Loading NFL game…
F
FormPicksSunday 20 September
Week 2SoFi Stadium· dome
Rams
0-1
vTue, 22 Sept, 10:15 am AEST
Giants
1-0
Our PickSlight Lean
Rams to win
Margin5Total48 pts
🗳Do You Agree?
30 votesWinner
Rams
41% agree
Line
By 5+
58% more
Total
48 pts
67% over
💬 FormPicks Commentary
The Rams are the clear favourites here, and it's not hard to see why. Matthew Stafford's explosive offence sits in a fortress at SoFi Stadium where they went 7-1 last season, while Jaxson Dart and the Giants arrive as the league's 28th-ranked team with a brutal 1-8 road record. The Rams put up 30.5 points a game and finished second in the conference, but here's what to watch - both teams lived in one-score games last season, and the Rams played 12 of them, so nothing's guaranteed when the margin is tight.
🗣️
Public Opinion
We are reading the room. Check back Sunday night, ahead of kick-off, for what people are saying and how it stacks up against our call.
What's driving the pick
Factor breakdown
◀ RamsGiants ▶
Overall rating
EPA per play
Recent form
Home field
Rest & bye week
Availability
Bars show how far each factor swings the projected margin. Built from ELO ratings, expected points added per play on both sides of the ball, recent form, home field, rest days and the injury report - never from betting markets.
Rams
🏰
Fortress at home - 7-1 in their own building last season.
🎆
Explosive offence - putting up 30.5 points a game last season.
🏆
Finished last season 2nd in the conference.
😬
Live in one-score games - 12 of theirs last season decided by 8 points or fewer.
Giants
💥
When they win, they win big - 15.3 points the average winning margin last season.
✈️
Poor travellers - just 1-8 on the road last season.
😬
Live in one-score games - 8 of theirs last season decided by 8 points or fewer.
🐶
Finished last season 28th in the league.
📊
Team Stats · Head to Head
How each side is actually playing. A season figure marked with a year is last year's, until that side has three games on the board this one. The last 5 and last game always run back from its most recent outing, whichever season that fell in.
⚡
Momentum
Rams
2025 season20 games
Last 55 games, 4 from 2025
Last gamemost recent
Giants
2025 season17 games
Last 55 games, 4 from 2025
Last gamemost recent
Last Game Key Callouts
v
49ersv
CowboysOffence EPA / play Down 0.26 on their last 5 average
Passing yards Down 105 on their last 5 average
Offence EPA / play Up 0.23 on their last 5 average
Defence EPA / play allowed Up 0.26 on their last 5 average
📋
The Meters Behind It
SeasonLast 5Last game
Offence EPA / play
Rams+0.13’25+0.10-0.16Giants+0.01’25+0.08+0.31
Defence EPA / play allowed
Rams-0.02’25+0.06+0.18Giants+0.07’25-0.04+0.22
Yards per play
Rams6.3’255.95.1Giants5.4’255.35.8
Passing yards
Rams282.1’25272.6168Giants217.8’25189.2230
Rushing yards
Rams124.7’25121.2122Giants129.1’25151.0165
Explosive plays
Rams7.3’256.64Giants6.5’255.64
Giveaways
Rams0.8’250.82Giants1.0’250.81
Takeaways
Rams1.5’251.61Giants0.9’251.81
Sacks
Rams2.6’252.20Giants2.2’252.00
Sacks allowed
Rams1.4’251.40Giants2.8’252.82
Penalty yards
Rams34.5’2536.243Giants63.2’2574.2114
Points scored
Rams29.9’2525.07Giants22.4’2526.028
Points allowed
Rams21.3’2525.227Giants25.8’2518.420
Full-game team stats from nflverse after each week. Blue marks the stronger side in each column - fewer giveaways, sacks allowed, penalty yards and points allowed count as better, and a lower defensive EPA per play means the defence gave less away.
🚑Ins & Outs
Jordan Whittington (KR) (Rams) out - quadriceps · doubtful
Kamren Kinchens (FS) (Rams) out - hamstring
Season form guide
RamsvsGiants
0-1Record1-0
15 in NFCConference5 in NFC
7.0Pts for /game28.0
27.0Pts against /game20.0
0-1Division1-0
Matthew StaffordStarting QBJaxson Dart
11 daysRest8 days
Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NFL data (ESPN, nflverse) for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.