Scone · Race 1 · 2200m · Good 4 · $27,000

Kia Ora Plate (C1)

Wed, 11 Nov, 1:25 pm AEDT

🧮What is pulling each rating

The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.

Swipe the grid sideways for every signal

RunnerTallyClassRecent speedRecent formTrainer formBest speedJockey formLate speedClass moveRunning styleTrack & going

5Tasman Deel61

The rest of the field

1Quirky Princess32

2Mission Strike31

3Firealarm4

4Aphelion13

lifts its rating holds it back

🏁How they will settle

A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.

RailRunning this way Front of the field first

Settles back · runs on late

runs on late

1Quirky Princess2Mission Strike4Aphelion5Tasman Deel

No set pattern · could go either way

could go either way

None

On the speed · likes to lead

likes to lead

3Firealarm

🔁Head to head

Where Tasman Deel has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.

Show 1 matchup

Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.

Quirky Princess vs Firealarm

Quirky Princess finished 2nd to 7th at Tuncurry last preparation, 9.2 lengths clear.

🐎The field

Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.

Jump to a runner

1 2 3 4 5

Tasman Deel

Top pick

JAaron Bullock·TP Messara & L Gavranich

Last starts

13243

Career

1 win from 5

Weight

59.0kg+1.5

Class

Same, Class 1

▲ Recent form▲ Jockey form▲ Trainer form▼ Class🎯Sit 'n' Shoot📈In Form🔥Hot Jockey

Won its last start by 5L at Scone and carries one of the quickest recent time figures in the field, 3.4 lengths a km under the track average. Its record on good ground is 1 win from 2 starts, and the case is supported by strong recent form and in-form jockey and trainer support. The main thing to watch is class, which is flagged as a concern.

Quirky Princess

JMikayla Weir·TS I Singleton

Last starts

41643

Career

1 win from 9

Weight

57.0kg

Class

Same, Class 1

▲ Trainer form▼ Class▲ Recent speed▲ Jockey form🎯Sit 'n' Shoot

S I Singleton is in form, 27% above expectation across the last 100 runners, and the case leans on its recent speed and jockey form. It does not have a standout speed figure. Class is the concern to watch.

Mission Strike

JAndrew Gibbons·TAdam Duggan

Last starts

2505

Career

0 wins from 12

Weight

56.5kg

Class

Same, Class 1

▲ Class▲ Recent speed▲ Class move▼ Running style🎯Sit 'n' Shoot

It was placed last start, beaten 1.5L, which keeps it racing in form. Adam Duggan is in form, 28% above expectation across the last 100 runners, and class and a class move both help its case. Running style is the concern, so that is the main thing to watch.

Firealarm

JAnna Weatherlake·TDamien Smith

Last starts

55407

Career

1 win from 41

Weight

56.0kg+1

Class

BM50→Class 1

▼ Class▼ Recent form▼ Late speed▼ Recent speed

Aphelion

JJacob Stiff·TBrett Thompson

Last starts

94436

Career

0 wins from 13

Weight

55.0kg-1.5

Class

Same, Class 1

▼ Class▼ Recent form▼ Trainer form▲ Best speed🎯Sit 'n' Shoot⚡Speed King

It owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, 6.1 lengths a km under the track average, and its best speed is a real strength. Recent form, trainer form and class all count against it, so the speed figure has to carry the case. Watch whether that raw speed holds up given the weaker form and class concerns.