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Nowra ยท Race 3 ยท 1400m ยท Soft 7 ยท $27,000

Kevin & Dawn Robinson Memorial (Bm58)

Sun, 18 Oct, 2:55 pm AEDT

๐Ÿ“‹

Race Analysis

Clear order

Kool Kade is our top rating with a real gap to the rest.

Standout

Clear order

Two-horse race

Open race

Big field

Where the win chances sit

57% our three

5

Kool Kade

Top pick

places 58%

28%

8

Perchance

Danger

places 42%

16%

3

Awesome Artist

Next Best

places 36%

13%

+8

The other 8between them

43%

Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.

๐ŸงฎWhat is pulling each rating

The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.

Swipe the grid sideways for every signal

RunnerTallyClassTrainer formRecent formRecent speedAge & sexJockey formRunning styleLate speedBarrierClass moveFitnessForm through rivalsTrial form
5Kool Kade51
8Perchance2
3Awesome Artist44

The rest of the field

2Dunwithya23
4Ciao Bella Mia22
6Adasiti4
7Ulysses Blue15
9Celestial Grace13
10Angel In The Wind21
11Sir Sublime12
12Jamarni13
lifts its rating holds it back

๐ŸHow they will settle

A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.

RailFront of the field first

Settles back ยท runs on late

7Ulysses Blue9Celestial Grace10Angel In The Wind12Jamarni

No set pattern ยท could go either way

2Dunwithya4Ciao Bella Mia6Adasiti8Perchance

On the speed ยท likes to lead

3Awesome Artist5Kool Kade11Sir Sublime

๐Ÿ”Head to head

Where Kool Kade has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.

Show 3 matchups

Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.

Angel In The Wind vs Dunwithya

Angel In The Wind finished 4th to 9th at Moruya a fortnight ago, 4.1 lengths clear.

Celestial Grace vs Ciao Bella Mia

Celestial Grace finished 3rd to 9th at Nowra last month, 3.2 lengths clear.

Sir Sublime vs Adasiti

Sir Sublime finished 5th to 9th at Cootamundra a fortnight ago, 2 lengths clear.

๐ŸŽThe field

Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.

Jump to a runner

5

Kool Kade

Top pick
JDeon Le RouxยทTMitchell Beer & George Carpenter

Last starts

13127

Career

3 wins from 15

Weight

61.0kg+2

Class

Same, BM58
โ–ฒ Recent formโ–ฒ Trainer formโ–ผ Classโ–ฒ Recent speed๐ŸŒŠSwimmer๐ŸƒFront Runner๐Ÿ“ˆIn Form

The case leans on its recent form, with a win by half a length at Moruya last start and recent speed that backs it up. Trainer form is a plus, and in-form jockey Deon Le Roux is riding 22% above expectation across the last 100 rides. Class is the concern, and there is no standout speed figure to lean on, so watch whether it can handle a step up in company.

Read more
8

Perchance

Danger
JPierre BoudvillainยทTMitchell Beer & George Carpenter

Last starts

7134

Career

1 win from 4

Weight

57.5kg+2.5

Class

Class 1โ†’BM58
โ–ฒ Trainer formโ–ฒ Jockey form๐Ÿ”ฅHot Jockey
3

Awesome Artist

Next Best
JAlysha CollettยทTDavid Pfieffer

Last starts

00137

Career

1 win from 6

Weight

61.0kg+3

Class

Listedโ†’BM58
โ–ฒ Classโ–ฒ Class moveโ–ผ Recent formโ–ผ Fitness / freshness๐ŸŒŠSwimmer๐ŸƒFront Runner๐Ÿ”ง Blinkers off first time, tongue tie off first time.

It is among the quickest recent time figures in the field, 2.0 lengths a km under the track average, and its class and class move both count in its favour. It has handled the soft, with 1 win from 3 starts on soft ground, and in-form jockey Alysha Collett is riding 31% above expectation across the last 100 rides. Recent form and fitness/freshness are the concerns. It is first-time blinkers, so sharpening gear is the main thing to watch.

