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Regular Season

Grizzlies

10-26

90-96

Heat

22-11

Our pick

📋 Post game review

⭐ Our pick Heat✓ Landed

A deserved win for the Heat

We had the Heat by 11, and they won by 6.

On the play the Heat were about 14 points better, so it could have been more.

The result, against how they played

MEM
MIA
Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

We expected

MEM90
MIA100

MIA by 10, 190 total

Final

MEM90
MIA96

MIA by 6, 186 total

On the play

MEM83
MIA97

MIA by 14, shooting luck aside

⏱️How it unfolded

The score against the pace we expected, quarter by quarter.

The score, against the pace we expected

14284256708498MIA 96MEM 900'Q122-23Half40-55Q364-79Final
MEMMIAWhat happenedWhat we expected (MEM 90, MIA 100)What the play deserved

The Heat stayed within a few baskets of the pace we expected all game.

Where it moved

▲ MEM better than we expected

+4Q122-23
-12Q218-32
+3Q324-24
+9Q426-17

▼ MIA better than we expected

The second quarter was where it moved most, 12 points worse than our numbers for the Grizzlies.

⚖️What decided it

Why the Heat won, and why the Grizzlies did not.

From the game

  • HeatLived at the line, 33 free throws to their 23
  • HeatWon the glass, 55 rebounds to 41
  • HeatThey shot well above their usual, eight of twelve from three

Key battles

67%Three-point accuracy33%
9Offensive rebounds21
46Rebounds63
20Free throws made25

📊The numbers

MEMMIA
40%Shooting from the field39%
8Threes made7
67%Three-point accuracy33%
20Free throws made25
46Rebounds63
9Offensive rebounds21
19Assists19
-1Points in the paint-1
0Fast break points0
19Points off turnovers18
22Turnovers19
10Steals11
10Blocks12

Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NBA results and box scores for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.