Belmont Park · Race 6
Afgri Equipment (Bm54+)
2200m · Soft 5 · $30,000
Our Pick
Sister Mary
Quickest recent time figure in field, 7.1 lengths under track average.
P H Jordan and Lisa Staples striking 50% above expectation last 100 starts.
Placed last start, beaten half a length. Racing in form.
Resuming today after break. Yet to win first-up from 3 attempts.
The Read
This runner owns the quickest recent time figure in the field at 7.1 lengths a km under the track average, which is the primary strength. It was placed last start beaten half a length and the trainer-jockey combination is striking 50% above expectation. The main watch is a winless first-up record from 3 attempts, meaning it usually needs a run.
Key factors driving the rating up (▲) and down (▼).
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Where Sister Mary has met others in today's field before, and what has changed since. A starting point for your own form study.
Our pick finished 2.6 lengths ahead at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 3rd to their 7th. That run was on a Good track; today is Soft.
Our pick finished a length ahead at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 3rd to their 6th. That run was on a Good track; today is Soft.
Our pick finished 2.1 lengths ahead at Belmont Park last month, 3rd to their 4th. Carries 2.5kg more relative to them this time.
Had a nose on our pick at Belmont Park last month, 2nd to our pick's 3rd. Meets them 1kg better off at the weights today.
Show 40 matchupsHide matchups
Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.
Awesome Force vs Delicate Warrior
Awesome Force finished 3rd to 4th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, half a length clear.
Awesome Force vs Flash Paddy
Awesome Force finished 3rd to 9th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 2.8 lengths clear.
Awesome Force vs Global Trip
Awesome Force finished 3rd to 5th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, a length clear.
Awesome Force vs Granite Rock
Awesome Force finished 3rd to 10th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 3.6 lengths clear.
Awesome Force vs Hot Like Chili
Awesome Force finished 3rd to 6th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 1.4 lengths clear.
Awesome Force vs Sluice Box
Awesome Force finished 3rd to 8th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 2.6 lengths clear.
Dandy's Gem vs Awesome Force
Dandy's Gem finished 1st to 3rd at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, a nose clear.
Dandy's Gem vs Delicate Warrior
Dandy's Gem finished 1st to 4th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, half a length clear.
Dandy's Gem vs Flash Paddy
Dandy's Gem finished 1st to 9th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 2.9 lengths clear.
Dandy's Gem vs Global Trip
Dandy's Gem finished 1st to 5th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, a length clear.
Dandy's Gem vs Granite Rock
Dandy's Gem finished 1st to 10th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 3.7 lengths clear.
Dandy's Gem vs Hot Like Chili
Dandy's Gem finished 1st to 6th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 1.5 lengths clear.
Dandy's Gem vs Sluice Box
Dandy's Gem finished 1st to 8th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 2.7 lengths clear.
Dandy's Gem vs Whiskers Harbour
Dandy's Gem finished 1st to 2nd at Belmont Park a fortnight ago.
Delicate Warrior vs Flash Paddy
Delicate Warrior finished 4th to 9th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 2.2 lengths clear.
Delicate Warrior vs Global Trip
Delicate Warrior finished 4th to 5th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, a head clear.
Delicate Warrior vs Granite Rock
Delicate Warrior finished 4th to 10th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 3 lengths clear.
Delicate Warrior vs Hot Like Chili
Delicate Warrior finished 4th to 6th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, a length clear.
Delicate Warrior vs Sluice Box
Delicate Warrior finished 4th to 8th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 2.0 lengths clear.
Flash Paddy vs Granite Rock
Flash Paddy finished 9th to 10th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, a length clear.
Global Trip vs Flash Paddy
Global Trip finished 5th to 9th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 1.8 lengths clear.
Global Trip vs Granite Rock
Global Trip finished 5th to 10th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 2.6 lengths clear.
Global Trip vs Hot Like Chili
Global Trip finished 5th to 6th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, half a length clear.
Global Trip vs Sluice Box
Global Trip finished 5th to 8th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 1.6 lengths clear.
Here For Cheques vs Argyle Star
Here For Cheques finished 3rd to 8th at Pinjarra Scarpside a fortnight ago, 4.1 lengths clear.
Hot Like Chili vs Flash Paddy
Hot Like Chili finished 6th to 9th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 1.4 lengths clear.
Hot Like Chili vs Granite Rock
Hot Like Chili finished 6th to 10th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 2.2 lengths clear.
Hot Like Chili vs Sluice Box
Hot Like Chili finished 6th to 8th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, a length clear.
L'il Capri vs Eternal Romance
L'il Capri finished 6th to 7th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 1.5 lengths clear.
Sister Mary vs Eternal Romance
Sister Mary finished 3rd to 7th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 2.6 lengths clear.
Sister Mary vs L'il Capri
Sister Mary finished 3rd to 6th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, a length clear.
Sluice Box vs Flash Paddy
Sluice Box finished 8th to 9th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, a head clear.
Sluice Box vs Granite Rock
Sluice Box finished 8th to 10th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, a length clear.
Whiskers Harbour vs Awesome Force
Whiskers Harbour finished 2nd to 3rd at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, a nose clear.
Whiskers Harbour vs Delicate Warrior
Whiskers Harbour finished 2nd to 4th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, half a length clear.
Whiskers Harbour vs Flash Paddy
Whiskers Harbour finished 2nd to 9th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 2.9 lengths clear.
Whiskers Harbour vs Global Trip
Whiskers Harbour finished 2nd to 5th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, a length clear.
Whiskers Harbour vs Granite Rock
Whiskers Harbour finished 2nd to 10th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 3.7 lengths clear.
Whiskers Harbour vs Hot Like Chili
Whiskers Harbour finished 2nd to 6th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 1.5 lengths clear.
Whiskers Harbour vs Sluice Box
Whiskers Harbour finished 2nd to 8th at Belmont Park a fortnight ago, 2.7 lengths clear.
Eternal Romance
5J: Natasha Faithfull · T: D & B Pearce
Back after a break. Needs a run - 0 wins from 4 first-up attempts.
The Read
Strong class rating and recent form support this runner. The jockey form is also a positive. It resumes today but has never won first-up from 4 attempts, so it usually requires a run before striking.
Argyle Star
1J: William Pike · T: Josh Brown
Josh Brown and William Pike combining at 58% above expectation last 100.
Barrier 1 draw should allow a soft run in the race.
Resuming today after a spell. Zero wins from 5 first-up attempts.
The Read
The Josh Brown and William Pike combination is striking 58% above expectation over the last 100 rides, which is the primary strength here. Drawn in barrier 1 for a soft run. The concern is that it has never won first-up from 5 attempts and usually needs a run to come to hand.
Full Field
The read on each runner - look past the pick for value.
Argyle Star🎯 Next Best
J: William Pike · T: Josh Brown
The Josh Brown and William Pike combination is striking 58% above expectation over the last 100 rides, which is the primary strength here. Drawn in barrier 1 for a soft run. The concern is that it has never won first-up from 5 attempts and usually needs a run to come to hand.
L'il Capri
J: Taj Dyson · T: Mack Hall
The Mack Hall and Taj Dyson combination is striking 47% above expectation over the last 100 rides, and it draws barrier 2 for a soft run. Class rates as a strength. The watch is a winless first-up record from 4 attempts, though it has won once into the prep from 3 starts.
Here For Cheques
J: Patrick Carbery · T: B A Miller
The case leans on recent speed - 5.1 lengths a km under the track average, among the quickest in the field - and a placed last start beaten only 2 lengths showing current form. Barrier 3 offers a soft run. The main watch is the first-up record - winless from 6 attempts on resumption, though it has won once into a prep from 5 starts second-up.
Eternal Romance⚔️ Danger
J: Natasha Faithfull · T: D & B Pearce
Strong class rating and recent form support this runner. The jockey form is also a positive. It resumes today but has never won first-up from 4 attempts, so it usually requires a run before striking.
Delicate Warrior
J: Holly Nottle · T: D R Harrison
The D R Harrison and Holly Nottle combination is striking 136% above expectation over the last 100 rides, which is a strong driver. Recent form and speed are also rating positively. The key watch is that it has yet to win first-up from 4 attempts and will typically need a run.
Luka Magic🔧 Blinkers first time, visors off first time.
J: Chanel Cooper · T: Tiarnna Noske
The case rests on recent speed and class strength, plus in-form jockey Chanel Cooper riding 37% above expectation over the last 100 rides. The trip suits, with 1 win from 3 starts over 2200 metres. First-time blinkers represent sharpening gear applied.
Dandy's Gem
J: Paul Harvey · T: Embroja Lee Altieri
Won last start by a nose at Belmont Park and the trainer-jockey combination of Embroja Lee Altieri and Paul Harvey is striking 136% above expectation over the last 100 rides, which is a very strong driver. Recent speed and class also rate positively. The main watch is that it has yet to win first-up from 4 attempts.
Sister MaryTOP PICK
J: Lisa Staples · T: P H Jordan
This runner owns the quickest recent time figure in the field at 7.1 lengths a km under the track average, which is the primary strength. It was placed last start beaten half a length and the trainer-jockey combination is striking 50% above expectation. The main watch is a winless first-up record from 3 attempts, meaning it usually needs a run.
Sluice Box
J: Shaun O'Donnell · T: A W Maley
It has proven form here with 1 win from 12 starts at Belmont Park over 2200 metres, and jockey Shaun O'Donnell is riding 27% above expectation. The concerns are a poor first-up record from 8 attempts and it usually needs a run to be effective.
Whiskers Harbour
J: Clint Johnston-Porter · T: R C McPherson
Recent form is solid with a placed last start beaten only a nose, and recent speed rates as a strength alongside class. The watch is that it has yet to win first-up from 4 attempts and will typically need a run, plus it faces a barrier concern.
Awesome Force
J: Joey Azzopardi · T: R W Price
Recent form is strong with a placed last start beaten half a length, and recent speed rates positively alongside class strength. The trainer-jockey combination is striking 35% above expectation. The winless first-up record from 3 attempts is a concern, though it has won once into the prep from 3 starts, and the wide barrier 16 is a major watch.