Balaklava · Race 1 · 1600m · Good 3 · $25,000
Sportsbet Race Replays Mdn Plate
Wed, 11 Nov, 3:20 pm AEDT
Race Analysis
Standout
Ludina is clear of the rest on our numbers.
Standout
Clear order
Two-horse race
Open race
Big field
🎯 The winner is in our three
75% our three
Ludina
Top pick
47%
Tassoro
Danger
19%
Booma Bay
Next Best
9%
The other 4between them
25%
Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.
🧮What is pulling each rating
The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.
Swipe the grid sideways for every signal
The rest of the field
🏁How they will settle
A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.
Settles back · runs on late
runs on late
No set pattern · could go either way
could go either way
On the speed · likes to lead
likes to lead
🔁Head to head
Where Ludina has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.
Show 3 matchupsHide matchups
Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.
Hood Rat vs My Iva
Hood Rat finished 5th to 8th at Strathalbyn a fortnight ago, 1.8 lengths clear.
Tassoro vs Hood Rat
Tassoro finished 2nd to 5th at Gawler 6 months ago, 2.2 lengths clear.
Tassoro vs St Dominic
Tassoro finished 8th to 12th at Murray Bridge GH a fortnight ago, 3.7 lengths clear.
🐎The field
Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.
Jump to a runner
Ludina
Top pickLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
Ludina has among the quickest recent time figures in the field, 0.3 lengths a km under the track average, and its recent form is a clear strength. It was placed last start, beaten half a length, and the Hazel Fertier/Connor Murtagh combo is striking 883% above expectation (last 100). It is also drawn to get a soft run from barrier 3.
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Tassoro
DangerLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
Tassoro owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, 3.1 lengths a km under the track average, which is the main reason its case stands out. It also has a soft run from barrier 1, but trainer form and class are both concerns. The first-time blinkers are the thing to watch, as the gear change is untested.
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Booma Bay
Next BestLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
St Dominic
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Kylie Schulz is in form, 27% above expectation across the last 100 runners, and the horse is drawn to get a soft run from barrier 2. Recent form, recent speed, best speed and late speed are all concerns, and there is no standout speed figure to lean on.
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My Iva
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Hood Rat
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Hood Rat's case is held back by concerns over recent form, class, running style and trainer form, and it has no standout speed figure to offset them. The main issue is the draw, a wide barrier 6 of 7 to overcome, which is the thing to watch.
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Fabulous One
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class