Read more
2

Dunwithya

JDamon BudlerยทTNatalie Jarvis

Last starts

95359

Career

1 win from 12

Weight

57.5kg-1

Class

Same, BM58
โ–ผ Classโ–ผ Recent formโ–ฒ Trainer formโ–ผ Late speed๐Ÿ”ง Blinkers off first time, cross-over nose band first time.

Trainer form is a strength, and the Natalie Jarvis/Damon Budler combination is striking 42% above expectation across the last 100 rides. It is drawn to get a soft run from barrier 2. Class, recent form and late speed are the concerns. It is first-time blinkers, so the sharpening gear is the main thing to watch.

Read more
4

Ciao Bella Mia

JPoppie GortonยทTAnthony Mountney

Last starts

39643

Career

3 wins from 25

Weight

57.5kg-2.5

Class

Same, BM58
โ–ฒ Recent formโ–ผ Age & sexโ–ฒ Recent speedโ–ผ Class

It was placed last start, beaten half a length, so it is racing in form and its recent speed is a strength. Anthony Mountney is in form, 22% above expectation across the last 100 runners. Age and sex and class are the concerns, so the case rests on its current form holding against this company.

Read more
6

Adasiti

JGlenn CahillยทTScott Jamieson

Last starts

90524

Career

2 wins from 16

Weight

56.0kg-0.5

Class

Same, BM58
โ–ผ Classโ–ผ Recent speedโ–ผ Recent formโ–ผ Age & sex
7

Ulysses Blue

JJeff PenzaยทTT J Robinson

Last starts

7590

Career

2 wins from 32

Weight

56.0kg-0.5

Class

Same, BM58
โ–ผ Recent formโ–ผ Age & sexโ–ฒ Late speedโ–ผ Running style๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' ShootโšกSpeed King๐Ÿ”ง Blinkers off again, lugging bit off again.

It owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, 3.4 lengths a km under the track average, and late speed is a strength. Recent form, age and sex, and running style are the concerns. It is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 11 tries, and it returns to blinkers, so the wet ground is the main thing to watch.

Read more
9

Celestial Grace

JWinona CostinยทTG Portelli

Last starts

73515

Career

1 win from 11

Weight

58.0kg-0.5

Class

Same, BM58
โ–ผ Classโ–ผ Late speedโ–ผ Trainer formโ–ฒ Recent speed๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' Shoot

Its recent speed is the strength in its case. Class, late speed and trainer form are the concerns, so it needs to show something new to lift above them. It is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 4 tries, which is the main thing to watch.

Read more
10

Angel In The Wind

JCoriah KeatingsยทTN J Olive

Last starts

4025

Career

2 wins from 17

Weight

59.5kg

Class

Same, BM58
โ–ผ Age & sexโ–ฒ Trainer formโ–ฒ Class๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' Shoot

It is second-up today and has run well, placed 2 of 3 at this run, while trainer form and class both count in its favour. Age and sex is the concern. It is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 7 tries, so the soft ground is the main thing to watch.

Read more
11

Sir Sublime

JJess TaylorยทTMs T Bateup

Last starts

5042

Career

2 wins from 34

Weight

55.5kg

Class

Same, BM58
โ–ผ Classโ–ฒ Running styleโ–ผ Trainer form๐ŸƒFront Runner

In-form jockey Jess Taylor is riding 65% above expectation across the last 100 rides, and running style is a strength. Class and trainer form are the concerns. It has a wide barrier 11 of 12 to overcome, which is the main thing to watch.

Read more
12

Jamarni

JLouise DayยทTWarren Ganderton

Last starts

4042

Career

1 win from 22

Weight

58.5kg+1

Class

Class 1โ†’BM58
โ–ผ Classโ–ฒ Form through rivalsโ–ผ Jockey formโ–ผ Barrier๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' Shoot

The Warren Ganderton/Louise Day combination is striking 84% above expectation across the last 100 rides, and it has form through rivals working for it. Class, jockey form and barrier are the concerns. It is unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 7 tries, and it has a wide barrier 12 of 12 to overcome, which is the main thing to watch.

Read more

ScratchedFlying Maurice

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.