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Townsville ยท Race 2 ยท 1400m ยท Soft 5 ยท $23,000

The Ville Mdn Plate

Sun, 18 Oct, 2:30 pm AEDT

๐Ÿ“‹

Race Analysis

Clear order

Queen Of Russia is our top rating with a real gap to the rest.

Standout

Clear order

Two-horse race

Open race

Big field

Where the win chances sit

59% our three

13

Queen Of Russia

Top pick

places 49%

22%

1

Blazing Future

Danger

places 45%

19%

10

Moonya Lad

Next Best

places 43%

18%

+8

The other 8between them

41%

Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.

๐ŸงฎWhat is pulling each rating

The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.

Swipe the grid sideways for every signal

RunnerTallyClassRecent formJockey formRecent speedAge & sexBarrierBest speedTrainer formLate speedRunning styleClass move
13Queen Of Russia42
1Blazing Future1
10Moonya Lad32

The rest of the field

2Power Cruise3
3Volare12
5Watchya Language5
6Foxtrotting7
11Towers Hill21
12Enterprise Valour25
14Check One Two5
lifts its rating holds it back

๐ŸHow they will settle

A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.

RailFront of the field first

Settles back ยท runs on late

1Blazing Future3Volare5Watchya Language6Foxtrotting14Check One Two

No set pattern ยท could go either way

2Power Cruise8Nobel Peace11Towers Hill12Enterprise Valour

On the speed ยท likes to lead

10Moonya Lad13Queen Of Russia

๐Ÿ”Head to head

Where Queen Of Russia has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.

Show 18 matchups

Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.

Ballandella Street vs Volare

Ballandella Street finished 6th to 7th at Townsville 4 months ago, a length clear.

Blazing Future vs Farnanheit

Blazing Future finished 4th to 6th at Townsville a fortnight ago, a length clear.

Check One Two vs Ballandella Street

Check One Two finished 6th to 8th at Rockhampton 3 months ago, half a length clear.

Enterprise Valour vs Watchya Language

Enterprise Valour finished 2nd to 4th at Townsville last month, half a length clear.

Farnanheit vs Power Cruise

Farnanheit finished 5th to 7th at Townsville last month, a length clear.

Foxtrotting vs Farnanheit

Foxtrotting finished 5th to 6th at Townsville two months ago, 1.3 lengths clear.

In The Hole Tiger vs Foxtrotting

In The Hole Tiger finished 5th to 10th at Townsville a fortnight ago, 31.0 lengths clear.

In The Hole Tiger vs Watchya Language

In The Hole Tiger finished 5th to 8th at Townsville a fortnight ago, 4.4 lengths clear.

Moonya Lad vs Farnanheit

Moonya Lad finished 2nd to 13th at Townsville two months ago, 4.6 lengths clear.

Moonya Lad vs Foxtrotting

Moonya Lad finished 4th to 10th at Townsville a fortnight ago, 31.5 lengths clear.

Moonya Lad vs In The Hole Tiger

Moonya Lad finished 4th to 5th at Townsville a fortnight ago, half a length clear.

Moonya Lad vs Watchya Language

Moonya Lad finished 4th to 8th at Townsville a fortnight ago, 4.9 lengths clear.

Power Cruise vs Ballandella Street

Power Cruise finished 4th to 6th at Townsville 4 months ago, half a length clear.

Towers Hill vs Volare

Towers Hill finished 2nd to 3rd at Bowen last week, a nose clear.

Volare vs Blazing Future

Volare finished 2nd to 4th at Townsville a fortnight ago, a length clear.

Volare vs Farnanheit

Volare finished 2nd to 6th at Townsville a fortnight ago, 1.7 lengths clear.

Volare vs Power Cruise

Volare finished 6th to 7th at Townsville last month, a head clear.

Watchya Language vs Foxtrotting

Watchya Language finished 8th to 10th at Townsville a fortnight ago, 26.6 lengths clear.

๐ŸŽThe field

Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.

Jump to a runner

13

Queen Of Russia

Top pick
JRyan WigginsยทTGeorgie Holt

Last starts

339

Career

0 wins from 3

Weight

56.5kg-1

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ฒ Jockey formโ–ฒ Recent formโ–ผ Classโ–ฒ Trainer form๐Ÿ”ฅHot Jockey๐Ÿ”ง Blinkers first time, winkers off first time.

It has placed 2 of 3 career starts at only 3, and was placed last start, beaten 1.5L. In-form jockey Ryan Wiggins is riding 21% above expectation across the last 100 rides, and trainer form is a strength. Class is the concern. The main thing to watch is the wide barrier 13 of 14 to overcome.

