What's driving the pick
How the points should come
Don't panic if Seahawks are behind at half-time, we expect them to come home over the top
Q1
3-3
Actual 0-0
Half
10-12
Actual 0-7
Q3
16-16
Actual 3-10
Final
25-22
Actual 13-10
- Seahawks score 57% of their points after half-time
- Patriots score 59% of their points before half-time
Our points call for each side, spread over the game by when they have scored and conceded this season.
⚡Momentum
How each side has been playing, the season, the last 5 and the last game.
Seahawks
Patriots
Team Stats · Head to Head
How each side is actually playing. A season figure marked with a year is last year's, until that side has three games on the board this one. The last 5 and last game always run back from its most recent outing, whichever season that fell in.
The stat map
SEA
NE SEA NE SEA NE SEA NEAttack
Last 5Last gameDefence
Last 5Last gameBall security
Last 5Last gameDiscipline
Last 5Last gameFull-game team stats from nflverse, updated after each week.
🧮Factor breakdown
How each factor swings the projected margin. Built from ratings, efficiency, form, rest, the home field and who is out. Never from betting markets.
Bars show how far each factor swings the projected margin. Built from ELO ratings, expected points added per play on both sides of the ball, recent form, home field, rest days and the injury report - never from betting markets.
🏆Form guide · 2025 season
SeahawksPatriots