Hawks at Celtics - NBA Tips & Prediction | FormPicks

Friday 23 October

Friday 23 October

Completed · Pick landed

EASTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND - GAME 3 · TD Garden

Celtics

48-34

111-103

Hawks

48-34

📋 Post game review

🤝 We had it too close to call

A deserved win for the Celtics

We had it too close to call, and the Celtics won 111-103.

On the play the Celtics were about 5 points better, so the score was about right.

The result, against how they played

BOS

ATL

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

We expected

BOS99

ATL99

too close to call, 198.2 total

Final

BOS111

ATL103

BOS by 8, 214 total

On the play

BOS113

ATL108

BOS by 5, shooting luck aside

⏱️How it unfolded

The score against the pace we expected, quarter by quarter.

The score, against the pace we expected

BOSATLWhat happenedWhat we expected (BOS 99, ATL 99)What the play deserved

BOSATLWhat happenedWhat we expected (BOS 99, ATL 99)What the play deserved

The Celtics got 16 points ahead of the pace we expected in the first quarter, then it evened out by full time.

Where it moved

▲ BOS better than we expected

+16Q137-20

-6Q220-25

-11Q322-33

+9Q432-25

▼ ATL better than we expected

The first quarter was where it moved most, 16 points better than our numbers for the Celtics.

⚖️What decided it

Why the Celtics won, and why the Hawks did not.

From the game

Lived at the line, 33 free throws to their 21
A 16-0 run took them from 3 down to 13 up in the first quarter
A 14-0 run cut a 21-point deficit to 7 in the third quarter

Key battles

34%Three-point accuracy25%

19Fast break points14

24Free throws made18

17Points off turnovers22

🏀Good plays, bad plays

The plays that went each side's way, and the ones each side did to itself.

Celtics

Good plays

16-0 run
A 16-0 run took them from 3 down to 13 up
Q1 10:30 · BOS 19-6 ATL
9-0 run
A 9-0 run stretched a 10-point lead to 19
Q2 0:02 · BOS 64-45 ATL
Steal
Isaiah Thomas stole it from Paul Millsap
Q4 0:42 · BOS 108-103 ATL

Bad plays

Turnover
Evan Turner bad pass
Q4 4:13 · BOS 104-98 ATL
Turnover
Evan Turner bad pass
Q4 2:18 · BOS 105-100 ATL
Missed FT
Evan Turner misses free throw 2 of 2
Q4 0:11 · BOS 111-103 ATL

Hawks

Good plays

14-0 run
A 14-0 run cut a 21-point deficit to 7
Q3 10:30 · BOS 66-59 ATL
11-0 run
A 11-0 run cut a 12-point deficit to 1
Q3 4:31 · BOS 78-77 ATL
Steal
Kyle Korver stole it from Evan Turner
Q4 2:18 · BOS 105-100 ATL

Bad plays

Turnover
Shot clock turnover
Q4 2:32 · BOS 105-100 ATL
Missed FT
Thabo Sefolosha misses free throw 2 of 2
Q4 2:15 · BOS 105-101 ATL
Turnover
Paul Millsap bad pass
Q4 0:42 · BOS 108-103 ATL

📊The numbers

BOS		ATL
46%	Shooting from the field	44%
11	Threes made	9
34%	Three-point accuracy	25%
24	Free throws made	18
56	Rebounds	48
7	Offensive rebounds	7
23	Assists	19
44	Points in the paint	52
19	Fast break points	14
17	Points off turnovers	22
16	Turnovers	14
10	Steals	10
6	Blocks	7

🔍 What it means for this game

🤝Too close to call

Recent form does not split them

Their results, against how they played

ATL

BOS

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

Hawks3-2All to script

Three wins from their last five.

Last gamevCeltics

Points allowed down 28 on their last 5 average

Opponent shooting efficiency down 11.6 points on their last 5 average

Threes allowed down 4 on their last 5 average

Celtics1-4All to script

One win from their last five.

Last gamevHawks

Points allowed down 13 on their last 5 average

Points scored down 24 on their last 5 average

Three-point accuracy down 13.7 points on their last 5 average

HawksLast 5 · 3-2

Wv BOS89-72To script
Wv BOS102-101To script
L@ WSH98-109To script
L@ CLE94-109To script
Wv BOS118-107To script

CelticsLast 5 · 1-4

L@ ATL72-89To script
L@ ATL101-102To script
Wv MIA98-88To script
Lv CHA100-114To script
L@ ATL107-118To script

Hawks

Last 5 · 3-2

Pretty much what we expected

Results

3

wins

We expected

–

wins, from our tips

Deserved

~2.5

wins, on how they played

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

Three wins from their last five games. How they played, the shooting luck aside, was worth about 2.5.

