Moe · Race 1 · 1200m · Good 4 · $32,000
Weblease Community Champions Mdn Plate
Sun, 18 Oct, 1:50 pm AEDT
Hard to Split · the form can't separate them
Open race
No runner stands out and the winner could come from anywhere in the field.
Standout
Clear order
Two-horse race
Open race
Big field
Where the win chances sit
49% our three
Bohemian Blitz
Top pick
18%
Satoshi
Danger
15%
Ruby Guild
Next Best
15%
The other 6between them
51%
Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.
🧮What is pulling each rating
The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.
Swipe the grid sideways for every signal
The rest of the field
🏁How they will settle
A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.
Settles back · runs on late
runs on late
No set pattern · could go either way
could go either way
On the speed · likes to lead
likes to lead
🔁Head to head
Where Bohemian Blitz has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.
Show 1 matchupHide matchups
Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.
Iron Eagle vs Selenic
Iron Eagle finished 3rd to 7th at Moe a fortnight ago, 5.2 lengths clear.
🐎The field
Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.
Jump to a runner
Bohemian Blitz
Top pickLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
A two-start prospect that has placed in both career runs, the most recent a 3L beaten effort that keeps it racing in form. The John McArdle/Lachlan King combo is striking 129% above expectation (last 100), and the case is supported by its age and sex and its experience. The thing to watch is its best speed, which has not yet been proven at a standout level.
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Satoshi
DangerLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
It has among the quickest recent time figures in the field, and its class, age and sex, and trainer form all lean in its favour. It is drawn to get a soft run from barrier 3. The concern is its late speed, so it needs to be ridden positively to be in a position to finish strongly.
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Ruby Guild
Next BestLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
It owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, and its class and late speed are real strengths. The concerns are jockey form and recent speed, so the strength of its time figure needs to be backed up by its riding and recent performances. The thing to watch is whether its recent speed and jockey combination hold up on the day.
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Iron Eagle
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Placed at its last start, beaten 6L, so it comes into this race racing in form. Its experience and age and sex both work in its favour, and it is drawn to get a soft run from barrier 2. The concern is that its best speed has not produced a standout figure, so it must prove it can lift on this step up.
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Mongolian Hero
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Tale Of Genji
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
The C W McDonald/Beau Mertens combo is striking 35% above expectation (last 100), which is a useful positive. No standout rating driver is pushing its case either way, and no standout speed figure is on record. It is a first run back from a spell with no first-up record yet, so the main thing to watch is its readiness after the break.
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Frewdamoss
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
It was placed at its last start, beaten 3.5L, so it is racing in form, and its late speed, class and experience are all strengths. The Ben, Will & Jd Hayes group is in form, running 30% above expectation across the last 100 runners. Its running style is the concern, so the way it is ridden will decide how much of its late speed it can use.
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Teddy's Trotter
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
The Mitchell Leek/Hayley Spitse combo is striking 64% above expectation (last 100), and its late speed and class are strengths. Its recent form and running style are concerns, so its form line needs to be weighed carefully. The main thing to watch is the wide barrier 12 of 13 it has to overcome.
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Nickibi
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
This is its first run back from a spell and it has no first-up record yet, so its readiness is the big unknown. It also has to overcome a wide barrier 13 of 13. No standout rating driver is pushing its case either way. The main thing to watch is how it performs fresh from the spell from such an awkward draw.
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ScratchedSelenic · Genki Girl · Mystic River Queen · Mo