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Horsham ยท Race 1 ยท 2100m ยท Good 4 ยท $42,500

bet365 Position Payout Mdn Plate

Sun, 18 Oct, 1:35 pm AEDT

๐Ÿ“‹

Race Analysis

Clear order

Courting is our top rating with a real gap to the rest.

Standout

Clear order

Two-horse race

Open race

Big field

๐ŸŽฏ The winner is in our three

72% our three

5

Courting

Top pick

places 73%

38%

6

Little Ally Bama

Danger

places 64%

27%

2

Vadar

Next Best

places 29%

7%

+7

The other 7between them

28%

Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.

๐ŸงฎWhat is pulling each rating

The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.

Swipe the grid sideways for every signal

RunnerTallyRecent formClassRecent speedBest speedJockey formLate speedTrainer formAge & sexRunning styleForm through rivalsWet form
5Courting4
6Little Ally Bama32
2Vadar12

The rest of the field

1Sitar3
3Under Control3
4Son Of Vadamos4
7Eminent Ella16
8Taajwar16
9Empress Of China3
10Helichrysum6
lifts its rating holds it back

๐ŸHow they will settle

A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.

RailFront of the field first

Settles back ยท runs on late

2Vadar3Under Control6Little Ally Bama8Taajwar

No set pattern ยท could go either way

1Sitar4Son Of Vadamos5Courting7Eminent Ella9Empress Of China10Helichrysum

On the speed ยท likes to lead

None

๐Ÿ”Head to head

Where Courting has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.

Show 2 matchups

Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.

Sitar vs Eminent Ella

Sitar finished 7th to 9th at Mildura 5 months ago, 6.2 lengths clear.

Son Of Vadamos vs Eminent Ella

Son Of Vadamos finished 7th to 8th at Swan Hill last month, a head clear.

๐ŸŽThe field

Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.

Jump to a runner

5

Courting

Top pick
JHarry CoffeyยทTT & C McEvoy

Last starts

330

Career

0 wins from 3

Weight

55.0kg

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ฒ Trainer formโ–ฒ Recent formโ–ฒ Late speedโ–ฒ Class๐Ÿš€Late Speed

Courting has placed in 2 of 3 career starts, which is a promising record at only 3. It was placed last start, beaten 5.5L, and trainer form, recent form, late speed and class are all strengths. The main thing to watch is the going - this is its first run on soft and it is untested in these conditions.

Read more
6

Little Ally Bama

Danger
JLinda MeechยทTAndrew Bobbin

Last starts

345

Career

0 wins from 3

Weight

55.0kg

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ฒ Recent speedโ–ฒ Jockey formโ–ผ Running styleโ–ฒ Best speed๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' ShootโšกSpeed King๐Ÿ”ฅHot Jockey

Little Ally Bama owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, 8.1 lengths a km under the track average. It was placed last start, beaten 6.5L, and recent speed, jockey form and best speed are all strengths. Running style is the one concern.

Read more
2

Vadar

Next Best
JJett StanleyยทTAaron Laing

Last starts

8900

Career

0 wins from 9

Weight

59.5kg

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ผ Recent formโ–ผ Recent speedโ–ฒ Class๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' Shoot๐Ÿ”ง Blinkers off again, cross-over nose band again.

The Aaron Laing/Jett Stanley combination is striking 255% above expectation across the last 100 runners, and class is a genuine strength. It draws barrier 2 for a soft run, but recent form and recent speed are concerns. It returns to blinkers. The main thing to watch is the wet - Vadar is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 3 tries.

Read more
1

Sitar

JCian MacredmondยทTRachel Samsonenko

Last starts

99444

Career

0 wins from 16

Weight

59.5kg

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ผ Recent formโ–ผ Late speedโ–ผ Jockey form

The case leans on concerns over recent form, late speed and jockey form, so it has little going for it on current evidence. It does draw barrier 1, which should give it a soft run into the race. The main thing to watch is the wet - Sitar is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 5 tries.

Read more
3

Under Control

JNeil FarleyยทTHenry Dwyer

Last starts

9279

Career

0 wins from 8

Weight

57.5kg

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ผ Recent formโ–ผ Recent speedโ–ผ Best speed๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' Shoot๐Ÿ”ง Blinkers off first time, winkers again.

Recent form, recent speed and best speed are all concerns, so the case is thin. It draws barrier 3 for a soft run, which is a plus. It is also making its first start in blinkers. The main thing to watch is the going - this is its first run on soft and it is untested in these conditions.

Read more
4

Son Of Vadamos

JCampbell RawillerยทTRaharna McDonald

Last starts

74388

Career

0 wins from 39

Weight

59.5kg

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ผ Recent formโ–ผ Classโ–ผ Age & sexโ–ผ Recent speed

Raharna McDonald is in form, running 40% above expectation across the last 100 runners. Against that, the case is held back by concerns over class, age and sex, and recent speed. The main thing to watch is the wet - Son Of Vadamos is yet to win on soft from 16 tries.

Read more
7

Eminent Ella

JRyan HurdleยทTNathan Hobson

Last starts

8900

Career

0 wins from 8

Weight

57.5kg

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ผ Recent formโ–ผ Classโ–ผ Recent speedโ–ฒ Form through rivals

The Nathan Hobson/Ryan Hurdle combination is striking 70% above expectation across the last 100 runners, and form through rivals is a strength. Recent form, class and recent speed are all concerns, so the case rests on the combination and the strength of its rivals' form rather than its own recent efforts.

Read more
8

Taajwar

JEoin WalshยทTD C Saxon

Last starts

63805

Career

0 wins from 21

Weight

59.5kg+1.5

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ผ Classโ–ผ Late speedโ–ผ Running styleโ–ผ Trainer form๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' Shoot๐Ÿ”ง Blinkers off again, cheekers off first time, lugging bit again, tongue tie first time.

Taajwar has been among the quickest recent time figures in the field, 4.9 lengths a km under the track average, and D C Saxon is in form at 35% above expectation across the last 100 runners. Held back by concerns over class, late speed, running style and trainer form, and it is making its first start in blinkers. The main thing to watch is the wet - Taajwar is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 7 tries.

Read more
9

Empress Of China

JDeclan BatesยทTDan O'Sullivan

Last starts

9069

Career

0 wins from 8

Weight

57.5kg+1.5

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ผ Recent formโ–ผ Trainer formโ–ผ Recent speed

The Dan O'Sullivan/Declan Bates combination is striking 46% above expectation across the last 100 runners. Recent form, trainer form and recent speed are all concerns. The main thing to watch is the draw - it has a wide barrier 9 of 10 to overcome.

Read more
10

Helichrysum

JJade SmithยทTP A Krelle

Last starts

6790

Career

0 wins from 8

Weight

54.5kg

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ผ Recent formโ–ผ Jockey formโ–ผ Classโ–ผ Trainer form

Recent form, jockey form, class and trainer form are all concerns, so the case for Helichrysum is weak on the evidence available. The main thing to watch is the draw - it has a wide barrier 10 of 10 to overcome.

Read more

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.