Sunshine Coast · Race 2

Caloundra RSL Mdn Plate

1400m · Good 4 · $30,000

1:30 pm

Our Pick

Strong Pick🔴High Risk

Hells Rein

🔥Hot Jockey
🔥

Vandyke-Wiggins combo 31% above expectation last 100 runs.

The Read

The David Vandyke/Ryan Wiggins combination is striking 31 percent above expectation in the last 100 rides, and experience is a strength. Recent speed is the concern, but the case leans on trainer and jockey form combining at a level of proven consistency.

Jockey form Trainer form Experience Recent speed

Key factors driving the rating up (▲) and down (▼).

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Show 7 matchups

Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.

Akira San vs Koban

Akira San finished 4th to 8th at Toowoomba a fortnight ago, 3 lengths clear.

Enjector vs Little Miss Classy

Enjector finished 4th to 5th at Doomben last preparation, a head clear.

Konigstein vs Rubick's Shadow

Konigstein finished 8th to 9th at Ipswich a fortnight ago, half a length clear.

Little Miss Classy vs Kindred

Little Miss Classy finished 3rd to 7th at Sunshine Coast last preparation, 4.8 lengths clear.

Money On My Mind vs Akira San

Money On My Mind finished 2nd to 4th at Toowoomba a fortnight ago, half a length clear.

Money On My Mind vs Koban

Money On My Mind finished 2nd to 8th at Toowoomba a fortnight ago, 3.6 lengths clear.

Rubick's Shadow vs Enjector

Rubick's Shadow finished 3rd to 8th at Kilcoy last month, 12.1 lengths clear.

⚔️Danger🎯Sit 'n' ShootSpeed King

Silent Answer

9

J: Michael Rodd · T: Taylah Mackinnon

Quickest recent time figure in the field. 4.1 lengths a km under track average.

The Read

Recent time figures are the quickest in the field at 4.1 lengths a km under track average, which is a significant edge. Class is also a strength, though recent form is a concern to weigh against the speed advantage.

Class Recent form

Over Hells Rein?

Whether the time advantage holds up. Silent Answer's fastest time in the field sits 4.1 lengths a km clear of the track average, a real edge on the clock. The only stumble is an extra half-kilo in the saddle and a slightly worse draw from barrier 8. If the speed holds up on a Good 4 surface, that time edge counts for plenty.

🎯Next Best🎯Sit 'n' Shoot🔥Hot Jockey

Akira San

4

J: Gary Geran · T: Corey & Kylie Geran

🔄

Resuming today - placed first-up, 1 from 2 recent returns.

👥

Corey & Kylie Geran/Gary Geran combo striking 33% above expectation.

The Read

The Corey and Kylie Geran/Gary Geran team is striking 33 percent above expectation in the last 100 rides and this horse runs well fresh, having placed first-up from 2 attempts. Recent speed is the concern, but the case leans on jockey form and a track record of placing on resumption.

Recent speed Jockey form

Over Hells Rein?

The Geran team is firing well above expectation across their last hundred runners together, and Akira San placed first-up from two attempts at a comeback. It's saddled with an extra half-kilo and hasn't won in three starts though. From barrier 4 and down 2kg on last time, it's positioned to settle closer and make that fresh form count.

Full Field

The read on each runner - look past the pick for value.

1

Kindred

J: Emily Lang · T: Billy Healey

🎯Sit 'n' Shoot
Last 59x77x

The Billy Healey/Emily Lang combination is striking 68 percent above expectation in the last 100 rides and barrier 1 offers a soft run. Recent form is weak and the main thing to watch is the soft going - unproven on soft with no wins from 3 attempts, plus a poor first-up record from 3 tries.

Recent form Trainer form Running style
2

Flying Zulu

J: Dan Mc Gillivray · T: Phillip Burns

🎯Sit 'n' Shoot
Last 50x65x

Recent form and speed are both poor, and first-up runs have not produced a win from 3 attempts. The positive is barrier 2 offering a soft run, though a first-up maiden usually needs time to find rhythm.

Recent form Recent speed Best speed
3

Fastest Choice🔧 Cross-over nose band off first time, nose roll first time.

J: Brandon Lerena · T: Stephen Sutherland

🎯Sit 'n' Shoot
Last 557x0

Recent time figures rank among the quickest in the field at 0.7 lengths a km under track average, and the Stephen Sutherland/Brandon Lerena combination is striking 100 percent above expectation across the last 100 rides. Barrier 3 is a soft draw, though fresh record, recent form and class are all concerns to monitor.

Class Fresh record Recent form Jockey form
4

Akira San🎯 Next Best

J: Gary Geran · T: Corey & Kylie Geran

🎯Sit 'n' Shoot🔥Hot Jockey
Last 54x92

The Corey and Kylie Geran/Gary Geran team is striking 33 percent above expectation in the last 100 rides and this horse runs well fresh, having placed first-up from 2 attempts. Recent speed is the concern, but the case leans on jockey form and a track record of placing on resumption.

Recent speed Jockey form
6

Rubick's Shadow🔧 Tongue tie first time.

J: Kayla Johnston · T: J R Bayliss

Last 59239x

The J R Bayliss/Kayla Johnston combination is striking 36 percent above expectation in the last 100 rides, which is the key positive. Recent form is weak and trainer form is also a concern, though the main thing to watch is the soft ground - unproven on soft with no wins from 3 tries.

Recent form Trainer form
7

Konigstein

J: Ryan Maloney · T: C J Waller

🎯Sit 'n' Shoot🔥Hot Jockey
Last 5808

Trainer form, jockey form and class are all working in its favour despite recent form concerns. The main thing to watch is the soft going - yet to race on it and untested in these conditions.

Recent form Class Trainer form Jockey form
8

Hells ReinTOP PICK

J: Ryan Wiggins · T: David Vandyke

🔥Hot Jockey
Last 54x6

The David Vandyke/Ryan Wiggins combination is striking 31 percent above expectation in the last 100 rides, and experience is a strength. Recent speed is the concern, but the case leans on trainer and jockey form combining at a level of proven consistency.

Jockey form Trainer form Experience Recent speed
9

Silent Answer⚔️ Danger

J: Michael Rodd · T: Taylah Mackinnon

🎯Sit 'n' ShootSpeed King
Last 50x205

Recent time figures are the quickest in the field at 4.1 lengths a km under track average, which is a significant edge. Class is also a strength, though recent form is a concern to weigh against the speed advantage.

Class Recent form
10

Little Miss Classy

J: Bella Youngberry · T: R L Heathcote

🎯Sit 'n' Shoot🔥Hot Jockey
Last 57x845

Jockey Bella Youngberry is in strong form, riding 43 percent above expectation across the last 100 rides, and class is a strength. Recent speed and form are concerns, and the main thing to watch is the first-up record - no wins from 3 attempts on resumption.

Class Recent speed Recent form
13

Dun Darte Cheap

J: Jag Guthmann-Chester · T: S W Kendrick

Last 594x00

The jockey form and class suggest some merit, but recent form and speed have both deteriorated. Wide barrier 13 of 14 is the main thing to watch - it's a significant obstacle on top of modest recent figures.

Recent form Recent speed Jockey form Class
14

Amalfi Boy

J: Mark Du Plessis · T: R L Heathcote

Last 5736x9

Class is the main strength here, but recent form and fitness are concerns after a break. The case leans on racing at the right level, though the wide barrier 14 draw is the key thing to watch and will require a strong ride to overcome.

Fresh record Class Recent form Barrier