Armidale · Race 1
Jiminy Purkiss Mdn Hcp
1400m · Good 4 · $27,000
No Bet - Skip This Race
This one's too close to call.
It's a strong, competitive field with several genuine winning chances - the form can't separate them, so we're not forcing a tip. The full guide is still below.
If you had to have one, this is our order
Wingeandwin
Among quickest recent time figures in field. 1.7 lengths per km under track average.
The Read
Wingeandwin has the strength of strong class and owns one of the quickest recent time figures in the field at 1.7 lengths a km under the track average. Recent form is a concern, but the speed and class combination gives it substance. Watch whether the recent form concern proves transient or signals a deeper issue.
Key factors driving the rating up (▲) and down (▼).
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Money On My Mind
8J: Mikayla Weir · T: Beau Gorman
Placed last start, beaten 5.5L. Racing in form.
Resuming today, yet to win first-up from 3 attempts.
Unproven in the wet, yet to win on soft from 4 tries.
Wide barrier 8 of 8 to overcome.
The Read
The jockey form is a genuine strength - riding 38% above expectation - but recent speed and class are concerns, and the horse is 0 for 3 first-up and 0 for 4 on soft ground. A last-start placement beaten 5.5 lengths shows it is racing in form, but watch whether the wide barrier 8 and resumption combine to mask the jockey's edge.
Over Wingeandwin?
Whether resuming form holds here. Wingeandwin hasn't raced yet, so there's genuine doubt about how it'll handle a maiden field first-up. Money On My Mind ran placings in form last start, beaten just 5.5 lengths, and meets Wingeandwin at level weights from barrier 8. The catch is it's never won resuming from three tries and usually needs a run to find its feet.
Almas Jewel
7J: Braith Nock · T: Annabel & Rob Archibald
Wide barrier 7 of 8 to overcome.
The Read
Recent speed is a strength and the horse has useful experience, but those gains are offset by concern around recent form and class. The wide barrier 7 draw from 8 is a practical problem to overcome. The case hinges on whether experience and recent speed can overcome the form and class concerns.
Over Wingeandwin?
Whether the pace runs hot enough. Maiden fields often run at a gallop early, which helps horses from wider gates get into the race. Almas Jewel's barrier 7 becomes less of a burden if the pace is hot. Both carry the same weight, so it comes down to whether a genuine tempo run can bring this debutant into calculations.
Full Field
The read on each runner - look past the pick for value.
Morpeth
J: Jenny Duggan · T: J A Sylvester
Morpeth has a major strength in jockey Jenny Duggan, who is riding 38% above expectation across the last 100 rides, and gets a soft barrier 1 draw. However, recent speed, class, recent form and jockey form all rate as concerns, and the horse has never won on soft from 4 tries. Watch whether Duggan's outstanding run can overcome the form and conditions questions.
Fire Island🔧 Blinkers off first time.
J: Olivia Dalton · T: Annabel & Rob Archibald
Fire Island brings concern across recent form, class, recent speed and fresh record, making it a hard case to support. It gets a soft run from barrier 2 and the first-time blinkers may help, but the horse is 0 for 4 first-up and has never won on soft from 7 attempts. Watch if the gear change can spark improvement in a difficult profile.
Wild Boom🔧 Blinkers first time.
J: Donovan Dillon · T: Liam Ruddy
Wild Boom has no standout speed figures or obvious rating drivers to build a case on. The horse gets a soft run from barrier 3, but that's the only positive. Watch whether the first-time blinkers and fresh return from a spell sharpen it up, and whether it handles soft going for the first time today - both remain completely untested.
Korekore🔧 Winkers first time.
J: · T: M K Mason
Korekore shows concern across class, recent form, jockey form and recent speed with no offsetting strengths to balance the ledger. It wears first-time winkers today, which is the only variable in play. The core profile offers little to work with on the day.
Purple Prince
J: Daniel Smith · T: J A Sylvester
Purple Prince owns the quickest recent time figure in the field at 3.3 lengths a km under the track average, which is the standout concrete fact here. However, class and jockey form are concerns, and it is 0 for 4 first-up and 0 for 5 on soft ground. The case leans entirely on recent speed, so watch whether that translates when resuming on an untested surface.
WingeandwinTOP PICK
J: Zac Wadick · T: Joe Gleeson
Wingeandwin has the strength of strong class and owns one of the quickest recent time figures in the field at 1.7 lengths a km under the track average. Recent form is a concern, but the speed and class combination gives it substance. Watch whether the recent form concern proves transient or signals a deeper issue.
Almas Jewel🎯 Next Best
J: Braith Nock · T: Annabel & Rob Archibald
Recent speed is a strength and the horse has useful experience, but those gains are offset by concern around recent form and class. The wide barrier 7 draw from 8 is a practical problem to overcome. The case hinges on whether experience and recent speed can overcome the form and class concerns.
Money On My Mind⚔️ Danger
J: Mikayla Weir · T: Beau Gorman
The jockey form is a genuine strength - riding 38% above expectation - but recent speed and class are concerns, and the horse is 0 for 3 first-up and 0 for 4 on soft ground. A last-start placement beaten 5.5 lengths shows it is racing in form, but watch whether the wide barrier 8 and resumption combine to mask the jockey's edge.