NowraNSW

R2Soft 7

AIS Certifiers Eddie Latta Memorial Country Boosted Hcp (C1)

1200m·11 runnersClass 1

2:20 pm

$30,000

📊 Race Analysis

11 runners

Standout

Clear order

Two-horse

Open

Big field

Our Key Selections

3 runners to know

The runners our analysis rates in this race, and why. A starting point for your own form study.

Regor

⭐Strong Pick69/100

J: Nick Heywood · T: Matthew Dale

🟡Moderate Risk🏃Front Runner

🏆

Won last start by 3L at Albury, showing strong recent form.

🎯

Barrier 2 draw should help it get a soft run.

🌧️

First run on soft going today, so untested in these conditions.

Where the win chances sit

62% our three

Regor25%Bold Conquer21%Jimmy's Ready16%the rest38%

Bold Conquer

58/100

J: Richard Bensley · T: Scott Collings

🏆

Won last start by 1L at Goulburn, a narrow but clear win.

🌧️

First run on soft going today, so untested in these conditions.

Over Regor?

Whether the soft going suits. Bold Conquer won its last start by 1L at Goulburn and carries 3.5kg less than Regor. It's untested on soft, which is the catch. If the wet doesn't trouble it, that weight edge could be the difference.

Jimmy's Ready

44/100

J: Keagan Latham · T: J M Cleary

🔥Hot Jockey

🤝

Cleary/Keagan Latham combo - 135% above expectation (last 100).

📏

Suited at the trip - 1 win from 3 starts over 1200m.

🚧

Wide barrier 10 of 11 to overcome.

🌧️

Yet to win on soft from 3 tries.

👀

First-time blinkers, sharpening gear applied.

Over Regor?

Whether the wet beats it again. Jimmy's Ready carries 4kg less than Regor and is down 2.5kg on its last start. It's yet to win on soft from 3 tries, and it jumps from barrier 10. The 1200m trip has suited it, so the weight may carry it past Regor.

🏁 Race shape

Where each runner usually settles, from its recent starts

Pace

2 usually lead

Soft

Even

Genuine

Hot

Lead

4Bold Conquer2Regor11Remy's Bro

Midfield

1Kirwans Bridge5Bound To Fire7Crusader Razor9Tassalina

Back

10Jimmy's Ready3Our Kinsmen8Maritime Express6Spiritual Mystery

Key factors

Weight and class vs last start, and what is pulling each rating

Swipe for more

HorseWeightClassFormSpeedBest speedLate speedClassClass moveJockeyTrainerBarrierFresh recordFitnessRun styleTrackWet formExperienceTrialsWeightRivalsAge/sex

1Kirwans Bridge58.0+1.5

2Regor59.0+0.5

3Our Kinsmen55.5-2.5

4Bold Conquer55.5-2

5Bound To Fire55.0-

6Spiritual Mystery55.0-

7Crusader Razor53.5-11

8Maritime Express56.5-0.5

9Tassalina56.5-1.5

10Jimmy's Ready55.0-2.5

11Remy's Bro59.5+1.5

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FormPicks.com

Tap for extended form

Nowra · Race 2 · 1200m · Soft 7 · $30,000

AIS Certifiers Eddie Latta Memorial Country Boosted Hcp (C1)

Sun, 18 Oct, 2:20 pm AEDT

📋

Race Analysis

Clear order

Regor is our top rating with a real gap to the rest.

Standout

Clear order

Two-horse race

Open race

Big field

Where the win chances sit

62% our three

Regor

Top pick

places 56%

25%

Bold Conquer

Danger

places 51%

21%

Jimmy's Ready

Next Best

places 43%

16%

The other 8between them

38%

Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.

🧮What is pulling each rating

The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.

Swipe the grid sideways for every signal

RunnerTallyClassRecent formTrainer formJockey formClass moveRecent speedAge & sexFitnessFresh recordRunning styleLate speedTrack & goingWet formBarrierBest speedExperienceForm through rivalsTrial formWeight

2Regor33

4Bold Conquer42

10Jimmy's Ready53

The rest of the field

1Kirwans Bridge15

3Our Kinsmen29

5Bound To Fire21

6Spiritual Mystery12

7Crusader Razor24

8Maritime Express23

9Tassalina5

11Remy's Bro31

lifts its rating holds it back

🏁How they will settle

A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.

RailRunning this way Front of the field first

Settles back · runs on late

runs on late

6Spiritual Mystery8Maritime Express

No set pattern · could go either way

could go either way

1Kirwans Bridge5Bound To Fire7Crusader Razor9Tassalina10Jimmy's Ready11Remy's Bro

On the speed · likes to lead

likes to lead

2Regor3Our Kinsmen4Bold Conquer

🔁Head to head

Where Regor has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.

Show 1 matchup

Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.

Remy's Bro vs Spiritual Mystery

Remy's Bro finished 3rd to 4th at Moruya a fortnight ago, half a length clear.

🐎The field

Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.

Jump to a runner

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Regor

Top pick

JNick Heywood·TMatthew Dale

Last starts

1273

Career

1 win from 5

Weight

59.0kg+0.5

Class

Maiden→Class 1

▲ Recent form▼ Class▲ Running style▲ Trainer form🏃Front Runner

It won its last start by 3L at Albury, and its trainer form and running style both support it, though class is a concern. The case is helped by a soft run from barrier 2. The main thing to watch is that today is its first run on soft going, so it is untested in these conditions.

Bold Conquer

Danger

JRichard Bensley·TScott Collings

Last starts

Career

1 win from 2

Weight

55.5kg-2

Class

Maiden→Class 1

▲ Recent form▼ Class▲ Running style▲ Age & sex

It won its last start by 1L at Goulburn, and recent form, running style, and age and sex are all strengths. Class is a concern. The main thing to watch is that today is its first run on soft going, so it is untested in these conditions.

Jimmy's Ready

Next Best

JKeagan Latham·TJ M Cleary

Last starts

8640

Career

1 win from 6

Weight

55.0kg-2.5

Class

Open→Class 1

▲ Class move▼ Recent form▼ Fresh record▲ Age & sex🔥Hot Jockey🔧 Blinkers off first time, nose roll first time.

The J M Cleary/Keagan Latham combo is striking 135% above expectation (last 100), and it is suited at the trip with 1 win from 3 starts over 1200m. A class move and age and sex are strengths, while recent form and its fresh record are concerns. The main thing to watch is the wide barrier 10 of 11 to overcome, and it is also unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 3 tries.

Kirwans Bridge

JAlysha Collett·THaylee Day

Last starts

62143

Career

1 win from 13

Weight

58.0kg+1.5

Class

Class 2→Class 1

▼ Fresh record▼ Class▼ Trainer form▲ Barrier

It is among the quickest recent time figures in the field, 3.1 lengths a km under the track average, and in-form jockey Alysha Collett is riding 31% above expectation across the last 100 rides. Its barrier 1 draw gives it a soft run, but its fresh record, class and trainer form are concerns. The main thing to watch is that it is resuming today, yet to win first-up from 3 attempts, and unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 4 tries.

Our Kinsmen

JAdrian Layt·TRichard Butler

Last starts

0042

Career

1 win from 13

Weight

55.5kg-2.5

Class

BM58→Class 1

▼ Fitness / freshness▼ Class▼ Fresh record▼ Trainer form🏃Front Runner

It has a soft run from barrier 3, but fitness, class, its fresh record and trainer form are all concerns. The main thing to watch is that it is resuming today, yet to win first-up from 3 attempts.

Bound To Fire

JJeff Penza·TWarren Ganderton

Last starts

2455

Career

1 win from 14

Weight

55.0kg

Class

Same, Class 1

▼ Class▲ Form through rivals▲ Recent form

It was placed last start, beaten 3.5L, and its recent form and form through rivals are both strengths. Class is a concern. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 4 tries.

Spiritual Mystery

JQuayde Krogh·TD J Rolfe

Last starts

46358

Career

1 win from 18

Weight

55.0kg

Class

Same, Class 1

▼ Class▼ Trainer form▲ Wet-track form🎯Sit 'n' Shoot

Crusader Razor

JGlenn Cahill·TJ Rolfe

Last starts

5095

Career

1 win from 26

Weight

53.5kg-11

Class

Open→Class 1

▼ Class▼ Recent form▲ Class move▼ Recent speed

Maritime Express

JDale Cole·THaylee Day

Last starts

96522

Career

1 win from 10

Weight

56.5kg-0.5

Class

Class 2→Class 1

▼ Class▲ Track & conditions▼ Trainer form▼ Fitness / freshness🎯Sit 'n' Shoot

It is resuming today and excels fresh, with 1 win from 2 starts first-up, and its track and conditions record is a strength. Class, trainer form and fitness are concerns. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 4 tries.

Tassalina

JGrant Buckley·TTodd Smart

Last starts

7778

Career

1 win from 6

Weight

56.5kg-1.5

Class

BM58→Class 1

▼ Class▼ Recent form▼ Jockey form▼ Recent speed⚡Speed King🔧 Blinkers first time, tongue tie first time.

It owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, 3.2 lengths a km under the track average. Class, recent form, jockey form and recent speed are all listed as concerns. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 3 tries, and it is wearing blinkers for the first time.

Remy's Bro

JDamon Budler·TKevin Cassidy

Last starts

36123

Career

1 win from 7

Weight

59.5kg+1.5

Class

Same, Class 1

▼ Class▲ Recent form▲ Wet-track form▲ Jockey form🌊Swimmer

The Kevin Cassidy/Damon Budler combo is striking 36% above expectation (last 100), and the horse was placed last start, beaten 5L, so it is racing in form. Its case leans on its wet-track form and jockey form, though class is a concern. The main thing to watch is the wide barrier 11 of 11 to overcome.

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.