Mavericks at Trail Blazers - NBA Tips & Prediction | FormPicks

Sunday 25 October

Sunday 25 October

Completed · Pick landed

WESTERN CONFERENCE 1st ROUND - GAME 6 · Moda Center

Trail Blazers

48-34

96-103

Mavericks

57-25

📋 Post game review

🤝 We had it too close to call

A deserved win for the Mavericks

We had it too close to call, and the Mavericks won 103-96.

On the play the Mavericks were about 3 points better, so the score was about right.

The result, against how they played

POR

DAL

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

We expected

POR90

DAL92

too close to call, 182.8 total

Final

POR96

DAL103

DAL by 7, 199 total

On the play

POR100

DAL103

DAL by 3, shooting luck aside

⏱️How it unfolded

The score against the pace we expected, quarter by quarter.

The score quarter by quarter is not in yet.

⚖️What decided it

Why the Mavericks won, and why the Trail Blazers did not.

From the game

Nothing out of the ordinary in the numbers.

Key battles

24%Three-point accuracy33%

16Assists23

11Points off turnovers8

15Offensive rebounds12

🏀Good plays, bad plays

The plays that went each side's way, and the ones each side did to itself.

Trail Blazers

Good plays

8-0 run
A 8-0 run took them from 1 down to 7 up
Q1 9:10 · POR 12-5 DAL
8-0 run
A 8-0 run cut a 17-point deficit to 9
Q3 0:27 · POR 66-75 DAL
8-0 run
A 8-0 run cut a 9-point deficit to 1
Q4 7:28 · POR 85-86 DAL

Bad plays

Turnover
LaMarcus Aldridge lost ball
Q4 4:20 · POR 85-89 DAL
Missed FT
LaMarcus Aldridge misses free throw 1 of 2
Q4 2:33 · POR 87-91 DAL
Missed FT
LaMarcus Aldridge misses free throw 2 of 2
Q4 2:33 · POR 87-91 DAL

Mavericks

Good plays

8-0 run
A 8-0 run cut a 12-point deficit to 4
Q1 5:24 · POR 19-15 DAL
8-0 run
A 8-0 run stretched a 7-point lead to 15
Q3 5:26 · POR 52-67 DAL

Bad plays

Turnover
Dirk Nowitzki offensive foul (Marcus Camby draws the foul)
Q4 3:25 · POR 85-91 DAL
Turnover
Jason Terry backcourt
Q4 2:55 · POR 87-91 DAL
Turnover
Jason Terry backcourt
Q4 0:46 · POR 89-95 DAL

📊The numbers

POR		DAL
44%	Shooting from the field	50%
5	Threes made	6
24%	Three-point accuracy	33%
21	Free throws made	19
46	Rebounds	45
15	Offensive rebounds	12
16	Assists	23
42	Points in the paint	44
10	Fast break points	9
11	Points off turnovers	8
7	Turnovers	9
3	Steals	4
3	Blocks	3

🔍 What it means for this game

🤝Too close to call

Recent form does not split them

Their results, against how they played

DAL

POR

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

Mavericks3-2Got lucky once

Three wins from their last five. They got lucky against the Trail Blazers, winning 89-81.

Last gamevTrail Blazers

Free throws made up 7 on their last 5 average

Rebound margin up 9 on their last 5 average

Three-point accuracy down 20.7 points on their last 5 average

Trail Blazers2-3Hard done by once

Two wins from their last five. They were hard done by against the Mavericks, losing 81-89.

Last gamevMavericks

Threes allowed down 5 on their last 5 average

Rebound margin down 9 on their last 5 average

MavericksLast 5 · 3-2

Wv POR93-82To script
L@ POR82-84To script
L@ POR92-97To script
Wv POR101-89To script
Wv POR89-81Got lucky

Trail BlazersLast 5 · 2-3

L@ DAL82-93To script
Wv DAL84-82To script
Wv DAL97-92To script
L@ DAL89-101To script
L@ DAL81-89Hard done by

Mavericks

Last 5 · 3-2

Pretty much what we expected

Results

3

wins

We expected

–

wins, from our tips

Deserved

~3

wins, on how they played

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

Three wins from their last five games. How they played, the shooting luck aside, was worth about 3.
One where the result flattered them.

