English Premier League Tips & Predictions

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Liverpool are the clear favourites here despite playing away. They sit 8th in our ratings against Ipswich's 19th, and that gap reflects a side that finished 5th last season against newly promoted opposition. Liverpool's sharper attacking and defensive balance, plus their tighter backline, give them a real edge in what looks like a 1-2 type of game. The key thing to watch is whether Ipswich can make their home advantage count early, because if Liverpool get on top, this could get away from the hosts quickly.

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Bournemouth are the better side on paper, rated 7th to Newcastle's 10th and significantly outperforming them from last season, but Newcastle's home advantage and tighter defence keep this tight. The real edge for Bournemouth is that they're creating good chances and should start converting them soon after underperforming in front of goal, while Newcastle continue to give away more clear-cut opportunities than most teams. This shapes up as a low-scoring affair, likely ending level. Watch whether Newcastle's home crowd can disrupt Bournemouth's threat on the break, since that's the main factor that could shift a game that otherwise looks destined for a draw.

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Nottingham have the edge here. They're rated higher than Tottenham across the board, they're at home, and they defend more tightly while Spurs give away chances at a higher rate than most sides in the league. Spurs also struggle to create - they're among the least dangerous attacks going. The wrinkle is that Spurs are genuinely playing better than their results suggest and have been unlucky in front of goal, so they could nick something despite the underlying picture pointing to a Nottingham lean. A 1-1 type of game feels most likely. Watch whether Spurs can convert the chances they do create, because if they tighten up in front of goal, a draw could come via a low-scoring stalemate rather than open play.

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Man City are clear favourites here. They're rated 2nd in the league against a newly promoted Coventry side sat 20th, and that quality gap shows in the underlying play - City create more good chances than anyone else while being one of the hardest sides to break down. Playing at home with that attacking firepower and defensive solidity, a 2-0 type of scoreline feels like the natural read. The thing to watch is whether Coventry can stay compact enough to frustrate City's attack early on, though that would buck the trend of how easily City turn sides over.

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Brighton are the better side on our read, sitting 6th to Leeds' 9th, and they've got the home advantage which matters here given Leeds won only 2 of 19 away games last season. Brighton are playing better than their results suggest, which hints at some fortune coming their way soon. That said, this has all the markings of a tight, low-scoring affair rather than a Brighton hammering, so don't be shocked if a draw emerges as the most likely outcome. Watch whether Leeds can stay compact at the back and hit on the counter, because that's really their path to something here.

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Brentford are the clear favourites here. They sit 4th in the league against a Sunderland side languishing in 16th, and they've got the home crowd behind them. The real edge is in attack - Brentford have been creating chances at a rate that deserves far more goals than they've been scoring lately, so regression should work in their favour. Sunderland's attack is blunt - they're one of the least dangerous teams going forward for chances created. The thing to watch is whether Sunderland's road form this season can give them something to hang onto, but Brentford should break through and finish this off.

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Fulham edge this one at home, though it's tight. They finished well clear of Palace last season and have the crowd behind them, but both sides are loose defensively and neither creates chances at a high rate, so this has all the hallmarks of a low-scoring affair. Palace play better than their results suggest and travel reasonably well, which means a draw looks the most likely outcome. Watch whether Fulham can break down a Palace side that sits deep and invites pressure - if they can't find a cutting pass early, this could be a frustrating evening.

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Hull City have the edge here, mainly because they're at home where they'll have their crowd behind them. Aston Villa are playing better than their results suggest and creating chances, but they're struggling to finish - they're scoring well below what they should be from their opportunities. This looks like a tight match that could easily end level, so don't be surprised if both sides cancel each other out. Watch whether Villa can finally convert their chances into goals, because if they do, their underlying quality could show.

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Man United are the better side here, rated 3rd in the league against Everton's 14th, and they have the attacking weapons to trouble most defences with the 3rd best chance creation in the league. The key edge is their defence, where they allow fewer chances than almost anyone, while Everton struggle to create meaningful opportunities at the other end. That said, this has all the hallmarks of a tight game finishing level - Man United's results have been flatter than their actual performances suggest, and Everton at home will sit deep and compact, making it hard to break them down. Watch whether Man United's superior quality in the final third can overcome Everton's organised shape, or whether defensive solidity keeps this close and frustrating.

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Arsenal come in as the stronger side here, top-rated in the league against Chelsea's 5th-place standing, and they're especially hard to break down at home where they won 15 of 19 games last season. Chelsea have a dangerous attack and create chances at an elite rate, but they've been consistently wasteful in front of goal, so even if they carve out openings they'll likely need to be clinical. A 2-1 type of game feels right given Arsenal's defensive control and Chelsea's finishing troubles. Watch whether Chelsea can convert their chances into goals, because if they click in that department this could get uncomfortable for Arsenal.