Jazz at Mavericks - NBA Tips & Prediction | FormPicks

Friday 23 October

Friday 23 October

Completed · Pick landed

Regular Season · American Airlines Center

Mavericks

35-19

Our pick

87-82

Jazz

19-33

📋 Post game review

⭐ Our pick Mavericks✓ Landed

The Mavericks edged a tight one

We had the Mavericks by 7, and they won by 5.

On the play the Mavericks were about 3 points better, so the score was about right.

The result, against how they played

DAL

UTAH

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

We expected

DAL105

UTAH97

DAL by 8, 202 total

Final

DAL87

UTAH82

DAL by 5, 169 total

On the play

DAL87

UTAH84

DAL by 3, shooting luck aside

⏱️How it unfolded

The score against the pace we expected, quarter by quarter.

The score, against the pace we expected

DALUTAHWhat happenedWhat we expected (DAL 105, UTAH 97)What the play deserved

DALUTAHWhat happenedWhat we expected (DAL 105, UTAH 97)What the play deserved

The Mavericks got 10 points ahead of the pace we expected in the first quarter, then it evened out by full time. A much tighter, lower scoring game than we expected.

Where it moved

▲ DAL better than we expected

+10Q122-9

-16Q217-28

+7Q325-20

-4Q423-25

▼ UTAH better than we expected

The second quarter was where it moved most, 16 points worse than our numbers for the Mavericks.

⚖️What decided it

Why the Mavericks won, and why the Jazz did not.

From the game

Looked after the ball, eleven turnovers to their nineteen
Lost the glass, 38 rebounds to 52

Key battles

21Free throws made11

7Offensive rebounds14

3Blocks7

11Turnovers19

🏀Good plays, bad plays

The plays that went each side's way, and the ones each side did to itself.

Mavericks

Good plays

8-0 run
A 8-0 run stretched a 1-point lead to 9
Q1 4:01 · DAL 16-7 UTAH
10-0 run
A 10-0 run took them from 1 down to 9 up
Q3 9:17 · DAL 52-43 UTAH
Steal
Monta Ellis stole it from Gordon Hayward
Q4 1:23 · DAL 79-77 UTAH

Bad plays

Turnover
J.J. Barea lost ball turnover
Q4 2:57 · DAL 79-73 UTAH
Missed FT
Dirk Nowitzki misses free throw 1 of 3
Q4 0:54 · DAL 81-77 UTAH
Turnover
Monta Ellis lost ball turnover
Q4 0:17 · DAL 83-80 UTAH

Jazz

Good plays

8-0 run
A 8-0 run cut a 12-point deficit to 4
Q3 4:00 · DAL 58-54 UTAH
8-0 run
A 8-0 run cut a 16-point deficit to 8
Q4 8:48 · DAL 76-68 UTAH
9-0 run
A 9-0 run cut a 10-point deficit to 1
Q4 4:03 · DAL 83-82 UTAH

Bad plays

Missed FT
Derrick Favors misses free throw 1 of 2
Q4 1:49 · DAL 79-76 UTAH
Turnover
Gordon Hayward bad pass
Q4 1:23 · DAL 79-77 UTAH
Turnover
Gordon Hayward bad pass
Q4 0:05 · DAL 85-82 UTAH

📊The numbers

DAL		UTAH
37%	Shooting from the field	38%
10	Threes made	11
36%	Three-point accuracy	38%
21	Free throws made	11
45	Rebounds	67
7	Offensive rebounds	14
18	Assists	19
26	Points in the paint	30
15	Fast break points	13
14	Points off turnovers	21
11	Turnovers	19
11	Steals	9
3	Blocks	7

🔍 What it means for this game

⭐Our pick Mavericks

Nothing in the form changes our call

Their results, against how they played

DAL

UTAH

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

⭐ Mavericks3-2All to script

Three wins from their last five.

Last gamevClippers

Free throws made up 7 on their last 5 average

Jazz2-3A bit hard done by

Two wins from their last five. The play was worth a little more than that.

Last gamevPelicans

Threes allowed down 5 on their last 5 average

Opponent shooting efficiency down 6.6 points on their last 5 average

⭐ MavericksLast 5 · 3-2

Lv LAC98-115To script
Wv POR111-101To script
W@ SAC101-78To script
L@ GS114-128To script
Wv MIN100-94To script

JazzLast 5 · 2-3

W@ NO100-96To script
Wv SAC102-90To script
L@ PHX93-100To script
Lv MEM90-100To script
L@ POR102-103To script

Mavericks

Last 5 · 3-2

⭐ Our pick

Pretty much what we expected

Results

3

wins

We expected

–

wins, from our tips

Deserved

~3

wins, on how they played

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

Three wins from their last five games. How they played, the shooting luck aside, was worth about 3.