26 Apr · 26 Apr · HomeTo script

DALMavericks93-82

PORTrail Blazers

A win

The numbers

DAL		POR
41%	Shooting from the field	43%
3	Threes made	4
18%	Three-point accuracy	25%
26	Free throws made	14
49	Rebounds	37
22	Assists	13

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly the better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 13 points to them

Why it went this way

Lived at the line, 35 free throws to their nineteen
Won the glass, 49 rebounds to 37

Our tip for this game

24 Apr · 24 Apr · AwayTo script

PORTrail Blazers84-82

DALMavericks

A defeat

The numbers

DAL		POR
41%	Shooting from the field	42%
10	Threes made	4
38%	Three-point accuracy	21%
10	Free throws made	22
37	Rebounds	34
19	Assists	13

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 6 points to the Trail Blazers

Why it went this way

Made ten threes to their four
Could not get to the line, ten free throws to their 23

Our tip for this game

22 Apr · 22 Apr · AwayTo script

PORTrail Blazers97-92

DALMavericks

A defeat

The numbers

DAL		POR
51%	Shooting from the field	48%
9	Threes made	8
41%	Three-point accuracy	57%
13	Free throws made	17
37	Rebounds	37
16	Assists	18

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Little between them with the shooting luck taken out, worth about 1 point to them

Why it went this way

They shot well above their usual, eight of fourteen from three

Our tip for this game

20 Apr · 20 Apr · HomeTo script

DALMavericks101-89

PORTrail Blazers

A win

The numbers

DAL		POR
49%	Shooting from the field	48%
8	Threes made	7
42%	Three-point accuracy	50%
19	Free throws made	18
37	Rebounds	37
20	Assists	20

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly the better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 12 points to them

Why it went this way

Nothing out of the ordinary in the numbers.

Our tip for this game

17 Apr · 17 Apr · HomeGot lucky

DALMavericks89-81

PORTrail Blazers

Won a game the play says they should have lost

The numbers

DAL		POR
41%	Shooting from the field	46%
10	Threes made	2
53%	Three-point accuracy	13%
25	Free throws made	9
39	Rebounds	40
14	Assists	22

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 4 points to the Trail Blazers

Why it went this way

Made ten threes to their two
They went cold, two of sixteen from three
Lived at the line, 29 free throws to their thirteen

Our tip for this game

Trail Blazers

Last 5 · 2-3

Pretty much what we expected

Results

2

wins

We expected

–

wins, from our tips

Deserved

~2

wins, on how they played

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

Two wins from their last five games. How they played, the shooting luck aside, was worth about 2.
One where the result undersold the play.

26 Apr · 26 Apr · AwayTo script

DALMavericks93-82

PORTrail Blazers

A defeat

The numbers

POR		DAL
43%	Shooting from the field	41%
4	Threes made	3
25%	Three-point accuracy	18%
14	Free throws made	26
37	Rebounds	49
13	Assists	22

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 13 points to the Mavericks

Why it went this way

Could not get to the line, nineteen free throws to their 35
Lost the glass, 37 rebounds to 49

Our tip for this game

24 Apr · 24 Apr · HomeTo script

PORTrail Blazers84-82

DALMavericks

A win

The numbers

POR		DAL
42%	Shooting from the field	41%
4	Threes made	10
21%	Three-point accuracy	38%
22	Free throws made	10
34	Rebounds	37
13	Assists	19

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

The better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 6 points to them

Why it went this way

Made four threes to their ten
Lived at the line, 23 free throws to their ten

Our tip for this game

22 Apr · 22 Apr · HomeTo script

PORTrail Blazers97-92

DALMavericks

A win

The numbers

POR		DAL
48%	Shooting from the field	51%
8	Threes made	9
57%	Three-point accuracy	41%
17	Free throws made	13
37	Rebounds	37
18	Assists	16

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Little between them with the shooting luck taken out, worth about 1 point to the Mavericks

Why it went this way

Shot well above their usual, eight of fourteen from three

Our tip for this game

20 Apr · 20 Apr · AwayTo script

DALMavericks101-89

PORTrail Blazers

A defeat

The numbers

POR		DAL
48%	Shooting from the field	49%
7	Threes made	8
50%	Three-point accuracy	42%
18	Free throws made	19
37	Rebounds	37
20	Assists	20

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 12 points to the Mavericks

Why it went this way

Nothing out of the ordinary in the numbers.

Our tip for this game

17 Apr · 17 Apr · AwayHard done by

DALMavericks89-81

PORTrail Blazers

Lost a game the play says they should have won

The numbers

POR		DAL
46%	Shooting from the field	41%
2	Threes made	10
13%	Three-point accuracy	53%
9	Free throws made	25
40	Rebounds	39
22	Assists	14

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

The better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 4 points to them

Why it went this way

Made two threes to their ten
Went cold from three, two of sixteen
Could not get to the line, thirteen free throws to their 29

Our tip for this game

Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NBA results and box scores for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.