Balaklava · Race 2 · 1050m · Good 4 · $25,000
Campolina Mdn Plate
Wed, 11 Nov, 3:55 pm AEDT
Race Analysis
Clear order
Bailar is our top rating with a real gap to the rest.
Standout
Clear order
Two-horse race
Open race
Big field
🎯 The winner is in our three
71% our three
Bailar
Top pick
37%
Mean Mazzle
Danger
23%
Dashing Red Star
Next Best
11%
The other 7between them
29%
Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.
🧮What is pulling each rating
The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.
Swipe the grid sideways for every signal
The rest of the field
🏁How they will settle
A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.
Settles back · runs on late
runs on late
No set pattern · could go either way
could go either way
On the speed · likes to lead
likes to lead
🔁Head to head
Where Bailar has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.
Show 4 matchupsHide matchups
Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.
Aliandra vs Merchant Of Greece
Aliandra finished 3rd to 10th at Gawler last preparation, 7.9 lengths clear.
Hakeba vs Social Dancer
Hakeba finished 4th to 11th at Balaklava last preparation, 3.7 lengths clear.
Mean Mazzle vs Genco
Mean Mazzle finished 5th to 11th at Morphettville a fortnight ago, 3.6 lengths clear.
Merchant Of Greece vs Social Dancer
Merchant Of Greece finished 2nd to 10th at Clare last preparation, 6 lengths clear.
🐎The field
Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.
Jump to a runner
Bailar
Top pickLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
It won its barrier trial by half a length as a freshening-up effort, and the Peter & Belinda Blanch/Jason Holder combo is striking 46% above expectation (last 100). It has a soft run from barrier 2. It has no standout rating driver. The main thing to watch is its first run back from a spell, with no first-up record yet.
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Mean Mazzle
DangerLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
D Shepherd is in form at 42% above expectation across the last 100 runners, and class and late speed are strengths. Trainer form and jockey form are both concerns. It has no standout speed figure, so the read depends on whether its finishing speed can outweigh those concerns.
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Dashing Red Star
Next BestLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
Among the quickest recent time figures in the field, 0.4 lengths a km under the track average, and the case leans on its experience. The main concern is its recent form. The first-time blinkers are the main thing to watch, since the gear change is untested for this horse.
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Merchant Of Greece
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
It has a soft draw from barrier 3, which is its one positive fact. Recent speed, recent form, class and trainer form are all concerns for the rating. It has no standout speed figure, so it needs a clear improvement to earn respect.
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Twilight Tango
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Form through its rivals is a strength, and it finished 3rd in its barrier trial, beaten half a length. Recent form, recent speed and its fresh record are all concerns. Watch whether its barrier trial effort translates into a race-ready performance.
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Minya Murra
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Form through its rivals is a genuine strength. Recent form, recent speed and fitness and freshness are all concerns. The first-time blinkers are the main thing to watch, since the gear change is untested.
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Social Dancer
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Aliandra
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
It was placed first-up (1 from 1) and runs well fresh, and it was 2nd in its barrier trial, beaten 1.5L. Recent form, recent speed, best speed and jockey form are all concerns. The case rests on its fresh ability, so watch whether it can carry that form into a race.
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Genco
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
The Jon O'Connor/Will Price combo is striking 147% above expectation (last 100), and trainer form, class and experience all support the rating. It has no standout speed figure and its recent form is a concern. Watch whether that recent form can hold up against this class.
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Twopennie
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
It finished 2nd in its barrier trial, beaten half a length, and jockey Todd Pannell is in form at 27% above expectation across the last 100 rides. It has no standout rating driver. The main thing to watch is the wide barrier 13 of 13 to overcome, with its first run back from a spell also untested.
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ScratchedVeestar · My Bon Amie · Hakeba