Heavy · 3 rounds · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Tanner Boser v Jhonata Diniz
Our pickTanner Boser to win on the cards✓ Landed
💬FormPicks Commentary
Two strikers here, but Boser's the busier one and harder to take down. He takes less damage too. Diniz has been out a year and lost his last fight badly. I'm backing Boser to grind out a decision over the distance. The only real concern is that reach deficit, which could let Diniz stay at range and frustrate him.
How this fight goes
🥊How it ends
Who wins and how. Six outcomes in one bar - the seam between the colours is the win chance.
Tanner Boser wins by KO 17%, by submission 5%, on the cards 34%. Jhonata Diniz wins by KO 11%, by submission 4%, on the cards 29%.
⏱The distance
Our finish chance, spread across the rounds by when UFC finishes actually land. The columns add up to the finish figure on the pick and the line ends on the chance it reaches the judges.
What's driving the pick
🧮Factor breakdown
Green favours Tanner Boser, red runs against them. Every figure is measured as it stood going into this fight.
Head to head
Striking
Grappling
Finishing
Longer bar is the better side of each row. Every figure is measured as it stood going into this fight.
FormPicks Momentum Meter
50 = a .500 fighterHow each fighter is actually going - the career, the last three weighted by what each was worth, and their most recent night. The longer the bar, the better the form.
Tanner Boser
Jhonata Diniz
How their fights end
Every UFC fight, by the round it ended3 round fights
Tanner Boser
6 of 11 to the cards · 5 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Jhonata Diniz
2 of 6 to the cards · 4 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec