Bairnsdale · Race 2
Lakes Diesel Sales & Service Mdn Plate
1000m · Good 4 · $32,000
No Bet - Skip This Race
This race is too open to call.
No runner stands out clearly on the form, so we're sitting this one out. We only put up a tip when the form genuinely separates the field - the full guide is still below.
If you had to have one, this is our order
Certain Impact
Quickest recent time figure in field. 2.5 lengths per km under track average.
First-up runner with form. Placed 1 from 2 when resuming.
The Read
This horse owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, running 2.5 lengths a km under the track average, and it has a placed first-up record (1 from 2). The speed figures and fresh-up record form a solid foundation for a winning chance here.
Key factors driving the rating up (▲) and down (▼).
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Show 3 matchupsHide matchups
Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.
Certain Impact vs La Velocita
Certain Impact finished 3rd to 8th at Pakenham Synthetic last month, 3.4 lengths clear.
La Velocita vs Excelaot
La Velocita finished 7th to 10th at Moe last month, 1.4 lengths clear.
La Velocita vs Zouie
La Velocita finished 5th to 6th at Mornington 6 months ago, 3.5 lengths clear.
Full Field
The read on each runner - look past the pick for value.
Nishioka
J: Nathan Punch · T: R D Griffiths
Returning from a spell with no first-up record on file, this horse draws barrier 2 to get a soft run. The unproven first-up profile in this return is the main thing to watch.
Heavy Is The Head🔧 Winkers off first time.
J: Jackie Beriman · T: Paul & Tracey Templeton
Jockey Jackie Beriman is riding 97% above expectation across the last 100 rides, providing some support here. The concern is recent form and recent speed figures have been weak, and it has no proven first-up record. The first-time winkers today are the main thing to monitor.
Briar Island🔧 Cross-over nose band first time.
J: Jason Maskiell · T: Smiley Chan
Smiley Chan and Jason Maskiell are an in-form combination, striking 207% above expectation across the last 100. This is Maskiell's first run back from a spell with no established first-up record yet, so that remains the key unknown.
Alvear🔧 Ear muffs (pre-race only) first time, lugging bit first time.
J: Celine Gaudray · T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes
Returning from a spell with no first-up record to reference, this runner lacks standout form drivers. The return from the break with an unknown first-up profile is the main thing to watch.
Certain ImpactTOP PICK
J: Adam Mc Cabe · T: M Croston & G Gilmour
This horse owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, running 2.5 lengths a km under the track average, and it has a placed first-up record (1 from 2). The speed figures and fresh-up record form a solid foundation for a winning chance here.