Apa Twidle
- 2Brian Kelly
- 3Will Penisini
- 4Jordan Samrani
- 5Josh Addo-Carr
- 6Ronald Volkman
- 7Mitchell Moses
- 8Luca Moretti
- 9Tallyn Da Silva
- 10Junior Paulo
- 11Jack Williams
- 12Kitione Kautoga
- 13Saxon Pryke
Interchange
- 14Harrison Edwards
- 15Jack De Belin
- 16Teancum Brown
- 17Dylan Walker
Named squads from the official team lists. “Out” compares the named side to each team's recent first-choice; the figure is the projected points swing.
Season form guide
DragonsvsEels
17Ladder13
4-19Win–Loss9-14
16.0Pts for /game20.7
30.2Pts against /game28.4
2 - 3Last 53 - 2
2LStreak1W
2 - 9Home / Away3 - 8
Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NRL match data for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.