20 Apr · 20 Apr · HomeTo script

ATLHawks89-72

BOSCeltics

A win

The numbers

ATL		BOS
39%	Shooting from the field	32%
11	Threes made	5
38%	Three-point accuracy	18%
14	Free throws made	11
49	Rebounds	43
20	Assists	16

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly the better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 9 points to them

Why it went this way

Made eleven threes to their five

Our tip for this game

17 Apr · 17 Apr · HomeTo script

ATLHawks102-101

BOSCeltics

A win

The numbers

ATL		BOS
41%	Shooting from the field	36%
5	Threes made	11
19%	Three-point accuracy	31%
27	Free throws made	16
53	Rebounds	50
23	Assists	27

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

The better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 6 points to them

Why it went this way

Made five threes to their eleven
Lived at the line, 35 free throws to their nineteen

Our tip for this game

14 Apr · 14 Apr · AwayTo script

WSHWizards109-98

ATLHawks

A defeat

The numbers

ATL		WSH
40%	Shooting from the field	48%
11	Threes made	9
37%	Three-point accuracy	32%
23	Free throws made	16
47	Rebounds	51
22	Assists	25

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 16 points to the Wizards

Why it went this way

Nothing out of the ordinary in the numbers.

Our tip for this game

12 Apr · 12 Apr · AwayTo script

CLECavaliers109-94

ATLHawks

A defeat

The numbers

ATL		CLE
45%	Shooting from the field	48%
8	Threes made	11
27%	Three-point accuracy	38%
8	Free throws made	18
42	Rebounds	47
23	Assists	17

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 7 points to the Cavaliers

Why it went this way

Went cold from three, eight of 30

Our tip for this game

10 Apr · 10 Apr · HomeTo script

ATLHawks118-107

BOSCeltics

A win

The numbers

ATL		BOS
52%	Shooting from the field	44%
17	Threes made	11
52%	Three-point accuracy	39%
9	Free throws made	16
44	Rebounds	40
31	Assists	26

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

The better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 3 points to them

Why it went this way

Made seventeen threes to their eleven
Shot well above their usual, seventeen of 33 from three
Could not get to the line, eleven free throws to their 24

Our tip for this game

Celtics

Last 5 · 1-4

Pretty much what we expected

Results

1

wins

We expected

–

wins, from our tips

Deserved

~1.5

wins, on how they played

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

One win from their last five games. How they played, the shooting luck aside, was worth about 1.5.

20 Apr · 20 Apr · AwayTo script

ATLHawks89-72

BOSCeltics

A defeat

The numbers

BOS		ATL
32%	Shooting from the field	39%
5	Threes made	11
18%	Three-point accuracy	38%
11	Free throws made	14
43	Rebounds	49
16	Assists	20

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 9 points to the Hawks

Why it went this way

Made five threes to their eleven

Our tip for this game

17 Apr · 17 Apr · AwayTo script

ATLHawks102-101

BOSCeltics

A defeat

The numbers

BOS		ATL
36%	Shooting from the field	41%
11	Threes made	5
31%	Three-point accuracy	19%
16	Free throws made	27
50	Rebounds	53
27	Assists	23

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 6 points to the Hawks

Why it went this way

Made eleven threes to their five
Could not get to the line, nineteen free throws to their 35

Our tip for this game

14 Apr · 14 Apr · HomeTo script

BOSCeltics98-88

MIAHeat

A win

The numbers

BOS		MIA
43%	Shooting from the field	43%
5	Threes made	2
36%	Three-point accuracy	11%
19	Free throws made	10
39	Rebounds	44
20	Assists	14

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Little between them with the shooting luck taken out, worth about 2 points to them

Why it went this way

They went cold, two of nineteen from three
Lived at the line, 22 free throws to their twelve

Our tip for this game

12 Apr · 12 Apr · HomeTo script

BOSCeltics100-114

CHAHornets

A defeat

The numbers

BOS		CHA
38%	Shooting from the field	51%
8	Threes made	14
33%	Three-point accuracy	44%
24	Free throws made	18
46	Rebounds	44
17	Assists	23

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 10 points to the Hornets

Why it went this way

Made eight threes to their fourteen

Our tip for this game

10 Apr · 10 Apr · AwayTo script

ATLHawks118-107

BOSCeltics

A defeat

The numbers

BOS		ATL
44%	Shooting from the field	52%
11	Threes made	17
39%	Three-point accuracy	52%
16	Free throws made	9
40	Rebounds	44
26	Assists	31

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 3 points to the Hawks

Why it went this way

Made eleven threes to their seventeen
They shot well above their usual, seventeen of 33 from three
Lived at the line, 24 free throws to their eleven

Our tip for this game

Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NBA results and box scores for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.