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F
FormPicksWednesday 2 September
Late Mail
Off the Sharks with Burns back and Hynes/Brailey out. Storm getting Hughes up means we're across to Melbourne.
Round 27Ocean Protect Stadium, Sydney
Sharks
14-9
vSat, 5 Sept, 7:35 pm AEST
Storm
10-13
Our PickLine-Ball
Storm - too close to call
Total50 pts
🗳Do You Agree?
49 votesWinner
Storm
69% agree
Line
By 8+
47% more
Total
50 pts
49% over
💬 FormPicks Commentary
We were on Sharks, we're off them now. Hughes back for Storm and Hynes out for Sharks shifts the halfback equation enough to flip this. Storm's fighting for finals while Sharks' spine is depleted, and that's the lever. Tempo control swings to the visitors if they can get on top early, but Storm's only 3-8 away from home - that travel weariness is the thing that could sink them here.
🗣️
Public Opinion
We are reading the room. Check back Friday morning, ahead of kick-off, for what people are saying and how it stacks up against our call.
What's driving the pick
Sharks
💪
Strong finishers - outscore opponents by 3.5 points after half-time on average.
🚀
Fast starters - average a 3.1-point first-half lead (14.7 pts a half).
🧊
Ice in the clutch - 3 of 4 games decided by six or less have gone their way.
Storm
✈️
Poor travellers - only 3-8 away from home.
😬
Shaky in tight finishes - just 2 of 6 one-score games won.
📊
Team Stats · Head to Head
How each side is actually playing, and the meters behind it - season form, the last 5, and their most recent game.
⚡
Momentum
Sharks
Season23 games
Last 55 games
Last gamemost recent
Storm
Season23 games
Last 55 games
Last gamemost recent
Last Game Key Callouts
v
Broncosv
EelsMissed tackles Down 10 on their last 5 average
Errors Up 6 on their last 5 average
Completion Down 11% on their last 5 average
📋
The Meters Behind It
SeasonLast 5Last game
Run metres
Sharks1,6851,7561,691Storm1,6291,5931,498
Post-contact metres
Sharks546550500Storm534527497
Line breaks
Sharks5.55.65Storm5.35.05
Tackle breaks
Sharks31.338.640Storm35.940.239
Offloads
Sharks10.411.66Storm10.212.66
Kick metres
Sharks629620621Storm572500490
Completion
Sharks82%84%86%Storm80%79%68%
Set distance
Sharks404145Storm393733
Errors
Sharks10.911.012Storm10.311.618
Missed tackles
Sharks29.733.438Storm32.028.018
Effective tackle %
Sharks88%87%86%Storm88%89%92%
Penalties conceded
Sharks5.34.67Storm4.14.44
Full-game team stats harvested after each round. Blue marks the stronger side in each column - fewer errors, missed tackles and penalties count as better.
⏱
Half-Time Watch
Angles to have ready at the break - bets that come into play if the first half unfolds like this.
If the first half is a grind → expect it to stay that way - the 2nd-half under is the value.
When these sides have played out a quiet first half, the second half has averaged 20.4 points - well down on the 24.2 their games usually produce after the break. Quiet halves have stayed quiet, not burst open.
In-play prompts from season scoring patterns - not live odds. Always your call at the break.
Team news & line-ups
Sharks - out
- Nicho Hynes · Halfback−4.5
- Blayke Brailey · Hooker−3.5
- Teig Wilton · 2nd Row−1.5
- Mawene Hiroti · Centre−1.4
- KL Iro · Centre−1.4
Storm: full-strength side named.
Sharks
- 1William Kennedy
- 2Sione Katoa
- 3Riley Jones
- 4Michael Gabrael
- 5Ronaldo Mulitalo
- 6Riley Pollard
- 7Niwhai Puru
- 8Addin Fonua-Blake
- 9Hohepa Puru
- 10Jesse Colquhoun
- 11Briton Nikora
- 12Billy Burns
- 13Cameron McInnes (c)
Interchange
- 14Siosifa Talakai
- 15Toby Rudolf
- 16Oregon Kaufusi
- 17Braden Uele
Storm
- 1Sualauvi Faalogo
- 2Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown
- 3Tyran Wishart
- 4Nick Meaney
- 5Moses Leo
- 6Cameron Munster
- 7Jahrome Hughes
- 8Stefano Utoikamanu
- 9Harry Grant
- 10Josh King
- 11Shawn Blore
- 12Oryn Keeley
- 13Trent Loiero
Interchange
- 14Trent Toelau
- 15Cooper Clarke
- 16Jack Hetherington
- 17Alec MacDonald
Named squads from the official team lists. “Out” compares the named side to each team's recent first-choice; the figure is the projected points swing.
Season form guide
SharksvsStorm
5Ladder11
14-9Win–Loss10-13
28.3Pts for /game24.8
21.7Pts against /game24.2
2 - 3Last 52 - 2
1LStreak1W
8 - 3Home / Away3 - 8
Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NRL match data for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.