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Warwick Farm · Race 2 · 1200m · Good 4 · $60,000

Racing and Sports Mdn Plate

Wed, 11 Nov, 2:55 pm AEDT

✋

Hard to Split · the form can't separate them

Two-horse race

We cannot split Single Ladies and Oakfield Virginia. Either could be the one.

Standout

Clear order

Two-horse race

Open race

Big field

Where the win chances sit

62% our three

4

Single Ladies

Top pick

places 57%

25%

7

Oakfield Virginia

Danger

places 54%

22%

6

Miss Supernova

Next Best

places 43%

15%

+5

The other 5between them

38%

Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.

🧮What is pulling each rating

The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.

Swipe the grid sideways for every signal

RunnerTallyClassExperienceJockey formLate speedRecent formBest speedFitnessRecent speedTrainer formTrial formAge & sexBarrierClass moveForm through rivalsFresh recordRunning style
4Single Ladies72
7Oakfield Virginia52
6Miss Supernova22

The rest of the field

1Legsliketwiggy13
3The Weapon15
8Testamapatience4
lifts its rating holds it back

🏁How they will settle

A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.

RailFront of the field first

Settles back · runs on late

1Legsliketwiggy3The Weapon

No set pattern · could go either way

2Tuscan Charm4Single Ladies5Rishaka6Miss Supernova7Oakfield Virginia8Testamapatience

On the speed · likes to lead

None

🐎The field

Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.

Jump to a runner

4

Single Ladies

Top pick
JTim Clark·TG Waterhouse & A Bott

Last starts

47

Career

0 wins from 2

Weight

56.5kg-1

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Class▲ Late speed▲ Jockey form▲ Trial form
7

Oakfield Virginia

Danger
JJason Collett·TK A Lees

Last starts

23

Career

0 wins from 2

Weight

58.0kg+1

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Recent form▲ Late speed▲ Recent speed▼ Class move⚡Speed King

This is the field's quickest recent time figure at 5.4 lengths a km under the track average, and it has placed in both career starts. It was placed last start, beaten 1L, so recent form, late speed and recent speed all support it. The main concern is the class move, so watch whether it can carry its recent form up a level.

Read more
6

Miss Supernova

Next Best
JKerrin Mc Evoy·TG Ryan & S Alexiou

Last starts

6324

Career

0 wins from 6

Weight

58.0kg+3

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Class▲ Trial form▼ Fresh record▼ Fitness / freshness🔧 Lugging bit off first time, norton bit first time.

Class and trial form are the main reasons this horse rates, and it is placed first-up with a 1 from 2 record, which suggests it runs well fresh. The concerns are a fresh record and fitness after a break, so it is a question of whether it has been brought back sharp enough. Watch how it handles its first race back and whether the trial form carries over.

Read more
1

Legsliketwiggy

JReece Jones·TRobert Quinn

Last starts

0520

Career

0 wins from 4

Weight

58.0kg

Class

Same, Maiden
▼ Recent form▼ Class▼ Age & sex▲ Barrier🎯Sit 'n' Shoot🔧 Ear muffs again, ear muffs (pre-race only) off again.

The case is held back by recent form, class and age and sex, which are all flagged as concerns, so this horse has to prove it belongs at this level. The main positive is the draw, with a soft run from barrier 1 that could help it settle. Watch whether it can turn that trip advantage into a genuine finishing effort, because the form and class concerns are the bigger issue.

Read more
2

Tuscan Charm

JTyler Schiller·TDanielle Seib

Last starts

No starts

Career

First starter

Weight

56.5kg

Class

Maiden
⏱️ Trialled well🔧 Ear muffs (pre-race only) first time, lugging bit first time.

Its eye-catching barrier trial, finishing 3rd beaten 1.5L, is the main positive, and the Danielle Seib/Tyler Schiller combination is striking 30% above expectation over the last 100. It is also drawn to get a soft run from barrier 2. The main thing to watch is that it is a first run back from a spell with no first-up record yet.

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3

The Weapon

JMolly Bourke·TG R Nickson

Last starts

089

Career

0 wins from 3

Weight

56.5kg+1

Class

Same, Maiden
▼ Recent form▼ Recent speed▲ Class▼ Best speed🎯Sit 'n' Shoot

This is a second entry for The Weapon in the input; see the entry above.

Read more
5

Rishaka

JJames Mc Donald·TC J Waller

Last starts

No starts

Career

First starter

Weight

56.5kg

Class

Maiden
🔥Hot Jockey🔧 Ear muffs (pre-race only) first time, lugging bit first time.

Rishaka does not have a standout speed figure or strong rating driver, so the read is mainly about its unknowns. It is coming off a spell and has no first-up record yet. Trainer C J Waller is in form, riding 31% above expectation across the last 100 runners, which gives some support. Watch the first run back, since that is the main unknown.

Read more
8

Testamapatience

JTommy Berry·TPeter Snowden

Last starts

4

Career

0 wins from 1

Weight

56.5kg

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Class▲ Experience▲ Jockey form▲ Late speed🔥Hot Jockey🔧 Blinkers first time.

Class, experience, jockey form and late speed are all positives here, with in-form jockey Tommy Berry riding 38% above expectation across the last 100 rides. The horse is trying blinkers for the first time, which is a sharpening change that could help or unsettle it. It has to overcome a wide barrier 8 of 9, which is the main thing to watch.

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ScratchedWater City

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.