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Moe · Race 1 · 1200m · Good 4 · $32,000

Weblease Community Champions Mdn Plate

Sun, 18 Oct, 1:50 pm AEDT

✋

Hard to Split · the form can't separate them

Open race

No runner stands out and the winner could come from anywhere in the field.

Standout

Clear order

Two-horse race

Open race

Big field

Where the win chances sit

49% our three

10

Bohemian Blitz

Top pick

places 43%

18%

3

Satoshi

Danger

places 38%

15%

4

Ruby Guild

Next Best

places 38%

15%

+6

The other 6between them

51%

Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.

🧮What is pulling each rating

The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.

Swipe the grid sideways for every signal

RunnerTallyClassExperienceLate speedRecent formRunning styleTrainer formAge & sexBest speedJockey formRecent speedFitnessBarrierClass move
10Bohemian Blitz51
3Satoshi31
4Ruby Guild23

The rest of the field

2Iron Eagle34
5Mongolian Hero56
8Frewdamoss54
12Teddy's Trotter33
lifts its rating holds it back

🏁How they will settle

A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.

RailFront of the field first

Settles back · runs on late

4Ruby Guild

No set pattern · could go either way

2Iron Eagle3Satoshi5Mongolian Hero7Tale Of Genji8Frewdamoss10Bohemian Blitz12Teddy's Trotter13Nickibi

On the speed · likes to lead

None

🔁Head to head

Where Bohemian Blitz has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.

Show 1 matchup

Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.

Iron Eagle vs Selenic

Iron Eagle finished 3rd to 7th at Moe a fortnight ago, 5.2 lengths clear.

🐎The field

Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.

Jump to a runner

10

Bohemian Blitz

Top pick
JLachlan King·TJohn McArdle

Last starts

33

Career

0 wins from 2

Weight

58.0kg+2.5

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Recent form▲ Age & sex▼ Best speed▲ Experience

A two-start prospect that has placed in both career runs, the most recent a 3L beaten effort that keeps it racing in form. The John McArdle/Lachlan King combo is striking 129% above expectation (last 100), and the case is supported by its age and sex and its experience. The thing to watch is its best speed, which has not yet been proven at a standout level.

Read more
3

Satoshi

Danger
JLuke Currie·TM Price & M Kent Jnr

Last starts

7630

Career

0 wins from 4

Weight

58.0kg+1

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Class▲ Age & sex▲ Trainer form▼ Late speed

It has among the quickest recent time figures in the field, and its class, age and sex, and trainer form all lean in its favour. It is drawn to get a soft run from barrier 3. The concern is its late speed, so it needs to be ridden positively to be in a position to finish strongly.

Read more
4

Ruby Guild

Next Best
JNathan Punch·TR D Griffiths

Last starts

45444

Career

0 wins from 5

Weight

56.0kg-1

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Class▲ Late speed▼ Jockey form▼ Recent speed🚀Late Speed🎯Sit 'n' Shoot⚡Speed King

It owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, and its class and late speed are real strengths. The concerns are jockey form and recent speed, so the strength of its time figure needs to be backed up by its riding and recent performances. The thing to watch is whether its recent speed and jockey combination hold up on the day.

Read more
2

Iron Eagle

JJake Noonan·TE & D Browne

Last starts

3

Career

0 wins from 1

Weight

58.0kg

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Recent form▲ Experience▲ Age & sex▼ Best speed

Placed at its last start, beaten 6L, so it comes into this race racing in form. Its experience and age and sex both work in its favour, and it is drawn to get a soft run from barrier 2. The concern is that its best speed has not produced a standout figure, so it must prove it can lift on this step up.

Read more
5

Mongolian Hero

JJason Maskiell·TPeter Gelagotis

Last starts

0

Career

0 wins from 1

Weight

58.0kg+1

Class

Open→Maiden
▲ Class▼ Recent form▲ Class move▼ Recent speed🔧 Gelded .
7

Tale Of Genji

JBeau Mertens·TC W McDonald

Last starts

No starts

Career

First starter

Weight

56.0kg

Class

Maiden
🔧 Tongue tie first time.

The C W McDonald/Beau Mertens combo is striking 35% above expectation (last 100), which is a useful positive. No standout rating driver is pushing its case either way, and no standout speed figure is on record. It is a first run back from a spell with no first-up record yet, so the main thing to watch is its readiness after the break.

Read more
8

Frewdamoss

JDamien Thornton·TBen, Will & Jd Hayes

Last starts

36

Career

0 wins from 2

Weight

56.0kg

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Late speed▼ Running style▲ Class▲ Experience🚀Late Speed🔧 Tongue tie first time.

It was placed at its last start, beaten 3.5L, so it is racing in form, and its late speed, class and experience are all strengths. The Ben, Will & Jd Hayes group is in form, running 30% above expectation across the last 100 runners. Its running style is the concern, so the way it is ridden will decide how much of its late speed it can use.

Read more
12

Teddy's Trotter

JHayley Spitse·TMitchell Leek

Last starts

8

Career

0 wins from 1

Weight

53.0kg-3

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Late speed▼ Recent form▲ Class▼ Running style

The Mitchell Leek/Hayley Spitse combo is striking 64% above expectation (last 100), and its late speed and class are strengths. Its recent form and running style are concerns, so its form line needs to be weighed carefully. The main thing to watch is the wide barrier 12 of 13 it has to overcome.

Read more
13

Nickibi

JZac Spain·TK & K Keys

Last starts

No starts

Career

First starter

Weight

58.0kg

Class

Maiden
🔧 Cross-over nose band first time.

This is its first run back from a spell and it has no first-up record yet, so its readiness is the big unknown. It also has to overcome a wide barrier 13 of 13. No standout rating driver is pushing its case either way. The main thing to watch is how it performs fresh from the spell from such an awkward draw.

Read more

ScratchedSelenic · Genki Girl · Mystic River Queen · Mo

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.