Nowra · Race 1 · 1100m · Soft 7 · $30,000

Michael 'Mick' Locke Memorial Country Boosted Mdn Plate

Sun, 18 Oct, 1:45 pm AEDT

✋

Hard to Split · the form can't separate them

Clear order

Rebel Terra is our top rating with a real gap to the rest.

Standout

Clear order

Two-horse race

Open race

Big field

Where the win chances sit

59% our three

Rebel Terra

Top pick

places 55%

23%

Lady Mariana

Danger

places 51%

19%

Cool As Ted

Next Best

places 48%

17%

The other 5between them

41%

Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.

🧮What is pulling each rating

The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.

Swipe the grid sideways for every signal

RunnerTallyClassRecent formTrainer formAge & sexJockey formRecent speedBest speedExperienceLate speedBarrierForm through rivalsRunning style

4Rebel Terra32

3Lady Mariana-

8Cool As Ted33

The rest of the field

1Hit The Nos56

2Alotofsoju13

5Our Miracle Girl5

6Steffiewah12

lifts its rating holds it back

🏁How they will settle

A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.

RailRunning this way Front of the field first

Settles back · runs on late

runs on late

5Our Miracle Girl6Steffiewah

No set pattern · could go either way

could go either way

1Hit The Nos3Lady Mariana4Rebel Terra7Wootton Valor8Cool As Ted

On the speed · likes to lead

likes to lead

2Alotofsoju

🔁Head to head

Where Rebel Terra has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.

Show 4 matchups

Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.

Cool As Ted vs Our Miracle Girl

Cool As Ted finished 2nd to 7th at Cootamundra a fortnight ago, 6.9 lengths clear.

Rebel Terra vs Hit The Nos

Rebel Terra finished 3rd to 10th at Moruya a fortnight ago, 8.2 lengths clear.

Steffiewah vs Hit The Nos

Steffiewah finished 2nd to 10th at Moruya a fortnight ago, 11.2 lengths clear.

Steffiewah vs Rebel Terra

Steffiewah finished 2nd to 3rd at Moruya a fortnight ago, 3 lengths clear.

🐎The field

Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.

Jump to a runner

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Rebel Terra

Top pick

JWinona Costin·TPat Murphy

Last starts

Career

0 wins from 1

Weight

56.5kg-1.5

Class

Same, Maiden

▲ Recent form▼ Late speed▼ Class▲ Experience

It was placed last start, beaten 3L, so it is racing in form, and its experience is a strength. Its late speed and class are concerns that hold it back. It needs to find more finishing speed than it has shown to date.

Lady Mariana

Danger

JAlysha Collett·TK Dryden & L Snowden

Last starts

No starts

Career

First starter

Weight

55.0kg

Class

Maiden

⏱️ Trialled well

It is resuming off an eye-catching barrier trial, finishing 2nd beaten half a length, and the K Dryden and L Snowden/Alysha Collett combo is striking 72% above expectation over the last 100 rides. The draw from barrier 3 should give it a soft run. The main thing to watch is that it is first up from a spell with no first-up record, and it is untested on soft going.

Cool As Ted

Next Best

JDale Cole·TScott Collings

Last starts

2943

Career

0 wins from 5

Weight

57.0kg+2

Class

Same, Maiden

▼ Class▲ Recent form▼ Best speed▲ Jockey form

The case leans on its recent form, having been placed last start and beaten half a length, and its jockey's form is a strength. Its class and best speed are concerns, so it has to prove it can lift against this company. The main thing to watch is the wide barrier 8 of 8 to overcome.

Hit The Nos

JKeagan Latham·TMatthew Dale

Last starts

Career

0 wins from 1

Weight

56.5kg-0.5

Class

Same, Maiden

▼ Recent form▼ Recent speed▼ Class▼ Best speed🔥Hot Jockey

Its recent form, recent speed, class and best speed are all concerns that weigh on the rating. The one positive is the draw from barrier 1, which should give it a soft run. It needs to show improvement on its recent efforts to come into calculations.

Alotofsoju

JEmma Ly·TMs M Hopkins

Last starts

26274

Career

0 wins from 16

Weight

55.5kg+2.5

Class

Same, Maiden

▼ Class▲ Recent form▼ Trainer form▼ Age & sex🏃Front Runner⚡Speed King

It holds the quickest recent time figure in the field and was placed last start, beaten half a length. Jockey Emma Ly is riding 27% above expectation across the last 100 rides, and the draw from barrier 2 should give it a soft run. Its class, trainer form and age and sex are concerns that keep the rating in check.

Our Miracle Girl

JShaun Guymer·TMs S Downs

Last starts

7068

Career

0 wins from 10

Weight

57.0kg+1.5

Class

Same, Maiden

▼ Class▼ Recent form▼ Recent speed▼ Trainer form🎯Sit 'n' Shoot🔧 Tongue tie again.

Its class, recent form, recent speed and trainer form all count against it, so there is little in its recent record to lean on. It is also a question mark in the wet. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 3 tries.

Steffiewah

JQuayde Krogh·TD J Rolfe

Last starts

27407

Career

0 wins from 10

Weight

59.0kg+3.5

Class

Same, Maiden

▼ Class▲ Recent form▼ Trainer form🎯Sit 'n' Shoot

Its recent time figures are among the quickest in the field, and it was placed last start, beaten half a length, so it is racing in form. Its class and trainer form are concerns that pull the rating back. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, with no win from 3 tries on soft.

Wootton Valor

JLouise Day·TWarren Ganderton

Last starts

No starts

Career

First starter

Weight

56.5kg

Class

Maiden

🔧 Ear muffs (pre-race only) first time.

The Warren Ganderton/Louise Day combo is striking 84% above expectation over the last 100 rides, which is the clearest positive in its record. Its rating is not lifted by any standout factor. The main thing to watch is that this is its first run back from a spell with no first-up record, and it is untested on soft going from a wide barrier 7 of 8 to overcome.