W Bantam · 3 rounds · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Chelsea Chandler v Melissa Croden
Our pickMelissa Croden to win on the cards✗ Missed
💬FormPicks Commentary
Croden's won two of three and looks sharper on the feet than her recent form suggests. She's younger, busier, and threatens takedowns. Chandler can crack and has pulled off upsets, but I'm backing Croden to grind out a decision. The risk is Chandler's submission game catches her.
How this fight goes
🥊How it ends
Who wins and how. Six outcomes in one bar - the seam between the colours is the win chance.
Chelsea Chandler wins by KO 9%, by submission 5%, on the cards 24%. Melissa Croden wins by KO 16%, by submission 9%, on the cards 37%.
⏱The distance
Our finish chance, spread across the rounds by when UFC finishes actually land. The columns add up to the finish figure on the pick and the line ends on the chance it reaches the judges.
What's driving the pick
🧮Factor breakdown
Green favours Melissa Croden, red runs against them. Every figure is measured as it stood going into this fight.
Head to head
Striking
Grappling
Finishing
Longer bar is the better side of each row. Every figure is measured as it stood going into this fight.
FormPicks Momentum Meter
50 = a .500 fighterHow each fighter is actually going - the career, the last three weighted by what each was worth, and their most recent night. The longer the bar, the better the form.
Chelsea Chandler
Melissa Croden
How their fights end
Every UFC fight, by the round it ended3 round fights
Chelsea Chandler
3 of 6 to the cards · 3 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Melissa Croden
2 of 3 to the cards · 0 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec