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Regular Season · Kaseya Center

Heat

14-64

91-96

Grizzlies

21-57

📋 Post game review

🤝 We had it too close to call

A deserved win for the Grizzlies

We had it too close to call, and the Grizzlies won 96-91.

On the play the Grizzlies were about 8 points better, so the score was about right.

The result, against how they played

MIA
MEM
Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

We expected

MIA99
MEM101

too close to call, 200 total

Final

MIA91
MEM96

MEM by 5, 187 total

On the play

MIA92
MEM100

MEM by 8, shooting luck aside

⏱️How it unfolded

The score against the pace we expected, quarter by quarter.

The score, against the pace we expected

14284256708498MEM 96MIA 910'Q123-31Half43-58Q369-74Final
MIAMEMWhat happenedWhat we expected (MIA 99, MEM 101)What the play deserved

The Grizzlies got 15 points ahead of the pace we expected in the second quarter, then it evened out by full time.

Where it moved

▲ MIA better than we expected

-7Q123-31
-8Q220-27
+10Q326-16
+2Q422-22

▼ MEM better than we expected

The third quarter was where it moved most, 10 points better than our numbers for the Heat.

⚖️What decided it

Why the Grizzlies won, and why the Heat did not.

From the game

  • GrizzliesLived at the line, 35 free throws to their eighteen
  • GrizzliesRan them off the floor, 16 fast break points to 3

Key battles

3Fast break points16
5Blocks1
8Points off turnovers15
15Free throws made22

🏀Good plays, bad plays

The plays that went each side's way, and the ones each side did to itself.

Heat

Good plays

  • 8-0 run

    A 8-0 run cut a 18-point deficit to 10

    Q2 0:01 · MIA 48-58 MEM

  • Steal

    Chris Quinn stole it from Rudy Gay

    Q4 0:29 · MIA 91-96 MEM

Bad plays

  • Missed FT

    Ricky Davis misses technical free throw

    Q3 0:21 · MIA 69-74 MEM

  • Turnover

    Stephane Lasme bad pass

    Q4 2:54 · MIA 86-92 MEM

Grizzlies

Good plays

  • 9-0 run

    A 9-0 run took them from 3 down to 6 up

    Q1 6:03 · MIA 11-17 MEM

  • 8-0 run

    A 8-0 run stretched a 11-point lead to 19

    Q2 8:15 · MIA 31-50 MEM

  • 9-0 run

    A 9-0 run stretched a 5-point lead to 14

    Q4 11:45 · MIA 69-83 MEM

Bad plays

  • Missed FT

    Mike Conley misses free throw 1 of 2

    Q4 3:48 · MIA 84-90 MEM

  • Missed FT

    Mike Conley misses free throw 1 of 2

    Q4 3:17 · MIA 86-91 MEM

  • Turnover

    Rudy Gay lost ball

    Q4 0:29 · MIA 91-96 MEM

📊The numbers

MIAMEM
38%Shooting from the field42%
10Threes made8
33%Three-point accuracy32%
15Free throws made22
73Rebounds76
10Offensive rebounds12
19Assists14
-1Points in the paint-1
3Fast break points16
8Points off turnovers15
13Turnovers11
7Steals10
5Blocks1

Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NBA results and box scores for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.