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Balaklava · Race 2 · 1050m · Good 4 · $25,000

Campolina Mdn Plate

Wed, 11 Nov, 3:55 pm AEDT

📋

Race Analysis

Clear order

Bailar is our top rating with a real gap to the rest.

Standout

Clear order

Two-horse race

Open race

Big field

🎯 The winner is in our three

71% our three

2

Bailar

Top pick

places 69%

37%

4

Mean Mazzle

Danger

places 55%

23%

11

Dashing Red Star

Next Best

places 36%

11%

+7

The other 7between them

29%

Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.

🧮What is pulling each rating

The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.

Swipe the grid sideways for every signal

RunnerTallyRecent formClassRecent speedBest speedForm through rivalsJockey formTrainer formAge & sexExperienceRunning styleFitnessFresh recordLate speedTrial form
2Bailar-
4Mean Mazzle22
11Dashing Red Star11

The rest of the field

3Merchant Of Greece5
6Twilight Tango25
7Minya Murra15
8Social Dancer4
9Aliandra14
10Genco33
lifts its rating holds it back

🏁How they will settle

A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.

RailFront of the field first

Settles back · runs on late

3Merchant Of Greece6Twilight Tango7Minya Murra8Social Dancer

No set pattern · could go either way

2Bailar4Mean Mazzle9Aliandra10Genco11Dashing Red Star13Twopennie

On the speed · likes to lead

None

🔁Head to head

Where Bailar has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.

Show 4 matchups

Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.

Aliandra vs Merchant Of Greece

Aliandra finished 3rd to 10th at Gawler last preparation, 7.9 lengths clear.

Hakeba vs Social Dancer

Hakeba finished 4th to 11th at Balaklava last preparation, 3.7 lengths clear.

Mean Mazzle vs Genco

Mean Mazzle finished 5th to 11th at Morphettville a fortnight ago, 3.6 lengths clear.

Merchant Of Greece vs Social Dancer

Merchant Of Greece finished 2nd to 10th at Clare last preparation, 6 lengths clear.

🐎The field

Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.

Jump to a runner

2

Bailar

Top pick
JJason Holder·TPeter & Belinda Blanch

Last starts

No starts

Career

First starter

Weight

54.5kg

Class

Maiden
⏱️ Trialled well🔧 Lugging bit first time, tongue tie first time.

It won its barrier trial by half a length as a freshening-up effort, and the Peter & Belinda Blanch/Jason Holder combo is striking 46% above expectation (last 100). It has a soft run from barrier 2. It has no standout rating driver. The main thing to watch is its first run back from a spell, with no first-up record yet.

Read more
4

Mean Mazzle

Danger
JTeagan Voorham·TD Shepherd

Last starts

5363

Career

0 wins from 4

Weight

58.0kg

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Class▼ Trainer form▼ Jockey form▲ Late speed

D Shepherd is in form at 42% above expectation across the last 100 runners, and class and late speed are strengths. Trainer form and jockey form are both concerns. It has no standout speed figure, so the read depends on whether its finishing speed can outweigh those concerns.

Read more
11

Dashing Red Star

Next Best
JTala Hutchinson·TChristopher Harrison

Last starts

73

Career

0 wins from 2

Weight

56.5kg-1.5

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Experience▼ Recent form🔧 Blinkers first time, cross-over nose band off first time, tongue tie off first time.

Among the quickest recent time figures in the field, 0.4 lengths a km under the track average, and the case leans on its experience. The main concern is its recent form. The first-time blinkers are the main thing to watch, since the gear change is untested for this horse.

Read more
3

Merchant Of Greece

JStacey Metcalfe·TDanny Penna

Last starts

7094

Career

0 wins from 20

Weight

58.0kg

Class

Same, Maiden
▼ Recent speed▼ Recent form▼ Class▼ Trainer form🎯Sit 'n' Shoot🔧 Bit lifter first time, cross-over nose band off again.

It has a soft draw from barrier 3, which is its one positive fact. Recent speed, recent form, class and trainer form are all concerns for the rating. It has no standout speed figure, so it needs a clear improvement to earn respect.

Read more
6

Twilight Tango

JJade Doyle·TW F Francis & G Kent

Last starts

8607

Career

0 wins from 6

Weight

56.0kg+1.5

Class

Same, Maiden
▼ Recent form▼ Recent speed▲ Form through rivals▼ Fresh record🎯Sit 'n' Shoot⏱️ Trialled well

Form through its rivals is a strength, and it finished 3rd in its barrier trial, beaten half a length. Recent form, recent speed and its fresh record are all concerns. Watch whether its barrier trial effort translates into a race-ready performance.

Read more
7

Minya Murra

JKayla Crowther·TSarah Rutten

Last starts

0839

Career

0 wins from 4

Weight

56.0kg+0.5

Class

Same, Maiden
▼ Recent form▲ Form through rivals▼ Recent speed▼ Fitness / freshness🎯Sit 'n' Shoot🔧 Blinkers first time.

Form through its rivals is a genuine strength. Recent form, recent speed and fitness and freshness are all concerns. The first-time blinkers are the main thing to watch, since the gear change is untested.

Read more
8

Social Dancer

JAshlee Stone·TChristopher Harrison

Last starts

9542

Career

0 wins from 28

Weight

53.0kg-3

Class

Same, Maiden
▼ Class▼ Recent form▼ Age & sex▼ Running style🎯Sit 'n' Shoot
9

Aliandra

JTaylor Johnstone·TAaron Bain & Ned Taylor

Last starts

003

Career

0 wins from 3

Weight

56.0kg+0.5

Class

Same, Maiden
▼ Recent form▼ Recent speed▼ Best speed▼ Jockey form⏱️ Trialled well

It was placed first-up (1 from 1) and runs well fresh, and it was 2nd in its barrier trial, beaten 1.5L. Recent form, recent speed, best speed and jockey form are all concerns. The case rests on its fresh ability, so watch whether it can carry that form into a race.

Read more
10

Genco

JWill Price·TJon O'Connor

Last starts

05

Career

0 wins from 2

Weight

58.0kg

Class

Same, Maiden
▼ Recent form▲ Trainer form▲ Class▲ Experience

The Jon O'Connor/Will Price combo is striking 147% above expectation (last 100), and trainer form, class and experience all support the rating. It has no standout speed figure and its recent form is a concern. Watch whether that recent form can hold up against this class.

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13

Twopennie

JTodd Pannell·THeath Montgomerie

Last starts

No starts

Career

First starter

Weight

56.0kg

Class

Maiden
⏱️ Trialled well

It finished 2nd in its barrier trial, beaten half a length, and jockey Todd Pannell is in form at 27% above expectation across the last 100 rides. It has no standout rating driver. The main thing to watch is the wide barrier 13 of 13 to overcome, with its first run back from a spell also untested.

Read more

ScratchedVeestar · My Bon Amie · Hakeba

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.