Welter · 3 rounds · UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit
Stephen Thompson v Charles Radtke
Our pickCharles Radtke to win on the cards
💬FormPicks Commentary
Charles Radtke to win on the cards, and I'd expect it to go the distance. He's younger, harder to take down and on a run, so I lean his way without it being a lock. Stephen Thompson, a striker, is 1.3 years out from a decision loss to Bonfim. The thing that could undo this is Radtke getting out-struck on volume.
How this fight goes
🥊How it ends
Who wins and how. Six outcomes in one bar - the seam between the colours is the win chance.
Stephen Thompson wins by KO 11%, by submission 3%, on the cards 20%. Charles Radtke wins by KO 18%, by submission 10%, on the cards 39%.
⏱The distance
Our finish chance, spread across the rounds by when UFC finishes actually land. The columns add up to the finish figure on the pick and the line ends on the chance it reaches the judges.
What's driving the pick
🧮Factor breakdown
Green favours Charles Radtke, red runs against them. Every figure is measured as it stood going into this fight.
Head to head
Striking
Grappling
Finishing
Longer bar is the better side of each row. Every figure is measured as it stood going into this fight.
FormPicks Momentum Meter
50 = a .500 fighterHow each fighter is actually going - the career, the last three weighted by what each was worth, and their most recent night. The longer the bar, the better the form.
Stephen Thompson
Charles Radtke
How their fights end
Every UFC fight, by the round it ended3 round fights
Stephen Thompson
9 of 13 to the cards · 3 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Charles Radtke
2 of 7 to the cards · 4 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
5 round fights
Stephen Thompson
6 of 9 to the cards · 3 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
R4
R5
Dec
Charles Radtke
none yetR1
R2
R3
R4
R5
Dec