Sunshine Coast · Race 3
Australian Energy Analytics Hcp (C2)
1800m · Good 4 · $28,000
Our Pick
Old Faithful
Placed last start, beaten just 1 length. Racing in form.
The Read
Old Faithful was beaten just 1 length last start and is racing in form, backed by strength across recent form, jockey form, recent speed and trainer form. The case leans on consistent recent efforts, though there's no standout speed figure to separate it from the field.
Key factors driving the rating up (▲) and down (▼).
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Show 7 matchupsHide matchups
Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.
Empress Aspen vs Bolero
Empress Aspen finished 1st to 3rd at Toowoomba last month, a head clear.
Quality Miss vs Empress Aspen
Quality Miss finished 2nd to 7th at Ipswich a fortnight ago, 7 lengths clear.
Quality Miss vs Shedrivesabentley
Quality Miss finished 2nd to 5th at Ipswich a fortnight ago, 3.8 lengths clear.
Shedrivesabentley vs Empress Aspen
Shedrivesabentley finished 5th to 7th at Ipswich a fortnight ago, 3.2 lengths clear.
Shedrivesabentley vs Stormstout
Shedrivesabentley finished 6th to 8th at Ipswich last month, half a length clear.
Shrimpton vs Apollo Moon
Shrimpton finished 3rd to 7th at Toowoomba a fortnight ago, 4.7 lengths clear.
Stormstout vs Quality Miss
Stormstout finished 3rd to 6th at Ipswich two months ago, 3 lengths clear.
Golden Smile
4J: Daniel Moor · T: K A Lees
Fastest recent time in field, 6.0 lengths a km under track average.
In-form jockey Daniel Moor riding 56% above expectation last 100 rides.
Resuming today, yet to win first-up from 5 attempts, needs a run.
The Read
Golden Smile owns the quickest recent time figure in the field at 6.0 lengths a km under the track average, and jockey Daniel Moor is riding 56% above expectation over his last 100 rides. Recent form and trainer form are also solid, but watch that it's resuming today and has yet to break the ice first-up in 5 attempts, usually needing a run to find its feet.
Over Old Faithful?
Whether resuming fitness proves no barrier. Old Faithful's relied on pace to find the front three of its last six, but Golden Smile carries a kilo less and jumps better from barrier 4. The catch is it hasn't broken through first-up in five tries, though it only needs a reasonable run to prove it's the quickest time figure in this field.
Shedrivesabentley
8J: Archie Mc Colm · T: K J Jones
Won last start by a nose at Gold Coast.
Resuming today and reliable fresh - placed 2 of 3 first-up.
K J Jones and Archie Mc Colm combo striking 742% above expectation last 100.
The Read
Shedrivesabentley won last start by a nose at Gold Coast and resumes today having placed in 2 of 3 first-up attempts, so it reliably runs well fresh. The K J Jones/Archie Mc Colm combination is striking 742% above expectation over the last 100 rides, a dominant edge, though running style is flagged as a concern.
Over Old Faithful?
Finding a clear run from wider out. It's won fresh two of three times and just landed a nose victory at Gold Coast off a break. The draw from 8 and Old Faithful's speed bias could make things tough, but dropping from Class 1 to Class 2 carrying 8kg less than the top pick shapes as a race Shedrivesabentley can dictate if it finds clear air.
Full Field
The read on each runner - look past the pick for value.
Bolero
J: Dan Mc Gillivray · T: Vic Heading
The Vic Heading/Dan Mc Gillivray combination is striking 485% above expectation over the last 100 rides, a major edge, and barrier 1 is ideal for getting a soft run. Recent form and recent speed are both concerns, which is the main thing to watch for this one.
Stormstout
J: Montana Philpot · T: R G Howard
Stormstout is drawn at barrier 2 to get a soft run, but the main thing to watch is that it is winless first-up in 5 attempts and recent form, trainer form and running style are all concerns. It does strike once into the prep with 1 win from 5 second-up starts.
Empress Aspen
J: Bella Youngberry · T: Corey & Kylie Geran
The Corey & Kylie Geran/Bella Youngberry combination is striking 75% above expectation over the last 100 rides, and barrier 3 is drawn to give a soft run. Recent speed and class are the rating drivers, though the main thing to watch is that Empress Aspen is unproven in the wet with no wins from 4 tries on soft ground.
Golden Smile⚔️ Danger
J: Daniel Moor · T: K A Lees
Golden Smile owns the quickest recent time figure in the field at 6.0 lengths a km under the track average, and jockey Daniel Moor is riding 56% above expectation over his last 100 rides. Recent form and trainer form are also solid, but watch that it's resuming today and has yet to break the ice first-up in 5 attempts, usually needing a run to find its feet.
Old FaithfulTOP PICK
J: Jag Guthmann-Chester · T: S W Kendrick
Old Faithful was beaten just 1 length last start and is racing in form, backed by strength across recent form, jockey form, recent speed and trainer form. The case leans on consistent recent efforts, though there's no standout speed figure to separate it from the field.
Family Of League
J: Stephanie Tierney · T: P P Jenkins
Family Of League owns a recent time figure of 5.1 lengths a km under the track average and is resuming today, where it has placed in 2 of 4 first-up attempts, suggesting it runs well fresh. The case rests on that early-prep reliability and recent speed, though recent form and class are concerns.
Shrimpton
J: Kelsey Lenton · T: Nick Keal
Shrimpton won last start by 4 lengths at Toowoomba and recent form is a strength, though there is no standout speed figure and running style is a concern.
Shedrivesabentley🎯 Next Best
J: Archie Mc Colm · T: K J Jones
Shedrivesabentley won last start by a nose at Gold Coast and resumes today having placed in 2 of 3 first-up attempts, so it reliably runs well fresh. The K J Jones/Archie Mc Colm combination is striking 742% above expectation over the last 100 rides, a dominant edge, though running style is flagged as a concern.
Quality Miss
J: Mark Du Plessis · T: Diane Murphy
Quality Miss was beaten just 1 length last start and is racing in form, which is the key strength. Watch that it resumes today and has yet to win first-up in 6 attempts, usually needing a run, and it must also overcome barrier 9 of 10.