Townsville ยท Race 2 ยท 1400m ยท Soft 5 ยท $23,000
The Ville Mdn Plate
Sun, 18 Oct, 2:30 pm AEDT
Race Analysis
Clear order
Queen Of Russia is our top rating with a real gap to the rest.
Standout
Clear order
Two-horse race
Open race
Big field
Where the win chances sit
59% our three
Queen Of Russia
Top pick
22%
Blazing Future
Danger
19%
Moonya Lad
Next Best
18%
The other 8between them
41%
Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.
๐งฎWhat is pulling each rating
The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.
Swipe the grid sideways for every signal
The rest of the field
๐How they will settle
A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.
Settles back ยท runs on late
runs on late
No set pattern ยท could go either way
could go either way
On the speed ยท likes to lead
likes to lead
๐Head to head
Where Queen Of Russia has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.
Show 18 matchupsHide matchups
Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.
Ballandella Street vs Volare
Ballandella Street finished 6th to 7th at Townsville 4 months ago, a length clear.
Blazing Future vs Farnanheit
Blazing Future finished 4th to 6th at Townsville a fortnight ago, a length clear.
Check One Two vs Ballandella Street
Check One Two finished 6th to 8th at Rockhampton 3 months ago, half a length clear.
Enterprise Valour vs Watchya Language
Enterprise Valour finished 2nd to 4th at Townsville last month, half a length clear.
Farnanheit vs Power Cruise
Farnanheit finished 5th to 7th at Townsville last month, a length clear.
Foxtrotting vs Farnanheit
Foxtrotting finished 5th to 6th at Townsville two months ago, 1.3 lengths clear.
In The Hole Tiger vs Foxtrotting
In The Hole Tiger finished 5th to 10th at Townsville a fortnight ago, 31.0 lengths clear.
In The Hole Tiger vs Watchya Language
In The Hole Tiger finished 5th to 8th at Townsville a fortnight ago, 4.4 lengths clear.
Moonya Lad vs Farnanheit
Moonya Lad finished 2nd to 13th at Townsville two months ago, 4.6 lengths clear.
Moonya Lad vs Foxtrotting
Moonya Lad finished 4th to 10th at Townsville a fortnight ago, 31.5 lengths clear.
Moonya Lad vs In The Hole Tiger
Moonya Lad finished 4th to 5th at Townsville a fortnight ago, half a length clear.
Moonya Lad vs Watchya Language
Moonya Lad finished 4th to 8th at Townsville a fortnight ago, 4.9 lengths clear.
Power Cruise vs Ballandella Street
Power Cruise finished 4th to 6th at Townsville 4 months ago, half a length clear.
Towers Hill vs Volare
Towers Hill finished 2nd to 3rd at Bowen last week, a nose clear.
Volare vs Blazing Future
Volare finished 2nd to 4th at Townsville a fortnight ago, a length clear.
Volare vs Farnanheit
Volare finished 2nd to 6th at Townsville a fortnight ago, 1.7 lengths clear.
Volare vs Power Cruise
Volare finished 6th to 7th at Townsville last month, a head clear.
Watchya Language vs Foxtrotting
Watchya Language finished 8th to 10th at Townsville a fortnight ago, 26.6 lengths clear.
๐The field
Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.
Jump to a runner
Queen Of Russia
Top pickLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
It has placed 2 of 3 career starts at only 3, and was placed last start, beaten 1.5L. In-form jockey Ryan Wiggins is riding 21% above expectation across the last 100 rides, and trainer form is a strength. Class is the concern. The main thing to watch is the wide barrier 13 of 14 to overcome.
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Blazing Future
DangerLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
The Belynda Kliese/Chris Whiteley combo is striking 43% above expectation (last 100), and the draw helps with a soft run from barrier 1. The case leans on its late speed. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 6 tries.
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Moonya Lad
Next BestLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
It is among the quickest recent time figures in the field, 1.8 lengths a km under the track average. The T Button/Ben Kennedy combo is striking 54% above expectation (last 100), and recent form, trainer form and jockey form are all strengths. Class is the concern to weigh against it.
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Power Cruise
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
In-form jockey Anthony Allen is riding 24% above expectation across the last 100 rides, and the draw from barrier 2 gives it a soft run. Class, recent form and recent speed are all concerns. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 5 tries.
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Volare
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
It was placed last start, beaten 1.5L, and recent form is a strength. The draw from barrier 3 gives it a soft run. Class and age and sex are the concerns. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 14 tries.
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Watchya Language
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Class, recent speed, recent form and age and sex are all concerns, so the case is thin on the evidence available. The main thing to watch is that it is a first-time winker today.
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Foxtrotting
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Class, recent speed, recent form and jockey form all count against it, so the case is weak on the evidence available. The main thing to watch is the return to blinkers, with sharpening gear applied.
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Nobel Peace
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
It is resuming off an eye-catching barrier trial, finishing 3rd, beaten 1.5L. No other driver stands out. The main things to watch are that it is a first run back from a spell with no first-up record yet, and that it is a first run on soft going today, untested in these conditions.
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Towers Hill
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
It was placed last start, beaten 1.5L, and jockey form and recent form are both strengths. The Ms J Hassett/Aidan Holt combo is striking 37% above expectation (last 100). Class is the concern. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 4 tries.
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Enterprise Valour
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
The Mark Barnham/Adam Sewell combo is striking 38% above expectation (last 100), and a class move is a real positive. Recent form, recent speed and class are all concerns that hold the case back.
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Check One Two
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
It owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, 3.2 lengths a km under the track average. Class, recent form, jockey form and age and sex are all concerns that pull the case down. The main things to watch are the first-time blinkers and the wide barrier 14 of 14 to overcome.
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ScratchedIn The Hole Tiger ยท Farnanheit ยท Ballandella Street