10 Feb · 10 Feb · HomeTo script

DALMavericks98-115

LACClippers

A defeat

The numbers

DAL		LAC
41%	Shooting from the field	45%
10	Threes made	9
29%	Three-point accuracy	33%
22	Free throws made	24
47	Rebounds	53
19	Assists	21

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 13 points to the Clippers

Why it went this way

Nothing out of the ordinary in the numbers.

Our tip for this game

8 Feb · 8 Feb · HomeTo script

DALMavericks111-101

PORTrail Blazers

A win

The numbers

DAL		POR
41%	Shooting from the field	42%
14	Threes made	10
39%	Three-point accuracy	31%
11	Free throws made	17
55	Rebounds	58
21	Assists	24

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

The better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 6 points to them

Why it went this way

Nothing out of the ordinary in the numbers.

Our tip for this game

6 Feb · 6 Feb · AwayTo script

SACKings78-101

DALMavericks

A win

The numbers

DAL		SAC
43%	Shooting from the field	37%
12	Threes made	3
35%	Three-point accuracy	14%
7	Free throws made	17
48	Rebounds	49
25	Assists	13

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly the better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 17 points to them

Why it went this way

Made twelve threes to their three
Could not get to the line, ten free throws to their 22

Our tip for this game

5 Feb · 5 Feb · AwayTo script

GSWarriors128-114

DALMavericks

A defeat

The numbers

DAL		GS
42%	Shooting from the field	52%
10	Threes made	19
33%	Three-point accuracy	50%
22	Free throws made	19
42	Rebounds	46
24	Assists	29

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 5 points to the Warriors

Why it went this way

Made ten threes to their nineteen
They shot well above their usual, nineteen of 38 from three

Our tip for this game

3 Feb · 3 Feb · HomeTo script

DALMavericks100-94

MINTimberwolves

A win

The numbers

DAL		MIN
46%	Shooting from the field	41%
10	Threes made	3
32%	Three-point accuracy	23%
12	Free throws made	23
43	Rebounds	47
27	Assists	18

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

The better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 8 points to them

Why it went this way

Made ten threes to their three

Our tip for this game

Jazz

Last 5 · 2-3

Pretty much what we expected

Results

2

wins

We expected

–

wins, from our tips

Deserved

~2

wins, on how they played

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

Two wins from their last five games. How they played, the shooting luck aside, was worth about 2.

10 Feb · 10 Feb · AwayTo script

NOPelicans96-100

UTAHJazz

A win

The numbers

The numbers for this one are not in yet.

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Play by play not in yet.

Why it went this way

Nothing out of the ordinary in the numbers.

Our tip for this game

8 Feb · 8 Feb · HomeTo script

UTAHJazz102-90

SACKings

A win

The numbers

UTAH		SAC
50%	Shooting from the field	39%
5	Threes made	3
26%	Three-point accuracy	23%
11	Free throws made	23
43	Rebounds	40
21	Assists	15

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly the better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 12 points to them

Why it went this way

Could not get to the line, seventeen free throws to their 33

Our tip for this game

7 Feb · 7 Feb · AwayTo script

PHXSuns100-93

UTAHJazz

A defeat

The numbers

UTAH		PHX
46%	Shooting from the field	45%
7	Threes made	14
35%	Three-point accuracy	52%
12	Free throws made	10
43	Rebounds	44
23	Assists	20

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Little between them with the shooting luck taken out

Why it went this way

Made seven threes to their fourteen
They shot well above their usual, fourteen of 27 from three

Our tip for this game

5 Feb · 5 Feb · HomeTo script

UTAHJazz90-100

MEMGrizzlies

A defeat

The numbers

UTAH		MEM
45%	Shooting from the field	48%
7	Threes made	6
30%	Three-point accuracy	46%
17	Free throws made	18
40	Rebounds	38
15	Assists	26

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 4 points to the Grizzlies

Why it went this way

Went cold from three, seven of 23

Our tip for this game

4 Feb · 4 Feb · AwayTo script

PORTrail Blazers103-102

UTAHJazz

A defeat

The numbers

UTAH		POR
46%	Shooting from the field	47%
6	Threes made	7
46%	Three-point accuracy	30%
18	Free throws made	24
41	Rebounds	45
18	Assists	18

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 5 points to the Trail Blazers

Why it went this way

Nothing out of the ordinary in the numbers.

Our tip for this game

Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NBA results and box scores for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.