Lismore · Race 1 · 1536m · Soft 6 · $30,000

Newton Denny Chapelle Country Boosted Hcp (C1)

Sun, 18 Oct, 2:05 pm AEDT

📋

Race Analysis

Clear order

Sunset Trail is our top rating with a real gap to the rest.

Standout

Clear order

Two-horse race

Open race

Big field

🎯 The winner is in our three

73% our three

Sunset Trail

Top pick

places 60%

37%

Latin Lights

Danger

places 47%

25%

She's A Dame

Next Best

places 25%

11%

The other 4between them

27%

Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.

🧮What is pulling each rating

The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.

Swipe the grid sideways for every signal

RunnerTallyClassRecent formJockey formLate speedRunning styleAge & sexRecent speedTrainer formWet formBest speed

3Sunset Trail41

5Latin Lights41

7She's A Dame22

The rest of the field

1Turn Left24

2Miss Midas Touch13

4Eccasdash4

6Spirit Fox23

lifts its rating holds it back

🏁How they will settle

A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.

RailRunning this way Front of the field first

Settles back · runs on late

runs on late

2Miss Midas Touch6Spirit Fox

No set pattern · could go either way

could go either way

4Eccasdash5Latin Lights7She's A Dame

On the speed · likes to lead

likes to lead

1Turn Left3Sunset Trail

🔁Head to head

Where Sunset Trail has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.

Show 9 matchups

Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.

Latin Lights vs Eccasdash

Latin Lights finished 2nd to 10th at Grafton two months ago, 6.4 lengths clear.

Latin Lights vs Miss Midas Touch

Latin Lights finished 2nd to 4th at Grafton two months ago, 2.2 lengths clear.

Miss Midas Touch vs Eccasdash

Miss Midas Touch finished 4th to 10th at Grafton two months ago, 4.2 lengths clear.

Miss Midas Touch vs Turn Left

Miss Midas Touch finished 4th to 9th at Grafton two months ago, 3.8 lengths clear.

She's A Dame vs Eccasdash

She's A Dame finished 3rd to 8th at Grafton last month, 4.3 lengths clear.

She's A Dame vs Turn Left

She's A Dame finished 3rd to 4th at Grafton a fortnight ago, half a length clear.

Spirit Fox vs Eccasdash

Spirit Fox finished 5th to 9th at Lismore a fortnight ago, 4.0 lengths clear.

Turn Left vs Eccasdash

Turn Left finished 9th to 10th at Grafton two months ago, half a length clear.

Turn Left vs Latin Lights

Turn Left finished 2nd to 4th at Ballina a fortnight ago, 1.3 lengths clear.

🐎The field

Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.

Jump to a runner

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Sunset Trail

Top pick

JArchie Mc Colm·TStephen & Jordan Lee

Last starts

2418

Career

1 win from 6

Weight

57.5kg

Class

BM58→Class 1

▲ Recent form▲ Jockey form▲ Recent speed▲ Running style🏃Front Runner🔥Hot Jockey

The case leans on its recent form and speed, with the horse placed last start, beaten half a length. It has won once from two starts on soft ground, and barrier 3 gives it a soft run. Jockey form and running style also count in its favour, though the speed figure is not a standout.

Latin Lights

Danger

JAndrew Mallyon·TM J Dunn

Last starts

4126

Career

1 win from 8

Weight

56.5kg-1.5

Class

BM58→Class 1

▲ Recent form▼ Class▲ Trainer form▲ Jockey form🔥Hot Jockey

She's A Dame

Next Best

JDanny Peisley·TS J Bennett

Last starts

33316

Career

1 win from 14

Weight

57.5kg+1

Class

Class 2→Class 1

▲ Recent form▼ Class▼ Age & sex▲ Wet-track form📈In Form

Its recent time figure is among the quickest in the field, 4.0 lengths a km under the track average, and it was placed last start, beaten 1.5L. The S J Bennett/Danny Peisley combo is striking 44% above expectation (last 100), and its wet-track form is a plus. Class and age and sex are the concerns, and the main thing to watch is the wide barrier 7 of 7 to overcome.

Turn Left

JViolet Soulsby·TShannon Manwarring

Last starts

24905

Career

1 win from 17

Weight

53.0kg

Class

BM58→Class 1

▼ Class▲ Recent form▲ Running style▼ Jockey form🏃Front Runner

It was placed last start, beaten half a length, and its recent form and running style are both supportive. Barrier 1 gives it a soft run. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 5 tries. Class and jockey form are concerns.

Miss Midas Touch

JGrady Spokes·TB J Dodson

Last starts

74132

Career

1 win from 14

Weight

53.5kg-1.5

Class

BM58→Class 1

▼ Late speed▼ Class▲ Trainer form▼ Age & sex🎯Sit 'n' Shoot

The B J Dodson/Grady Spokes combo is striking 42% above expectation (last 100), which is the main reason the trainer side of the case is strong. Barrier 2 gives it a soft run. Its late speed, class and age and sex all count against it, and it has no standout speed figure.

Eccasdash

JBailie Baker·TC J O'Reilly

Last starts

03980

Career

1 win from 14

Weight

53.0kg+1

Class

Same, Class 1

▼ Class▼ Recent speed▼ Recent form▼ Late speed🌊Swimmer🔧 Tongue tie first time, winkers first time.

The C J O'Reilly/Bailie Baker combo is striking 258% above expectation (last 100), which is its main positive. Recent speed, recent form, late speed and class all count against it. The main things to watch are that it is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 3 tries, and that it is wearing winkers for the first time today.

Spirit Fox

JSiabh Rigley·TC J O'Reilly

Last starts

45279

Career

1 win from 16

Weight

51.0kg-3

Class

Rst 55→Class 1

▼ Class▼ Running style▲ Best speed▼ Jockey form🎯Sit 'n' Shoot⚡Speed King

It owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, 7.0 lengths a km under the track average, and its best speed is a clear strength. C J O'Reilly is in form, 59% above expectation across the last 100 runners. Class, running style and jockey form are concerns, and the main thing to watch is the wide barrier 6 of 7 to overcome.