Vera turns up on the back of four losses in a row, while Jourdain arrives having strung together a trio of wins, and most experts reckon that shift in form is what decides the match.

There's a consistent line that Jourdain's activity and output should let him win rounds on volume, while Vera's game is built around patience and single big moments that may not be enough to keep pace on the cards.

Several writers wonder aloud whether Vera's declining output since his title loss is down to age catching up or a mental block, rather than just a rough stretch of matchups.

Sure, the form ledger says forget him, but plenty of judges reckon Vera's knack for closing out a bout, plus the fact no one has managed to put him away inside the octagon, means he's still a real shot to snatch this one…