Read more
1

Blazing Future

Danger
JChris WhiteleyยทTBelynda Kliese

Last starts

4440

Career

0 wins from 8

Weight

58.5kg-1.5

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ฒ Late speed๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' Shoot๐Ÿ”ฅHot Jockey

The Belynda Kliese/Chris Whiteley combo is striking 43% above expectation (last 100), and the draw helps with a soft run from barrier 1. The case leans on its late speed. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 6 tries.

Read more
10

Moonya Lad

Next Best
JBen KennedyยทTT Button

Last starts

42322

Career

0 wins from 9

Weight

58.5kg-1.5

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ผ Classโ–ฒ Recent formโ–ฒ Trainer formโ–ฒ Jockey form๐Ÿ”ฅHot Jockey

It is among the quickest recent time figures in the field, 1.8 lengths a km under the track average. The T Button/Ben Kennedy combo is striking 54% above expectation (last 100), and recent form, trainer form and jockey form are all strengths. Class is the concern to weigh against it.

Read more
2

Power Cruise

JAnthony AllenยทTTroy Clive

Last starts

87544

Career

0 wins from 14

Weight

58.5kg

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ผ Classโ–ผ Recent formโ–ผ Recent speed๐Ÿ”ง Blinkers again, winkers off first time.

In-form jockey Anthony Allen is riding 24% above expectation across the last 100 rides, and the draw from barrier 2 gives it a soft run. Class, recent form and recent speed are all concerns. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 5 tries.

Read more
3

Volare

JSamantha PointonยทTTroy Clive

Last starts

32698

Career

0 wins from 35

Weight

53.5kg-4

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ผ Classโ–ผ Age & sexโ–ฒ Recent form๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' Shoot

It was placed last start, beaten 1.5L, and recent form is a strength. The draw from barrier 3 gives it a soft run. Class and age and sex are the concerns. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 14 tries.

Read more
5

Watchya Language

JFiona SandkuhlยทTJoshua Manzelmann

Last starts

8466

Career

0 wins from 7

Weight

54.5kg-3

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ผ Classโ–ผ Recent speedโ–ผ Recent formโ–ผ Age & sex๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' Shoot๐Ÿ”ง Winkers first time.

Class, recent speed, recent form and age and sex are all concerns, so the case is thin on the evidence available. The main thing to watch is that it is a first-time winker today.

Read more
6

Foxtrotting

JPeta EdwardsยทTNathan Coves

Last starts

0958

Career

0 wins from 8

Weight

58.5kg+2

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ผ Classโ–ผ Recent speedโ–ผ Recent formโ–ผ Jockey form๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' Shoot๐Ÿ”ง Blinkers again.

Class, recent speed, recent form and jockey form all count against it, so the case is weak on the evidence available. The main thing to watch is the return to blinkers, with sharpening gear applied.

Read more
8

Nobel Peace

JAshley ButlerยทTGeorgie Holt

Last starts

No starts

Career

First starter

Weight

56.0kg

Class

Maiden
โฑ๏ธ Trialled well

It is resuming off an eye-catching barrier trial, finishing 3rd, beaten 1.5L. No other driver stands out. The main things to watch are that it is a first run back from a spell with no first-up record yet, and that it is a first run on soft going today, untested in these conditions.

Read more
11

Towers Hill

JAidan HoltยทTMs J Hassett

Last starts

2240

Career

0 wins from 14

Weight

58.5kg-1

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ผ Classโ–ฒ Jockey formโ–ฒ Recent form

It was placed last start, beaten 1.5L, and jockey form and recent form are both strengths. The Ms J Hassett/Aidan Holt combo is striking 37% above expectation (last 100). Class is the concern. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 4 tries.

Read more
12

Enterprise Valour

JAdam SewellยทTMark Barnham

Last starts

9207

Career

0 wins from 5

Weight

58.5kg+3.5

Class

BM65โ†’Maiden
โ–ผ Recent formโ–ผ Classโ–ผ Recent speedโ–ฒ Class move

The Mark Barnham/Adam Sewell combo is striking 38% above expectation (last 100), and a class move is a real positive. Recent form, recent speed and class are all concerns that hold the case back.

Read more
14

Check One Two

JWanderson D'AvilaยทTMs S Royes

Last starts

85633

Career

0 wins from 20

Weight

56.5kg

Class

Same, Maiden
โ–ผ Classโ–ผ Recent formโ–ผ Jockey formโ–ผ Age & sex๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' ShootโšกSpeed King๐Ÿ”ง Bandages (front) off first time, blinkers off again.

It owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, 3.2 lengths a km under the track average. Class, recent form, jockey form and age and sex are all concerns that pull the case down. The main things to watch are the first-time blinkers and the wide barrier 14 of 14 to overcome.

Read more

ScratchedIn The Hole Tiger ยท Farnanheit ยท Ballandella Street

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.