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F
FormPicksWednesday 2 September
Round 27Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast
Titans
6-17
vFri, 4 Sept, 6:00 pm AEST
Dolphins
16-7
Our PickStrong Lean
Dolphins to win comfortably
Margin18+Total48 pts
🗳Do You Agree?
47 votesWinner
Dolphins
86% agree
Line
By 18+
76% more
Total
48 pts
53% over
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Dolphins are the clear play here. They're red-hot on a five-game winning streak while the Titans are stuck in a rut, losing five straight and looking sluggish early. The Dolphins outscore sides by 7.5 points after half-time on average, and they've got the tighter defence. Home ground is the only genuine edge Gold Coast has got.
↻ Since we tipped it
Dolphins still our pick, but the margin's tightened a touch. Faeamani and Naufahu back for their respective sides while Pascoe, Fifita and Cobbo miss out.
🗣️
Public Opinion
We are reading the room. Check back Thursday morning, ahead of kick-off, for what people are saying and how it stacks up against our call.
What's driving the pick
Titans
🐌
Slow out of the blocks - outscored by 5.6 points a half before the break.
❄️
Out of sorts - on a 5-game losing run.
✈️
Poor travellers - only 3-9 away from home.
Dolphins
💪
Strong finishers - outscore opponents by 7.5 points after half-time on average.
🔥
Red-hot - riding a 5-game winning streak.
📊
Team Stats · Head to Head
How each side is actually playing, and the meters behind it - season form, the last 5, and their most recent game.
⚡
Momentum
Titans
Season23 games
Last 55 games
Last gamemost recent
Dolphins
Season23 games
Last 55 games
Last gamemost recent
Last Game Key Callouts
v
Roostersv
RabbitohsErrors Down 6 on their last 5 average
Completion Up 11% on their last 5 average
Run metres Down 248m on their last 5 average
Tackle breaks Up 12 on their last 5 average
📋
The Meters Behind It
SeasonLast 5Last game
Run metres
Titans1,6861,7341,913Dolphins1,8211,8481,600
Post-contact metres
Titans561590629Dolphins576610589
Line breaks
Titans4.84.45Dolphins6.06.64
Tackle breaks
Titans31.835.848Dolphins34.732.429
Offloads
Titans11.210.814Dolphins9.57.66
Kick metres
Titans587555545Dolphins565579837
Completion
Titans76%80%82%Dolphins77%77%88%
Set distance
Titans414347Dolphins434438
Errors
Titans11.99.88Dolphins12.012.26
Missed tackles
Titans35.442.239Dolphins30.028.037
Effective tackle %
Titans87%86%90%Dolphins89%89%85%
Penalties conceded
Titans3.83.62Dolphins4.95.86
Full-game team stats harvested after each round. Blue marks the stronger side in each column - fewer errors, missed tackles and penalties count as better.
⏱
Half-Time Watch
Angles to have ready at the break - bets that come into play if the first half unfolds like this.
If it's close at the break, momentum is with Dolphins → back the streak - their 2nd-half line / win-2nd-half is the value.
Dolphins have won 5 straight and are running hot late - +8 after the break across their last 5 games.
In-play prompts from season scoring patterns - not live odds. Always your call at the break.
Team news & line-ups
Titans - out
- Oliver Pascoe · Hooker−3.5
- Jojo Fifita · Centre−1.4
Dolphins - out
- Selwyn Cobbo · Winger−1.2
Titans
- 1Keano Kini
- 2Siale Faeamani
- 3Jaylan De Groot
- 4AJ Brimson
- 5Phillip Sami
- 6Jayden Campbell
- 7Lachlan Ilias
- 8Moeaki Fotuaika
- 9Luke Sommerton
- 10Tino Fa'asuamaleaui (c)
- 11Kurtis Morrin
- 12Beau Fermor
- 13Chris Randall
Interchange
- 14Klese Haas
- 15Cooper Bai
- 16Bodhi Sharpley
- 17Sam Verrills
Dolphins
- 1Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow
- 2Jamayne Isaako
- 3Jack Bostock
- 4Herbie Farnworth
- 5Tevita Naufahu
- 6Kodi Nikorima
- 7Isaiya Katoa (c)
- 8Thomas Flegler
- 9Jeremy Marshall-King
- 10Tom Gilbert
- 11Max Plath
- 12Kulikefu Finefeuiaki
- 13Morgan Knowles
Interchange
- 14Kurt Donoghoe
- 15Ray Stone
- 16Francis Molo
- 17Felise Kaufusi
Named squads from the official team lists. “Out” compares the named side to each team's recent first-choice; the figure is the projected points swing.
Season form guide
TitansvsDolphins
16Ladder3
6-17Win–Loss16-7
19.9Pts for /game27.7
27.8Pts against /game21.1
0 - 5Last 55 - 0
5LStreak5W
3 - 8Home / Away8 - 3
Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NRL match data for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.