Bendigo · Race 1
Cathcart Smash Repairs Mdn Plate
1600m · Good 4 · $55,000
Our Pick
Sentaloa
Placed first-up from 1 start. Runs well when fresh.
Placed last start, beaten 2.5 lengths. Racing in form.
Barrier 1 drawn to get a soft run in race.
The Read
Resuming with a perfect first-up record (1 from 1) is a strong asset, and it's backed by class, recent speed strength, and placement last start beaten just 2.5L. Barrier 1 completes a favourable picture. The case is built on multiple form and freshness indicators all pointing the same way.
Key factors driving the rating up (▲) and down (▼).
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Show 2 matchupsHide matchups
Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.
King Fleance vs I'lberidin'shotgun
King Fleance finished 2nd to 4th at Mildura last month, 1.4 lengths clear.
Notre Citrouille vs King Winston
Notre Citrouille finished 7th to 11th at Bendigo a fortnight ago, 1.6 lengths clear.
Nightowl
8J: Thomas Stockdale · T: Andrew Noblet
Resuming today after break, placed first-up from 1 attempt. Runs well fresh.
Jockey Thomas Stockdale riding 28% above expectation across last 100 rides.
The Read
Resuming with a perfect first-up record (1 from 1) is a strong foundation, backed by class and in-form recent speed. Thomas Stockdale is riding 28% above expectation across his last 100 rides, adding real weight to the resume. The case leans on fresh-up effectiveness and jockey class working in concert.
Over Sentaloa?
Whether it settles and finishes. This race will likely be run with speed up front, which suits a fresh horse that's placed first-up before. Nightowl has 2.5kg more than Sentaloa and the worse barrier at 8, but Stockdale's riding well above expectation. It beats Sentaloa if it settles and finishes over those in front.
Koyuga Rip
12J: Declan Bates · T: Annalise Maragos
Quickest recent time figure in field, 4.6 lengths faster than track average.
Jockey/trainer combo Maragos and Bates striking 386% above expectation last 100 starts.
Placed last start, beaten only 5 lengths. Racing in form.
Wide barrier 12 of 12 is a hurdle to overcome.
The Read
This horse owns the quickest recent time figure in the field at 4.6 lengths a km under track average, and that speed edge is backed by strong recent form (placed last start, beaten just 5L) and an outstanding jockey/trainer combo striking 386% above expectation. The case is built on genuine pace and form, though wide barrier 12 is the main thing to overcome.
Over Sentaloa?
The wide draw doesn't cost it. Koyuga Rip's recorded the quickest time in the field and raced in form last start, but jumping from 12 with 2.5kg more than Sentaloa is a real ask. The Maragos/Bates combination's doing well above expectation. It beats Sentaloa if the wide draw doesn't flatten its tempo early.
Full Field
The read on each runner - look past the pick for value.
SentaloaTOP PICK
J: Daniel Stackhouse · T: M M Laurie
Resuming with a perfect first-up record (1 from 1) is a strong asset, and it's backed by class, recent speed strength, and placement last start beaten just 2.5L. Barrier 1 completes a favourable picture. The case is built on multiple form and freshness indicators all pointing the same way.
Notre Citrouille
J: Lachlan King · T: R K Challis
Recent form and recent speed are both flagged as concerns, and running style is also a negative. The only positive concrete fact is barrier 2, which offers a soft run, but that alone is unlikely to overcome the form and speed questions. Watch whether the inside draw can help overcome the recent form deficit.
King Winston
J: Beau Mertens · T: G Eurell
This horse owns among the quickest recent time figures in the field and has solid class and experience credentials. G Eurell is in form at 41% above expectation, and barrier 3 offers a soft run. Recent form is a concern, but the case leans on genuine pace combined with an in-form rider and a favourable draw.
I'm Marcus
J: Joe Bowditch · T: K & G Mayberry
This horse steps in with class credentials as a genuine strength. Joe Bowditch is riding 26% above expectation over his last 100 rides, which provides meaningful support. However, recent form and recent speed are both flagged as concerns, and the trainer form is also weak, so the jockey's form will need to carry more weight here.
Cajun
J: Michael Dee · T: A & S Freedman
I'lberidin'shotgun🔧 Blinkers off first time, tongue tie first time.
J: John Allen · T: Emma Church
The case rests on resuming today with a strong first-up record (1 from 2), suggesting this horse runs well fresh when it matters. Recent form is solid, and the jockey is in good touch, though recent speed figures and the trainer's current form are concerns. Watch whether the first-time blinkers sharpen the speed, as that will be crucial given the speed question mark.
Nightowl⚔️ Danger
J: Thomas Stockdale · T: Andrew Noblet
Resuming with a perfect first-up record (1 from 1) is a strong foundation, backed by class and in-form recent speed. Thomas Stockdale is riding 28% above expectation across his last 100 rides, adding real weight to the resume. The case leans on fresh-up effectiveness and jockey class working in concert.
King Fleance
J: Billy Egan · T: Richard Cully
Resuming with an immaculate first-up record (1 from 1) is a strong platform for today. Recent form and jockey form are both strengths, and experience is solid. The trainer's current form is a concern, but the weight of evidence leans on the proven first-up ability and jockey class.
Merton Bells
J: Alana Kelly · T: Dan O'Sullivan
Dan O'Sullivan and Alana Kelly are striking 46% above expectation over their last 100 runners, which is a solid positive. Beyond that metric there are no standout drivers in the data, so the jockey/trainer combo form becomes the primary reason to follow this runner.
Kuheylan
J: Jett Stanley · T: Julius Sandhu
Class is a genuine strength here, and Jett Stanley is riding 50% above expectation over his last 100 rides, which is the standout positive. Recent speed, recent form, and best-speed are all concerns, so the case hinges entirely on the in-form jockey elevating this runner. Wide barrier 11 is a neutral factor to monitor.
Koyuga Rip🎯 Next Best
J: Declan Bates · T: Annalise Maragos
This horse owns the quickest recent time figure in the field at 4.6 lengths a km under track average, and that speed edge is backed by strong recent form (placed last start, beaten just 5L) and an outstanding jockey/trainer combo striking 386% above expectation. The case is built on genuine pace and form, though wide barrier 12 is the main thing to overcome.